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Murray State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-66
33-28 44-38
Position#4
Record19-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#76
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game64.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Murray State v Morehead State
02 Dec 2025
MURR84
MORE52
05 Mar 2022
MURR71
MORE67
29 Jan 2022
MURR77
MORE66
02 Jan 2021
MURR56
MORE61
15 Feb 2020
MURR85
MORE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#11
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A22/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
106-81
106
81
+25
H31/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
67-44
67
44
+23
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
82-60
82
60
+22
A15/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H21/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
31-34
59-40
47-41
42-27
32-42
35-16
32-28
48-35
34-25
33-24
39-22
48-22
43-29
32-29
42-37
39-24
40-29
34-36
46-39
139.9Avg total
78.3Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.363.4145.8+18.990%
Season at home (13)87.163.9151.0+23.292%
Season away (8)74.662.6137.2+12.088%
Last 10 (10)78.361.6139.9+16.790%
Last 5 (5)79.258.2137.4+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)71.773.0144.7-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)79.262.7141.9+16.684%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alice Loyd
#567
W
87-47
87
47
+40
H18/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
80-52
80
52
+28
A22/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-22
53-25
42-23
38-29
23-26
40-24
38-29
28-26
31-28
45-34
41-31
30-33
44-33
39-41
33-32
44-42
41-32
26-22
29-36
35-28
134.9Avg total
74.4Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.164.1135.3+7.076%
Season at home (11)74.559.6134.1+14.8100%
Season away (10)67.569.1136.6-1.650%
Last 10 (10)74.460.5134.9+13.9100%
Last 5 (5)74.467.8142.2+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.677.6149.2-6.040%
vs Similar (7)67.369.6136.9-2.357%
vs Weaker (17)71.659.9131.5+11.894%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.7+10.71st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +7.4+7.4
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.7+10.71st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +7.4+7.4
Murray StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#11
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A22/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H31/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
35-16
35
16
+19
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A15/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H21/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/01
NCAA
68.7Avg total
39.7Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.830.269.0+8.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.829.470.2+11.476%-
Last 30 away (13)36.231.267.5+5.062%-
Last 10 (10)39.729.068.7+10.780%-
Last 5 (5)37.227.064.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)33.334.067.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.429.267.6+9.268%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alice Loyd
#567
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H18/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A22/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A28/01
NCAA
64.8Avg total
35.6Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.331.164.3+2.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.327.560.8+5.793%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.667.9-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.264.8+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.870.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.439.269.6-8.840%-
vs Similar (7)31.931.963.7+0.057%-
vs Weaker (17)34.628.563.1+6.188%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murray State wins
2
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/22ATennessee Tech80-75
25/01/22HTennessee Tech79-53
23/01/22HUT Martin74-66
21/01/22HEastern Illinois91-51
17/01/22AEastern Illinois72-46
15/01/22ABelmont82-60
14/01/22HTennessee State67-44
08/01/22ASiu Edwardsville74-69
31/12/21HSoutheast Missouri State106-81
22/12/21AAuburn58-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/22ASoutheast Missouri State74-73 OT
25/01/22HTennessee State67-54
22/01/22HSiu Edwardsville77-74
21/01/22HBelmont83-74
15/01/22ATennessee State71-64
13/01/22HUT Martin76-62
08/01/22AAustin Peay66-55
30/12/21HEastern Illinois63-50
22/12/21AIUPUI80-52
18/12/21HAlice Loyd87-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %90%92%88%
Points / game82.387.174.6
Allowed / game63.463.962.6
Point differential+18.9+23.2+12.0
Avg total145.8151.0137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%77%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%100%50%
Points / game71.174.567.5
Allowed / game64.159.669.1
Point differential+7.0+14.8-1.6
Avg total135.3134.1136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2119290%82.363.4+18.9
2 Belmont2217577%81.369.9+11.4
3 Drake2115671%75.366.8+8.5
4 Northern Iowa2011955%74.569.9+4.7
5 Bradley21111052%72.166.5+5.6
6 Southern Illinois21101148%63.060.4+2.6
7 Valparaiso21101148%72.170.2+2.0
8 Indiana State1991047%73.570.5+3.0
9 Illinois State22101245%78.076.7+1.3
10 Illinois (Chi.)1971237%70.473.0-2.6
11 Evansville1951426%59.368.4-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2116576%71.164.1+7.0
2 Western Illinois2113862%79.974.8+5.0
3 Tennessee State2291341%72.971.5+1.4
4 Southeast Missouri State2081240%75.579.5-4.0
5 UALR1871139%69.773.3-3.6
6 Siu Edwardsville2071335%69.369.3+0.1
7 UT Martin2271532%69.374.0-4.6
8 Tennessee Tech1951426%73.274.7-1.5
9 Eastern Illinois2141719%56.171.3-15.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State334477
Morehead State283866
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