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Monaco vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-82
17-26 25-23 18-15 24-18
Position#4
Record10-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game80.9
Monaco 🏆
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Position#9
Record8-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2022
Meetings · Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas
01 Oct 2025
MCO84
ZAL89
25 Mar 2025
MCO96
ZAL86
04 Apr 2024
MCO69
ZAL66
29 Dec 2022
MCO84
ZAL82
10 Feb 2022
MCO82
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
84-75
84
75
+9
72avg 82
A01/12
Euroleague
Ada Blois
#16
W
88-70
88
70
+18
87avg 82
H04/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
97-78
97
78
+19
98avg 82
H06/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
no box
A11/12
LNB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
92-89
92
89
+3
92avg 82
H16/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
60avg 82
A18/12
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
54avg 82
A23/12
Euroleague
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
97-53
97
53
+44
93avg 82
A27/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
25-25
15-15
24-15
23-15
30-20
20-20
15-15
33-15
22-21
15-22
27-20
17-23
28-25
20-14
23-26
13-26
22-19
22-18
19-13
13-16
16-18
16-26
18-9
28-25
24-19
20-21
20-24
13-33
28-16
22-20
18-20
21-24
26-10
15-17
9-28
32-17
16-11
18-13
31-12
164.1Avg total
86.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.580.9163.4+1.767%
Season at home (7)83.982.3166.1+1.671%
Season away (8)81.479.6161.0+1.862%
Last 10 (10)86.377.8164.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)80.875.8156.6+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.085.0173.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.680.4162.0+1.250%
vs Weaker (20)88.680.7169.2+7.980%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 77
H28/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
52avg 77
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 77
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 77
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-61
84
61
+23
91avg 77
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
68avg 77
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
81-72
81
72
+9
70avg 77
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
93avg 77
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 77
H23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
23-24
24-29
22-17
13-27
15-17
25-16
14-21
23-18
20-18
13-22
24-17
19-25
14-8
15-30
12-23
19-14
21-18
21-13
23-16
22-14
15-22
21-20
15-21
18-21
19-14
19-20
25-17
24-12
8-25
27-14
26-26
20-14
17-19
33-17
19-21
26-21
18-14
16-13
15-19
153.6Avg total
78.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.177.9154.0-1.953%
Season at home (8)72.973.2146.1-0.475%
Season away (7)79.783.3163.0-3.629%
Last 10 (10)78.475.2153.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)80.672.8153.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.874.4147.1-1.662%
vs Weaker (16)88.472.3160.8+16.194%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
MonacoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A01/12
Euroleague
Ada Blois
#16
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H04/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H06/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A08/12
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/12
LNB
Barcelona
#3
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H16/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#12
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/12
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/12
Euroleague
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A27/12
LNB
84.8Avg total
45.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.282.9+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.538.984.4+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.139.581.6+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.039.884.8+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.881.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.042.581.5-3.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.636.478.0+5.275%-
vs Weaker (20)45.040.085.0+5.075%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H28/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/12
Euroleague
73.5Avg total
37.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.077.9+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.635.575.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.338.580.8+3.980%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.073.5+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.272.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.537.271.8-2.838%-
vs Weaker (16)44.335.379.6+9.094%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.1
53.8%
53.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.8
34.5%
36.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.0
74.4%
78.5%16.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.2
51.9%
53.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.1
36.1%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.214.3
78.6%
78.5%14.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WLLWLWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#9
+11.3
Net rating
+5.9
116.3
Offensive rating
110.1
105.0
Defensive rating
104.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.5%
3-point %
36.1%
54.5%
Assist %
67.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 110.1Defence105.0 · 104.2Shooting53.1% · 52.8%3-point %34.5% · 36.1%Ball care15.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds34.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Monaco   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monaco wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
10/02/22Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas82-83
15/12/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco98-107 OT
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/22AFos-sur-Mer97-53
23/12/22AOlimpia Milano71-79
18/12/22ALe Portel81-89
16/12/22HAlba Berlin92-89
14/12/22HBarcelona63-69
11/12/22ABoulogne-Levallois95-82 OT
08/12/22AReal Madrid95-94 OT
06/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne97-78
04/12/22HAda Blois88-70
01/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne84-75
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/22HBayern75-67
21/12/22AGargzdai89-71
18/12/22HLietkabelis85-77
15/12/22HReal Madrid81-72
13/12/22ACrvena zvezda73-77
11/12/22HPieno Zvaigzdes84-61
09/12/22HAnadolu Efes60-86
05/12/22AJonava80-75
02/12/22HPanathinaikos67-81
28/11/22HBC Wolves90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game82.583.981.4
Allowed / game80.982.379.6
Point differential+1.7+1.6+1.8
Avg total163.4166.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game76.172.979.7
Allowed / game77.973.283.3
Point differential-1.9-0.4-3.6
Avg total154.0146.1163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia1611569%86.080.4+5.6
2 Fenerbahce1510567%83.577.1+6.4
3 Barcelona1510567%79.475.9+3.5
4 Monaco1510567%82.580.9+1.7
5 Real Madrid1610662%83.978.9+5.0
6 Olympiacos159660%86.478.3+8.1
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%81.580.6+0.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas158753%76.177.9-1.9
9 Crvena zvezda158753%74.777.3-2.6
10 Anadolu Efes168850%82.677.8+4.8
11 Partizan167944%83.585.2-1.8
12 Valencia167944%81.284.8-3.6
13 Panathinaikos156940%79.582.1-2.7
14 Virtus Bologna156940%75.980.6-4.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne156940%73.979.0-5.1
16 Olimpia Milano1661038%70.875.9-5.1
17 Bayern1651131%74.578.8-4.3
18 Alba Berlin1531220%80.584.7-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco1725182484
Zalgiris Kaunas2623151882
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