PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Monaco vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-86 (OT)
15-23 29-25 14-17 22-15 16-6
Position#4
Record18-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game83.0
Monaco 🏆
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Position#13
Record14-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2024
Meetings · Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas
01 Oct 2025
MCO84
ZAL89
25 Mar 2025
MCO96
ZAL86
04 Apr 2024
MCO69
ZAL66
29 Dec 2022
MCO84
ZAL82
10 Feb 2022
MCO82
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#1
L
96-104
96
104
-8
119avg 90
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 90
H25/02
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 90
A27/02
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
W
95-84
95
84
+11
105avg 90
A02/03
LNB
Paris
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
90avg 90
A05/03
Euroleague
Paris
#1
W
94-63
94
63
+31
114avg 90
H09/03
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
88-91
88
91
-3
91avg 90
A13/03
Euroleague
Le Mans
#2
L
99-102
99
102
-3
93avg 90
H16/03
French Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 90
H20/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
86-94
86
94
-8
102avg 90
H23/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
25-27
27-22
30-27
23-23
23-23
31-12
6-12
19-18
23-31
19-19
19-18
18-31
25-12
24-20
28-21
24-22
20-17
27-14
20-26
23-19
21-19
22-13
28-12
18-21
24-18
21-20
25-32
21-30
34-22
20-22
24-28
26-28
21-15
16-15
28-24
21-22
21-23
22-25
22-24
175.8Avg total
90.3Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.783.0169.7+3.760%
Season at home (15)88.884.2173.0+4.667%
Season away (15)84.581.8166.3+2.753%
Last 10 (10)90.385.5175.8+4.850%
Last 5 (5)91.686.4178.0+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)86.584.4170.9+2.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.283.1177.4+11.179%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-56
79
56
+23
70avg 80
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 80
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
88avg 80
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
81avg 80
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 80
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 80
A09/03
LKL
Paris
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 80
H13/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
89-62
89
62
+27
88avg 80
H16/03
LKL
Barcelona
#6
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 80
A21/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
73avg 80
A23/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
14-14
20-18
21-11
21-25
22-20
25-24
23-20
23-22
21-21
23-17
19-20
21-13
20-22
18-22
11-13
12-18
18-20
13-10
22-18
24-14
17-20
24-15
18-27
14-22
17-25
29-14
23-20
22-9
19-20
26-13
22-20
20-16
11-20
20-23
19-23
21-16
20-18
26-26
17-20
156.7Avg total
81.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.378.3155.6-0.947%
Season at home (16)76.876.3153.1+0.456%
Season away (14)78.080.5158.5-2.536%
Last 10 (10)81.475.3156.7+6.180%
Last 5 (5)81.876.2158.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.290.2169.5-11.00%
vs Similar (9)77.181.9159.0-4.833%
vs Weaker (17)91.876.2168.0+15.5100%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
MonacoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/02
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A27/02
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/03
LNB
Paris
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/03
Euroleague
Paris
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/03
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
Le Mans
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H16/03
French Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H20/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/03
LNB
89.3Avg total
44.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.588.3+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.990.1+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.086.5+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.444.989.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.043.489.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)42.944.187.0-1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.942.289.1+4.664%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A09/03
LKL
Paris
#9
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/03
LKL
Barcelona
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A23/03
LKL
74.9Avg total
38.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.581.9+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.682.0+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)43.438.481.8+4.957%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.874.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.073.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)45.236.081.2+9.275%-
vs Similar (9)36.342.678.9-6.222%-
vs Weaker (17)46.637.083.6+9.682%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.3
57.3%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.8
38.1%
36.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.019.3
77.2%
78.0%19.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.8
56.6%
54.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.1
33.8%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
73.9%
78.0%13.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LWLLWWWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#13
+8.7
Net rating
+8.1
119.6
Offensive rating
113.9
110.8
Defensive rating
105.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.1%
3-point %
33.8%
69.8%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 113.9Defence110.8 · 105.9Shooting57.3% · 54.0%3-point %38.1% · 33.8%Ball care17.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.8% · 34.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Monaco   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Monaco wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
01/11/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco63-62
04/04/24Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas69-66
08/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco79-83
29/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco79-70
29/12/22Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas84-82
10/02/22Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas82-83
15/12/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco98-107 OT
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne86-94
20/03/25HFenerbahce91-82
16/03/25HLe Mans99-102
13/03/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
09/03/25HParis94-63
05/03/25AParis91-79
02/03/25ACholet95-84
27/02/25AOlimpia Milano80-86
25/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne83-70
16/02/25HLe Mans96-104
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ANevezis84-80
21/03/25ABarcelona70-82
16/03/25HJonava89-62
13/03/25HParis83-81
09/03/25ARytas83-76
06/03/25ABaskonia65-66
02/03/25HJuventus84-81 OT
27/02/25ACrvena zvezda86-80
16/02/25ANeptunas91-89
15/02/25HLietkabelis79-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%67%53%
Points / game86.788.884.5
Allowed / game83.084.281.8
Point differential+3.7+4.6+2.7
Avg total169.7173.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %47%56%36%
Points / game77.376.878.0
Allowed / game78.376.380.5
Point differential-0.9+0.4-2.5
Avg total155.6153.1158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3022873%86.981.2+5.7
2 Fenerbahce31211068%83.381.4+1.9
3 Panathinaikos30191163%87.082.6+4.4
4 Monaco30181260%86.783.0+3.7
5 Barcelona30171357%87.483.9+3.5
6 Crvena zvezda30171357%81.880.7+1.1
7 Bayern30171357%86.987.6-0.7
8 Paris31171455%85.985.3+0.6
9 Anadolu Efes30161453%86.182.0+4.2
10 Real Madrid30161453%84.182.0+2.1
11 Olimpia Milano30161453%84.985.8-0.9
12 Partizan30151550%82.280.1+2.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas30141647%77.378.3-0.9
14 Baskonia30131743%81.882.8-1.0
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne30111937%81.085.3-4.3
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%85.289.1-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna3072323%78.584.4-5.9
18 Alba Berlin3052517%79.591.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Monaco152914221696
Zalgiris Kaunas23251715686
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.