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Monaco vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 95-123
25-40 29-27 23-27 18-29
Position#1
Record23-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Paris 🏆
France
Position#2
Record20-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game85.9
FranceLNBRound 29· Salle Gaston Medecin
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Monaco v Paris
21 Jun 2026
MCO96
PRS84
19 Jun 2026
MCO77
PRS88
10 May 2026
MCO95
PRS123
04 Dec 2025
MCO125
PRS104
02 Dec 2025
MCO109
PRS103
22 Jun 2025
MCO80
PRS74
20 Jun 2025
MCO81
PRS78
09 Mar 2025
MCO94
PRS63
24 Oct 2024
MCO80
PRS87
06 Jun 2024
MCO70
PRS77
04 Jun 2024
MCO90
PRS80
17 Feb 2024
MCO93
PRS98
03 Dec 2023
MCO84
PRS62
05 Feb 2023
MCO103
PRS81
31 Oct 2021
MCO100
PRS75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#7
L
81-104
81
104
-23
A12/04
LNB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
105-85
105
85
+20
H17/04
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H19/04
LNB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A21/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H24/04
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A25/04
French Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A28/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A30/04
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
118-114 OT
118
114
+4
A03/05
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
82-105
82
105
-23
H05/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
24-28
17-25
13-20
27-17
31-24
25-20
22-24
20-14
20-20
20-27
23-26
14-23
20-26
23-17
22-21
26-14
23-21
9-18
21-17
21-19
24-10
19-28
23-26
20-19
16-26
15-21
19-25
23-28
8-31
22-13
11-22
23-23
30-22
23-29
27-29
17-26
23-35
24-21
18-23
176.8Avg total
84.8Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)95.086.0181.0+9.182%
Season at home (14)95.988.0183.9+7.971%
Season away (14)94.183.9178.1+10.293%
Last 10 (10)84.892.0176.8-7.240%
Last 5 (5)84.297.4181.6-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.591.3171.8-10.850%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.288.2175.4-1.050%
vs Weaker (10)94.588.9183.4+5.680%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A27/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-82
103
82
+21
A31/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H02/04
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H04/04
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A07/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
113-80
113
80
+33
H09/04
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A11/04
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A17/04
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
99-93
99
93
+6
A19/04
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
H02/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
25-16
26-20
20-18
19-20
34-27
23-16
27-19
30-19
34-22
23-35
16-17
20-25
26-35
27-15
23-17
28-34
26-23
15-23
12-14
41-24
20-14
32-20
20-22
28-26
17-24
21-21
26-15
28-26
17-27
16-15
18-17
24-27
20-29
24-18
31-19
21-22
26-26
21-9
20-31
184.7Avg total
96.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)98.785.9184.6+12.871%
Season at home (14)100.789.9190.6+10.864%
Season away (14)96.681.9178.6+14.779%
Last 10 (10)96.188.6184.7+7.570%
Last 5 (5)97.289.8187.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.094.8181.8-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.088.0180.0+4.055%
vs Weaker (15)97.088.5185.5+8.567%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
MonacoParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#7
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A12/04
LNB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H17/04
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H19/04
LNB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A21/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/04
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A25/04
French Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A28/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A30/04
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A03/05
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/05
Euroleague
89.4Avg total
43.7Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.244.188.3+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.143.089.1+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.545.187.6-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.789.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.047.888.8-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.247.287.3-7.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.543.087.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (10)46.243.990.1+2.360%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A31/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H02/04
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H04/04
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A07/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H09/04
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A11/04
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A17/04
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A19/04
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H02/05
LNB
99.3Avg total
50.5Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.945.693.5+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.246.093.2+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)48.745.193.8+3.547%-
Last 10 (10)50.548.899.3+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)48.449.097.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.052.0100.0-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)49.844.294.0+5.664%-
vs Weaker (15)46.544.991.4+1.740%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers18.816.4
87.2%
54.8%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.2
31.7%
34.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws10.98.6
78.9%
75.1%8.6
They take 44.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀51%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers17.212.7
73.8%
54.8%25.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.712.9
36.1%
34.2%38.7
🏀 Free throws15.111.4
75.5%
75.1%11.4
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 67% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LWLLWWLLWL
Paris
LWLWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#2
-2.8
Net rating
+5.8
57.5
Offensive rating
65.1
60.3
Defensive rating
59.3
64.2%
Effective FG%
60.6%
64.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
20.7%
Turnover %
19.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.7%
3-point %
36.1%
75.2%
Assist %
76.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence57.5 · 65.1Defence60.3 · 59.3Shooting64.2% · 60.6%3-point %31.7% · 36.1%Ball care20.7% · 19.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Monaco   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Monaco wins
3
Paris wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Paris v Monaco87-95
04/12/25Monaco v Paris125-104
02/12/25Monaco v Paris109-103
12/10/25Paris v Monaco94-99
24/06/25Paris v Monaco99-93
22/06/25Monaco v Paris80-74
20/06/25Monaco v Paris81-78
17/06/25Paris v Monaco92-67
15/06/25Paris v Monaco94-82
09/03/25Monaco v Paris94-63
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/26HOlympiacos82-105
03/05/26AStrasbourg118-114 OT
30/04/26AOlympiacos64-94
28/04/26AOlympiacos70-91
25/04/26ALe Mans87-83
24/04/26HBarcelona79-70
21/04/26APanathinaikos79-87
19/04/26HLyon-Villeurbanne83-87
17/04/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv105-85
12/04/26AJL Bourg81-104
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HChalon/Saone103-105 OT
19/04/26ACholet99-93
17/04/26AZalgiris Kaunas79-85
11/04/26AStrasbourg92-86
09/04/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv113-80
07/04/26ACrvena zvezda81-94
04/04/26HNanterre96-92
02/04/26HOlimpia Milano103-93
31/03/26AVirtus Bologna103-82
27/03/26ADijon92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW82%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayWWWLW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %82%71%93%
Points / game95.095.994.1
Allowed / game86.088.083.9
Point differential+9.1+7.9+10.2
Avg total181.0183.9178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%50%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Paris
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWLLWL64%
AwayWWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%64%79%
Points / game98.7100.796.6
Allowed / game85.989.981.9
Point differential+12.8+10.8+14.7
Avg total184.6190.6178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %11%14%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2823582%95.086.0+9.1
2 Nanterre2921872%87.381.1+6.2
3 Paris2820871%98.785.9+12.8
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne2920969%87.979.7+8.2
5 Le Mans29181162%89.885.6+4.2
6 Cholet29181162%88.084.4+3.6
7 JL Bourg29171259%87.184.0+3.1
8 Strasbourg29171259%86.486.4+0.0
9 Chalon/Saone29151452%86.485.0+1.4
10 Nancy29121741%85.887.4-1.7
11 Dijon29111838%88.991.1-2.2
12 Boulazac29111838%82.184.5-2.3
13 Limoges29111838%83.587.9-4.4
14 Saint Quentin2982128%81.286.6-5.4
15 Gravelines-Dunkerque2982128%82.890.1-7.4
16 Le Portel291283%72.296.6-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2529231895
Paris40272729123
← all games of the day
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