Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 106-87

26-21 31-27 28-20 21-19

Position#3

Record2-0

FormLWLWW

Points / game93.5

Allowed / game79.0

Mornar Bar 🏆

Sutjeska

Position#4

Record13-5

FormLLWWW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game74.0

Prva A LigaRound 3

Other2018-19

Meetings · Mornar Bar v Sutjeska

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutjeska winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zadar

#11

89-81

H13/01

ABA League

Mega Bemax

80-82

-2

A19/01

ABA League

Cibona

91-78

+13

H28/01

ABA League

Buducnost

71-102

102

-31

A04/02

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

57-90

-33

H09/02

ABA League

Igokea

60-81

-21

A02/03

ABA League

FMP Beograd

79-69

+10

H10/03

ABA League

Cedevita

80-94

-14

A15/03

ABA League

Jedinstvo

102-80

102

+22

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

85-78

A27/04

Prva A Liga

22-25

25-14

25-22

17-20

21-14

15-23

22-16

22-29

24-19

26-19

21-18

20-22

15-22

17-26

15-28

24-26

14-25

12-25

19-30

12-10

10-18

20-19

21-24

9-20

23-13

18-23

20-13

18-20

20-26

17-18

22-28

21-22

19-17

30-17

29-19

24-27

16-21

23-22

26-14

20-21

162.9Avg total

79.4Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	93.5	79.0	172.5	+14.5	100%
Season at home (1)	102.0	80.0	182.0	+22.0	100%
Season away (1)	85.0	78.0	163.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	83.5	162.9	-4.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	80.4	161.6	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	78.8	93.1	171.8	-14.3	12%
vs Similar (12)	82.7	81.6	164.2	+1.1	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	93.5	79.0	172.5	+14.5	100%

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutjeska

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ibar Rozaje

80-78

A10/02

Prva A Liga

Vukovi Zeta

#11

77-70

H23/02

Prva A Liga

Spars Sarajevo

74-76

-2

A28/02

ABA League 2

Jedinstvo

70-78

-8

A02/03

Prva A Liga

MZT Skopje

91-79

+12

H06/03

ABA League 2

Studentski Centar

58-83

-25

H08/03

Prva A Liga

Borac Mozzart

68-92

-24

A13/03

ABA League 2

Primorje

79-61

+18

A23/03

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

79-77

A25/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

103-78

103

+25

H27/04

Prva A Liga

18-21

23-27

18-18

21-12

–

23-17

16-25

24-10

11-24

14-17

23-22

19-21

14-18

30-21

24-17

24-14

13-27

21-14

12-21

10-31

15-17

19-31

15-20

13-26

21-15

26-13

10-16

22-18

21-14

15-18

19-14

29-18

16-27

23-18

32-19

22-19

26-22

155.1Avg total

77.9Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	79.9	74.0	153.9	+5.9	72%
Season at home (9)	81.4	73.8	155.2	+7.7	78%
Season away (9)	78.3	74.2	152.6	+4.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	77.2	155.1	+0.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	78.2	155.6	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	85.0	84.0	169.0	+1.0	60%
vs Similar (13)	77.8	79.1	156.9	-1.2	62%
vs Weaker (12)	79.5	73.5	153.0	+6.0	75%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mornar BarSutjeska

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.6	41.8	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	22.6	44.4	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.0	22.7	38.7	-6.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.3	24.4	43.8	-5.1	19%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.1	39.5	+1.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	80%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.7	21.5	40.2	-2.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.1	42.2	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.4	41.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.8	23.1	42.8	-3.3	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	26.5	19.5	46.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.9	41.6	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.7	39.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	80%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	55%	-

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zadar

#11

47-39

H13/01

ABA League

Mega Bemax

36-37

-1

A19/01

ABA League

Cibona

50-38

+12

H28/01

ABA League

Buducnost

32-48

-16

A04/02

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

26-50

-24

H09/02

ABA League

Igokea

30-37

-7

A02/03

ABA League

FMP Beograd

41-36

H10/03

ABA League

Cedevita

37-44

-7

A15/03

ABA League

Jedinstvo

49-34

+15

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

39-43

-4

A27/04

Prva A Liga

79.3Avg total

38.7Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	43.8	84.0	-3.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	43.5	87.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	44.1	80.4	-7.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	40.6	79.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.8	78.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.1	47.5	86.6	-8.4	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.2	39.7	80.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	44.0	38.5	82.5	+5.5	50%	-

