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Montana State vs Idaho Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Montana State v Idaho
16 Jan 2027
MONT v IDAH
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
MONT74
IDAH78
05 Feb 2026
MONT73
IDAH66
03 Mar 2025
MONT75
IDAH60
03 Feb 2024
MONT75
IDAH81
29 Dec 2022
MONT72
IDAH58
29 Jan 2022
MONT70
IDAH64
06 Feb 2020
MONT72
IDAH50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#87
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H27/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-23
0-0
33-40
0-0
36-26
0-0
37-40
0-0
34-37
0-0
37-35
0-0
38-37
0-0
44-34
0-0
29-28
0-0
38-39
0-0
30-50
0-0
46-41
0-0
43-34
0-0
41-35
0-0
37-33
0-0
45-28
0-0
36-25
0-0
40-40
0-0
40-36
0-0
34-42
146.9Avg total
75.1Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.171.8146.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)78.472.8151.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.579.0160.5+2.550%
vs Similar (13)76.273.7149.8+2.554%
vs Weaker (14)75.470.5145.9+4.957%
IdahoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#87
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A20/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H28/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A03/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H08/03
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A09/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A11/03
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A12/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
47-78
47
78
-31
A20/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-41
0-0
40-36
0-0
42-40
0-0
44-40
0-0
37-29
0-0
41-29
0-0
40-33
0-0
27-43
0-0
34-30
0-0
51-51
0-0
27-13
0-0
41-32
0-0
36-40
0-0
42-34
0-0
36-28
0-0
45-40
0-0
30-31
0-0
47-35
0-0
24-48
0-0
23-30
143.7Avg total
73.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.470.3143.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)70.266.2136.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.078.0125.0-31.00%
vs Similar (14)74.078.0152.0-4.036%
vs Weaker (15)81.668.9150.5+12.780%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
Montana StateIdaho
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#87
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A21/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H09/03
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.969.5+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.433.073.4+7.486%-
Last 30 away (16)33.432.866.1+0.638%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.967.3+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.672.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.036.573.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (13)36.032.268.2+3.877%-
vs Weaker (14)36.533.970.4+2.643%-
IdahoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#87
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A20/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H28/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A03/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
27-13
27
13
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A09/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A20/03
NCAA
66.6Avg total
33.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.268.9+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.333.171.4+5.262%-
Last 30 away (17)33.633.466.9+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)33.333.366.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.062.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.048.072.0-24.00%-
vs Similar (14)32.436.869.2-4.436%-
vs Weaker (15)39.428.968.3+10.573%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Montana State wins
5
Idaho wins
DateGameScore
09/03/26Montana State v Idaho74-78
06/02/26Montana State v Idaho73-66
10/01/26Idaho v Montana State92-89
04/03/25Montana State v Idaho75-60
03/01/25Idaho v Montana State69-64
01/03/24Idaho v Montana State48-62
04/02/24Montana State v Idaho75-81
17/01/23Idaho v Montana State74-70
30/12/22Montana State v Idaho72-58
29/01/22Montana State v Idaho70-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26HIdaho74-78
03/03/26ANorthern Arizona76-65
28/02/26HSacramento State82-61
27/02/26HPortland State84-69
21/02/26AIdaho State76-91
20/02/26AWeber State79-82 OT
15/02/26AMontana82-71
08/02/26HEast. Washington71-72
06/02/26HIdaho73-66
31/01/26APortland State54-63
Idaholast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26AHouston47-78
12/03/26AMontana77-66
11/03/26AEast. Washington81-68
09/03/26AMontana State78-74
08/03/26HSacramento State68-45
03/03/26AEast. Washington85-81
28/02/26HNorthern Colorado67-76
27/02/26HNorthern Arizona78-58
22/02/26ASacramento State86-80
20/02/26APortland State67-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Idaho
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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