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Monaco vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-66
20-11 19-18 12-15 18-22
Position#3
Record21-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.3
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record14-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2023
Meetings · Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas
01 Oct 2025
MCO84
ZAL89
25 Mar 2025
MCO96
ZAL86
04 Apr 2024
MCO69
ZAL66
29 Dec 2022
MCO84
ZAL82
10 Feb 2022
MCO82
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
98-80
98
80
+18
92avg 83
H07/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
72-68
72
68
+4
88avg 83
A10/03
LNB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
90-82
90
82
+8
79avg 83
A14/03
Euroleague
Nanterre
#9
W
94-92
94
92
+2
85avg 83
H16/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#10
L
89-93
89
93
-4
76avg 83
A17/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
80-98
80
98
-18
69avg 83
H20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
79-78
79
78
+1
74avg 83
H22/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
104avg 83
H24/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 83
A28/03
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#7
L
69-71
69
71
-2
83avg 83
A30/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
21-21
23-22
29-20
23-17
8-22
24-10
17-19
13-27
32-12
24-23
21-20
21-20
27-27
28-23
18-22
18-29
19-19
23-30
29-15
20-27
24-31
23-18
13-22
25-15
13-19
19-20
22-24
29-13
22-26
24-23
17-16
23-12
21-28
12-21
31-16
11-18
18-20
18-12
22-21
166.7Avg total
85.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.079.3161.3+2.866%
Season at home (15)85.979.1165.1+6.873%
Season away (17)78.679.4158.0-0.859%
Last 10 (10)85.081.7166.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)81.480.4161.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)96.083.0179.0+13.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.382.2164.5+0.150%
vs Weaker (12)82.474.8157.2+7.692%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 78
H01/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
79avg 78
H10/03
LKL
Bayern
#15
L
58-64
58
64
-6
45avg 78
A15/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
97-77
97
77
+20
96avg 78
H17/03
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 78
H19/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
87avg 78
H21/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
92-69
92
69
+23
95avg 78
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 78
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 78
A01/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
19-18
17-28
20-26
21-21
19-21
22-14
14-27
28-26
23-22
21-28
25-18
10-18
11-15
16-17
21-14
25-14
28-20
23-23
21-20
22-22
21-27
25-14
28-18
25-17
23-17
23-23
23-19
28-19
19-15
19-23
26-12
14-17
21-20
24-17
28-19
22-16
28-24
18-18
15-19
164.5Avg total
85.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.480.3160.8+0.144%
Season at home (16)83.279.6162.8+3.656%
Season away (16)77.781.1158.8-3.431%
Last 10 (10)85.678.9164.5+6.770%
Last 5 (5)90.475.2165.6+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.680.8164.4+2.857%
vs Weaker (15)89.174.4163.5+14.787%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
MonacoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/03
LNB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A14/03
Euroleague
Nanterre
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H16/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A17/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H22/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#13
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H24/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A28/03
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A30/03
LNB
83.3Avg total
41.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.783.3+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.841.587.3+4.381%-
Last 30 away (14)39.039.778.7-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.083.3-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.043.595.5+8.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.442.883.1-2.443%-
vs Weaker (12)41.837.279.1+4.675%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/03
LKL
Bayern
#15
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A15/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/03
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H19/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A01/04
LKL
81.9Avg total
42.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.184.1+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.138.584.6+7.669%-
Last 30 away (14)43.739.883.5+3.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.281.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.883.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.740.382.0+1.443%-
vs Weaker (15)48.138.186.1+10.080%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.3
53.1%
53.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.9
32.1%
36.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.617.9
72.8%
77.4%17.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.6
55.7%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.2
39.5%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.313.0
75.1%
77.4%13.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LWWWLLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWLWLL
#3
League position
#13
+4.5
Net rating
+9.6
114.8
Offensive rating
117.9
110.3
Defensive rating
108.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
57.2%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.9%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.1%
3-point %
39.5%
56.2%
Assist %
58.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 117.9Defence110.3 · 108.4Shooting51.2% · 57.2%3-point %32.1% · 39.5%Ball care15.1% · 16.9%Off. rebounds35.7% · 32.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Monaco   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Monaco wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
08/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco79-83
29/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco79-70
29/12/22Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas84-82
10/02/22Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas82-83
15/12/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco98-107 OT
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ASaint Quentin69-71
28/03/24ALyon-Villeurbanne87-77
24/03/24HStrasbourg92-78
22/03/24HValencia79-78
20/03/24HOlimpia Milano80-98
17/03/24AStrasbourg89-93
16/03/24HNanterre94-92
14/03/24AAlba Berlin90-82
10/03/24AGravelines-Dunkerque72-68
07/03/24HCrvena zvezda98-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24ALietkabelis83-77
28/03/24HOlimpia Milano87-73
24/03/24ASiauliai92-69
21/03/24HBaskonia94-76
19/03/24HVirtus Bologna96-81
17/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes97-77
15/03/24ABayern58-64
10/03/24HRytas97-94
07/03/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-83
01/03/24HOlympiacos76-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayWWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %66%73%59%
Points / game82.085.978.6
Allowed / game79.379.179.4
Point differential+2.8+6.8-0.8
Avg total161.3165.1158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%53%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%56%31%
Points / game80.483.277.7
Allowed / game80.379.681.1
Point differential+0.1+3.6-3.4
Avg total160.8162.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%88.980.8+8.1
2 Panathinaikos32211166%81.577.2+4.2
3 Barcelona32211166%82.879.0+3.8
4 Monaco32211166%82.079.3+2.8
5 Fenerbahce32201262%85.480.8+4.6
6 Olympiacos32201262%78.574.5+4.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv32191359%87.686.6+1.0
8 Virtus Bologna32171553%80.181.8-1.8
9 Baskonia32161650%83.684.5-0.9
10 Anadolu Efes32151747%85.886.8-1.0
11 Zalgiris Kaunas32141844%80.480.3+0.1
12 Olimpia Milano32141844%77.677.8-0.2
13 Partizan32141844%82.884.0-1.2
14 Valencia32141844%76.578.5-2.0
15 Bayern32131941%78.681.8-3.3
16 Crvena zvezda32112134%82.082.1-0.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3272522%78.185.8-7.7
18 Alba Berlin3252716%76.086.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2019121869
Zalgiris Kaunas1118152266
← all games of the day
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