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Mornar Bar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-77
19-19 22-22 11-20 23-16
Position#13
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#11
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game88.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd
08 Dec 2024
MBA76
FBE81
23 Dec 2023
MBA75
FBE77
03 Jan 2023
MBA102
FBE113
22 Jan 2022
MBA82
FBE78
20 Dec 2020
MBA84
FBE74
10 Mar 2019
MBA79
FBE69
14 Oct 2017
MBA73
FBE81
14 Oct 2016
MBA82
FBE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 63
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 63
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
65-99
65
99
-34
47avg 63
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 63
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 63
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
68-103
68
103
-35
52avg 63
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#8
L
76-93
76
93
-17
66avg 63
H26/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 63
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 63
H09/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 63
A16/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-15
15-25
18-15
20-16
22-17
16-27
16-21
16-23
24-23
6-23
19-30
15-22
20-23
19-28
22-24
17-29
22-23
21-26
15-17
7-28
22-24
19-33
20-18
21-18
22-23
14-23
19-29
13-22
17-25
13-18
21-19
16-18
20-22
23-22
15-24
16-28
14-16
21-16
20-19
160.5Avg total
71.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.589.6161.1-18.18%
Season at home (5)72.489.6162.0-17.220%
Season away (7)70.989.6160.4-18.70%
Last 10 (10)71.589.0160.5-17.50%
Last 5 (5)70.689.0159.6-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.090.0164.0-16.011%
vs Similar (2)95.091.0186.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 77
H16/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
65avg 77
H23/10
ABA League
Split
#8
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 77
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 77
A06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
66avg 77
H11/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
75-96
75
96
-21
56avg 77
A18/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 77
H26/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
61-105
61
105
-44
38avg 77
H02/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 77
A09/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 77
H15/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
13-17
20-19
19-28
16-21
17-20
23-20
16-22
25-21
19-10
19-23
21-12
13-16
18-20
20-21
23-16
25-26
17-32
27-22
15-16
16-24
17-25
17-22
25-25
16-16
28-25
23-29
19-29
10-23
9-30
14-26
28-26
15-16
20-23
17-22
24-21
26-23
22-21
14-26
15-22
163.7Avg total
76.2Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.388.6167.9-9.225%
Season at home (8)79.290.4169.6-11.112%
Season away (4)79.585.0164.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)76.287.5163.7-11.320%
Last 5 (5)75.094.8169.8-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.490.5168.9-12.117%
vs Similar (9)83.982.9166.8+1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.586.2180.8+8.250%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
Mornar BarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/12
ABA League
79.6Avg total
36.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.745.783.4-7.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.145.584.5-6.427%-
Last 30 away (15)36.445.982.3-9.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.343.379.6-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.644.878.4-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.644.882.3-7.230%-
vs Similar (2)47.552.5100.0-5.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H23/10
ABA League
Split
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H11/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A18/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
19-53
19
53
-34
H02/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/12
ABA League
79.1Avg total
36.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.884.9-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.743.185.8-0.459%-
Last 30 away (13)39.144.783.8-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)36.342.879.1-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.281.0-9.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.745.684.2-6.933%-
vs Similar (9)39.143.182.2-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.443.090.4+4.462%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.5
48.7%
54.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.4
27.9%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws14.811.1
75.0%
73.8%11.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.4
49.9%
54.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.8
29.1%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.715.9
70.0%
73.8%15.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLLLL
FMP Beograd
LLLLLLWWLL
#13
League position
#11
-24.0
Net rating
-13.0
93.3
Offensive rating
97.0
117.3
Defensive rating
109.9
45.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.9%
3-point %
29.1%
54.8%
Assist %
58.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 97.0Defence117.3 · 109.9Shooting45.9% · 47.3%3-point %27.9% · 29.1%Ball care16.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds23.4% · 26.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mornar Bar wins
5
FMP Beograd wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ABorac Mozzart71-79
09/12/23HCedevita Olimpija74-86
02/12/23AIgokea64-84
26/11/23HSplit76-93
22/11/23ABahcesehir Kol.68-103
20/11/23ACrvena zvezda75-95
15/11/23HNymburk76-97
12/11/23HMega Basket65-99
08/11/23ASabah Baku74-81
04/11/23ACibona72-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23HZadar77-92
09/12/23ABuducnost76-82
02/12/23HPartizan61-105
26/11/23HStudentski Centar86-99
18/11/23ABorac Mozzart75-96
11/11/23HCedevita Olimpija84-96
06/11/23AIgokea74-73
27/10/23HSplit84-66
23/10/23HCrvena zvezda72-83
16/10/23HMega Basket73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %8%20%0%
Points / game71.572.470.9
Allowed / game89.689.689.6
Point differential-18.1-17.2-18.7
Avg total161.1162.0160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %25%12%50%
Points / game79.379.279.5
Allowed / game88.690.485.0
Point differential-9.2-11.1-5.5
Avg total167.9169.6164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1211192%89.374.5+14.8
2 Cedevita Olimpija1310377%85.383.2+2.1
3 Partizan129375%95.274.2+21.0
4 Igokea129375%84.879.6+5.2
5 Buducnost128467%83.576.8+6.8
6 Zadar126650%83.380.3+3.0
7 Studentski Centar126650%85.686.2-0.7
8 Borac Mozzart126650%77.681.3-3.8
9 Mega Basket125742%83.881.5+2.3
10 Cibona135838%78.384.5-6.2
11 Split124833%74.178.9-4.8
12 FMP Beograd123925%79.388.6-9.2
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1221017%73.685.7-12.1
14 Mornar Bar121118%71.589.6-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1922112375
FMP Beograd1922201677
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