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Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-88
26-19 22-26 17-21 25-22
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game77.5
Mornar Bar 🏆
Montenegro
vs
Sutjeska
Montenegro
Position#2
Record7-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game81.2
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 12· Topolica Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Sutjeska
27 Dec 2025
MBA90
SUT88
19 May 2019
MBA83
SUT75
15 May 2019
MBA88
SUT74
29 Apr 2019
MBA106
SUT87
19 May 2018
MBA97
SUT73
30 Apr 2018
MBA79
SUT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sutjeska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 67
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
97-67
97
67
+30
97avg 67
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Vrsac
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 67
H12/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
63avg 67
A16/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
100-89
100
89
+11
84avg 67
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
59avg 67
A10/12
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 67
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
63-102
63
102
-39
50avg 67
H17/12
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
L
66-76
66
76
-10
52avg 67
A24/12
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
12-19
19-31
18-18
23-16
24-15
31-12
19-24
16-19
21-22
20-17
23-18
22-20
12-15
17-27
20-21
25-13
19-20
25-22
13-29
32-30
31-26
18-17
19-16
18-21
15-12
20-30
20-25
21-17
21-22
17-12
21-24
18-23
22-25
8-26
15-28
15-21
20-20
21-13
10-22
160.6Avg total
78.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.477.5158.9+3.960%
Season at home (5)85.075.2160.2+9.880%
Season away (5)77.879.8157.6-2.040%
Last 10 (10)78.382.3160.6-4.040%
Last 5 (5)76.486.0162.4-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.491.6164.9-18.26%
vs Similar (4)90.075.2165.2+14.8100%
vs Weaker (7)78.076.6154.6+1.457%
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SutjeskaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSutjeska
Date
Competition
Ulcinj
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
71avg 80
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
66-70
66
70
-4
52avg 80
A07/11
Prva A Liga
Radnicki
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 80
A10/11
ABA League 2
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
83avg 80
A15/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 80
H19/11
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
132-89
132
89
+43
no box
H22/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 80
A04/12
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
63avg 80
H09/12
ABA League 2
Primorje
#3
W
93-89
93
89
+4
76avg 80
H14/12
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
W
110-90
110
90
+20
110avg 80
H24/12
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
24-11
28-22
15-28
13-17
16-13
12-16
25-24
25-21
24-22
26-21
13-14
26-23
20-20
15-24
35-22
20-29
19-19
24-13
16-22
34-26
33-21
31-22
34-20
25-25
15-20
17-29
20-17
19-23
18-23
15-18
27-28
18-17
29-23
18-26
28-23
34-15
20-26
25-24
31-25
174.9Avg total
90.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.181.2172.3+9.970%
Season at home (4)101.585.5187.0+16.075%
Season away (6)84.278.3162.5+5.867%
Last 10 (10)90.384.6174.9+5.760%
Last 5 (5)98.290.2188.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.077.0164.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (4)69.586.8156.2-17.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)91.679.0170.6+12.683%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Mornar BarSutjeska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Vrsac
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H12/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/12
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H17/12
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
Prva A Liga
80.0Avg total
40.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.880.4-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.641.882.4-1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)36.341.878.1-5.514%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.180.0+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.486.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.643.879.4-8.322%-
vs Similar (4)46.540.587.0+6.075%-
vs Weaker (7)41.137.778.9+3.457%-
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulcinj
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A07/11
Prva A Liga
Radnicki
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A10/11
ABA League 2
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A15/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H19/11
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H22/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A04/12
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/12
ABA League 2
Primorje
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/12
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/12
ABA League 2
85.6Avg total
44.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.083.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.385.7+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)42.338.781.0+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.885.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)49.043.892.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.038.072.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (4)33.546.279.8-12.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.538.884.2+6.767%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.5
50.3%
58.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.1
29.2%
31.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.313.2
68.4%
69.7%13.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sutjeska: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.8
57.5%
58.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.4
34.7%
31.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
69.7%16.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLWLWLLWWL
Sutjeska
WWLLWLWWLW
#4
League position
#2
-19.4
Net rating
+5.7
96.2
Offensive rating
111.9
115.6
Defensive rating
106.2
47.8%
Effective FG%
55.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.2%
3-point %
34.7%
49.2%
Assist %
65.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 111.9Defence115.6 · 106.2Shooting47.8% · 55.1%3-point %29.2% · 34.7%Ball care17.3% · 16.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Sutjeska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mornar Bar wins
3
Sutjeska wins
DateGameScore
02/06/21Sutjeska v Mornar Bar76-106
19/05/19Mornar Bar v Sutjeska83-75
17/05/19Sutjeska v Mornar Bar75-73
15/05/19Mornar Bar v Sutjeska88-74
09/05/19Sutjeska v Mornar Bar90-84
29/04/19Mornar Bar v Sutjeska106-87
21/05/18Sutjeska v Mornar Bar78-100
19/05/18Mornar Bar v Sutjeska97-73
15/05/18Sutjeska v Mornar Bar70-74
30/04/18Mornar Bar v Sutjeska79-81
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/25AKotor66-76
17/12/25HSiroki Brijeg63-102
13/12/25HDanilovgrad80-75
10/12/25ASloboda73-88
06/12/25AJedinstvo100-89
21/11/25HDecic82-84
16/11/25APrimorje71-83
12/11/25HVrsac80-76
08/11/25HStudentski Centar97-67
01/11/25ATivat71-83
Sutjeskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/25HJahorina110-90
14/12/25HPrimorje93-89
09/12/25HZlatibor79-92
04/12/25AStudentski Centar77-91
22/11/25HTivat132-89
19/11/25HJedinstvo79-83
15/11/25AVukovi Zeta96-89
10/11/25ARadnicki88-78
07/11/25AIbar Rozaje66-70
01/11/25AUlcinj83-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game81.485.077.8
Allowed / game77.575.279.8
Point differential+3.9+9.8-2.0
Avg total158.9160.2157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sutjeska
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game91.1101.584.2
Allowed / game81.285.578.3
Point differential+9.9+16.0+5.8
Avg total172.3187.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jedinstvo1210283%88.181.5+6.6
2 Primorje119282%91.579.2+12.3
3 Sutjeska107370%91.181.2+9.9
4 Mornar Bar106460%81.477.5+3.9
5 Lovcen Cetinje106460%78.075.8+2.2
6 Kotor116555%79.577.9+1.6
7 Ibar Rozaje116555%77.076.4+0.6
8 Tivat115645%85.693.6-8.0
9 Podgorica125742%80.481.4-1.0
10 Vukovi Zeta114736%82.885.6-2.8
11 Studentski Centar114736%75.282.0-6.8
12 Ulcinj124833%77.381.0-3.7
13 Decic113827%82.585.3-2.7
14 Danilovgrad112918%76.186.9-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2622172590
Sutjeska1926212288
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