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Morehead State vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 63-58
30-26 33-32
Position#232
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#275
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Morehead State v Austin Peay
20 Nov 2024
MORE63
AUST58
05 Feb 2022
MORE77
AUST52
06 Feb 2021
MORE75
AUST74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A09/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A21/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
45-93
45
93
-48
A05/11
NCAA
Boyce
#554
W
89-48
89
48
+41
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A09/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
38-25
36-25
31-24
34-21
44-42
37-41
47-37
32-27
37-28
38-39
31-46
14-41
31-52
45-26
44-22
19-37
37-46
37-37
25-39
137.1Avg total
69.1Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)63.075.0138.0-12.025%
Season at home (1)89.048.0137.0+41.0100%
Season away (3)54.384.0138.3-29.70%
Last 10 (10)69.168.0137.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)64.277.0141.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.384.0138.3-29.70%
vs Similar ◀ (1)69.085.0154.0-16.00%
vs Weaker (25)76.461.2137.5+15.280%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#105
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H29/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H02/03
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
H06/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Union Bulldogs
#409
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A08/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
68-103
68
103
-35
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-36
48-54
37-43
46-36
38-35
40-43
33-34
54-53
42-44
35-27
39-36
52-58
51-37
44-38
39-34
29-32
37-31
30-30
29-52
39-51
164.9Avg total
82.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.576.2150.8-1.875%
Season at home (2)81.068.0149.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)68.084.5152.5-16.550%
Last 10 (10)82.582.4164.9+0.170%
Last 5 (5)77.879.8157.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.777.0145.7-8.367%
vs Similar ◀ (21)75.476.4151.8-1.052%
vs Weaker (5)88.667.4156.0+21.2100%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.5-0.5
Morehead StateAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A21/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
14-41
14
41
-27
A05/11
NCAA
Boyce
#554
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
19-37
19
37
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A15/11
NCAA
64.5Avg total
32.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.129.164.2+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.825.564.2+13.3100%-
Last 30 away (17)32.231.964.1+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)32.631.964.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.066.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)23.338.361.7-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)38.039.077.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (25)36.027.763.7+8.280%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#105
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H29/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H06/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Union Bulldogs
#409
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A17/11
NCAA
76.4Avg total
38.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.671.3+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.733.672.3+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)34.635.770.3-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.276.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.077.0+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.038.372.3-4.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)35.235.170.4+0.148%-
vs Weaker (5)41.229.871.0+11.480%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Morehead State wins
1
Austin Peay wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/24AChattanooga Mocs62-76
09/11/24ACincinnati56-83
07/11/24HBoyce89-48
05/11/24ALouisville45-93
21/03/24AIllinois69-85
10/03/24AUALR69-55
09/03/24AUT Martin84-78
08/03/24HSiu Edwardsville78-63
02/03/24HLindenwood67-49
01/03/24HSoutheast Missouri State72-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24ATennessee68-103
12/11/24HChattanooga Mocs67-61
08/11/24AButler68-66
05/11/24HUnion Bulldogs95-75
10/03/24AStetson91-94
08/03/24HNorth Alabama77-71
06/03/24HNorth Florida101-98 OT
02/03/24HBellarmine90-87 OT
29/02/24HEastern Kentucky83-79
24/02/24HLipscomb85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game63.089.054.3
Allowed / game75.048.084.0
Point differential-12.0+41.0-29.7
Avg total138.0137.0138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game74.581.068.0
Allowed / game76.268.084.5
Point differential-1.8+13.0-16.5
Avg total150.8149.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville74357%71.969.1+2.7
2 Tennessee State63350%86.071.0+15.0
3 UT Martin42250%78.069.2+8.8
4 UALR42250%73.872.5+1.2
5 Tennessee Tech63350%73.777.3-3.7
6 Lindenwood52340%72.069.2+2.8
7 Western Illinois52340%63.072.4-9.4
8 Southeast Missouri State41325%77.874.5+3.2
9 Morehead State41325%63.075.0-12.0
10 Southern Indiana51420%71.078.8-7.8
11 Eastern Illinois51420%69.281.6-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky43175%82.072.0+10.0
2 Austin Peay43175%74.576.2-1.8
3 North Alabama53260%83.876.6+7.2
4 North Florida53260%84.281.8+2.4
5 Queens Royals52340%66.070.6-4.6
6 Lipscomb62433%70.576.7-6.2
7 Central Arkansas41325%70.574.5-4.0
8 Stetson41325%71.578.2-6.8
9 Florida Gulf Coast4040%60.269.2-9.0
10 Bellarmine5050%67.082.8-15.8
11 West Georgia5050%63.082.8-19.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State303363
Austin Peay263258
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