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ibar Rozaje

41-48

-7

A10/02

Prva A Liga

Spars Sarajevo

39-42

-3

A28/02

ABA League 2

Jedinstvo

37-39

-2

A02/03

Prva A Liga

MZT Skopje

54-38

+16

H06/03

ABA League 2

Studentski Centar

33-35

-2

H08/03

Prva A Liga

Borac Mozzart

34-51

-17

A13/03

ABA League 2

Primorje

36-29

A23/03

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

34-32

A25/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

55-37

+18

H27/04

Prva A Liga

79.3Avg total

40.3Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.7	39.2	80.0	+1.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.0	38.1	81.1	+4.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	40.5	78.8	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.3	39.0	79.3	+1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.8	75.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	47.4	40.2	87.6	+7.2	60%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.0	41.9	80.9	-2.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.7	35.6	75.4	+4.1	55%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	20.3	41.2	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	27.5	16.5	44.0	+11.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	17.9	38.2	+2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.1	19.4	39.6	+0.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.8	18.6	38.5	+1.2	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.2	42.7	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.7	42.6	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-3.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.1	22.4	42.6	-2.3	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.7	21.6	42.2	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	19.6	37.1	-2.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.8	24.8	42.6	-7.0	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.4	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	43.8	84.8	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	43.4	85.9	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	44.1	83.6	-4.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	42.9	83.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	41.6	83.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.7	45.6	85.2	-5.9	19%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.5	41.9	83.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	49.5	40.5	90.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.8	38.2	77.0	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	38.1	78.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	38.3	75.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.7	39.0	76.7	-1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	41.4	80.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.6	43.8	81.4	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.8	37.2	76.0	+1.7	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.4	36.8	76.2	+2.5	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.0	50.8%	58.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.5	29.4%	31.5%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.3	71.2%	69.7%	15.3

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	19.4	50.3%	58.8%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.1	35.0%	31.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.8%	69.7%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.3	50.7%	58.8%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.1	33.5%	31.5%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	21.6	15.5	71.7%	69.7%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.9	52.6%	58.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.6	38.2%	31.5%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.2	74.0%	69.7%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mornar Bar wins

Sutjeska wins

Date	Game	Score
21/05/18	Sutjeska v Mornar Bar	78-100
19/05/18	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	97-73
15/05/18	Sutjeska v Mornar Bar	70-74
30/04/18	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	79-81

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/19	A	Ulcinj	85-78
25/04/19	H	Jedinstvo	102-80
15/03/19	A	Cedevita	80-94
10/03/19	H	FMP Beograd	79-69
02/03/19	A	Igokea	60-81
09/02/19	H	Crvena zvezda	57-90
04/02/19	A	Buducnost	71-102
28/01/19	H	Cibona	91-78
19/01/19	A	Mega Bemax	80-82
13/01/19	H	Zadar	89-81

Sutjeskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/19	H	Lovcen Cetinje	103-78
25/04/19	A	Ulcinj	79-77
23/03/19	A	Primorje	79-61
13/03/19	A	Borac Mozzart	68-92
08/03/19	H	Studentski Centar	58-83
06/03/19	H	MZT Skopje	91-79
02/03/19	A	Jedinstvo	70-78
28/02/19	A	Spars Sarajevo	74-76
23/02/19	H	Vukovi Zeta	77-70
10/02/19	A	Ibar Rozaje	80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	93.5	102.0	85.0
Allowed / game	79.0	80.0	78.0
Point differential	+14.5	+22.0	+7.0
Avg total	172.5	182.0	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sutjeska

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	72%
Home	LWWLW	78%
Away	WWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	72%	78%	67%
Points / game	79.9	81.4	78.3
Allowed / game	74.0	73.8	74.2
Point differential	+5.9	+7.7	+4.1
Avg total	153.9	155.2	152.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	44%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	2	2	0	100%	104.5	77.5	+27.0
2	Mornar Bar	2	2	0	100%	93.5	79.0	+14.5
3	Lovcen Cetinje	18	16	2	89%	85.8	70.4	+15.4
4	Sutjeska	18	13	5	72%	79.9	74.0	+5.9
5	Ibar Rozaje	23	14	9	61%	79.0	73.7	+5.3
6	Ulcinj	18	10	8	56%	80.3	74.3	+6.0
7	Jedinstvo	18	9	9	50%	75.6	81.6	-5.9
8	Studentski Centar	23	9	14	39%	72.8	75.3	-2.5
9	Primorje	24	8	16	33%	75.3	78.7	-3.4
10	Danilovgrad	24	7	17	29%	71.0	79.9	-8.8
11	Vukovi Zeta	24	7	17	29%	74.0	84.0	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mornar Bar	26	31	28	21	106
Sutjeska	21	27	20	19	87

← all games of the day

Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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