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Mount St. Mary's vs Marist Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#295
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#306
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mount St. Mary's v Marist
29 Dec 2026
MOUN v MARI
upcoming
08 Mar 2025
MOUN62
MARI52
19 Jan 2024
MOUN65
MARI48
22 Jan 2023
MOUN59
MARI55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mount St. Mary's win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Marist win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#8
L
52-97
52
97
-45
A03/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
44-42
28-21
37-34
31-31
45-32
20-24
48-23
32-31
37-46
39-25
30-22
21-35
37-28
16-51
36-46
29-22
39-35
30-42
32-40
133.4Avg total
67.0Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)60.778.7139.3-18.033%
Season at home (1)68.057.0125.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)57.089.5146.5-32.50%
Last 10 (10)67.066.4133.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)61.869.2131.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)63.274.3137.5-11.127%
vs Similar (8)72.274.4146.6-2.150%
vs Weaker (7)71.356.3127.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Marist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaristUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A21/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H22/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#106
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H03/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#261
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A08/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#240
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
34-31
42-35
42-35
33-36
32-27
31-30
25-33
42-32
35-43
28-30
29-28
27-26
35-43
38-33
50-47
29-30
32-33
23-30
37-35
134.6Avg total
67.3Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.869.2137.0-1.525%
Season at home (2)75.074.5149.5+0.550%
Season away (2)60.564.0124.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)67.367.3134.6+0.040%
Last 5 (5)65.667.0132.6-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.566.0127.5-4.50%
vs Similar (13)64.068.3132.3-4.331%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)74.462.1136.5+12.387%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -0.4-0.4
Mount St. Mary'sMarist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#8
L
16-51
16
51
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NCAA
60.1Avg total
28.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.534.265.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.233.266.5+0.038%-
Last 30 away (17)30.235.065.2-4.841%-
Last 10 (10)28.531.660.1-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)27.035.062.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.935.765.6-5.740%-
vs Similar (8)35.436.171.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)30.629.059.6+1.629%-
This opponent (Marist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaristLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H22/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#106
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H03/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#261
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#240
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A14/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
32.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.929.863.7+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.427.863.1+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)32.631.664.2+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.864.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)29.029.858.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.028.056.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (13)33.331.264.5+2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)35.228.964.1+6.367%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mount St. Mary's wins
3
Marist wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVirginia Tech62-82
07/11/26HLoyola Maryland68-57
03/11/26AXavier52-97
08/03/26ASiena58-63
01/03/26AFairfield69-47
28/02/26ASacred Heart69-77
22/02/26HCanisius68-47
21/02/26HNiagara76-63
14/02/26ARider65-55
08/02/26AIona83-76
Maristlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALehigh60-65
08/11/26AUMass Lowell61-63
06/11/26HUMBC Retrievers88-80
03/11/26HDartmouth62-69
08/03/26AMerrimack Warriors57-58
07/03/26AQuinnipiac77-75
01/03/26HSt. Peters56-63
22/02/26HSacred Heart65-63
21/02/26AManhattan84-70
15/02/26HSiena63-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game60.768.057.0
Allowed / game78.757.089.5
Point differential-18.0+11.0-32.5
Avg total139.3125.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marist
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.875.060.5
Allowed / game69.274.564.0
Point differential-1.5+0.5-3.5
Avg total137.0149.5124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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