PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murcia vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 71-70
13-18 21-15 16-16 21-21
Position#14
Record5-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game80.5
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#2
Record17-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game75.3
SpainACBRound 21
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Murcia v Barcelona
04 Oct 2026
MUR100
BAR94
06 Jun 2026
MUR76
BAR100
02 Jun 2026
MUR68
BAR91
01 Feb 2026
MUR84
BAR83
26 Jan 2025
MUR90
BAR95
19 Nov 2023
MUR82
BAR73
15 Jan 2023
MUR72
BAR86
29 Mar 2022
MUR87
BAR89
19 Feb 2022
MUR90
BAR103
27 Oct 2020
MUR77
BAR73
03 Mar 2019
MUR71
BAR70
03 Mar 2018
MUR55
BAR61
12 Nov 2016
MUR83
BAR99
25 Oct 2015
MUR74
BAR82
05 Apr 2015
MUR64
BAR76
07 May 2014
MUR72
BAR84
24 Feb 2013
MUR62
BAR79
09 Oct 2011
MUR54
BAR62
01 May 2010
MUR54
BAR73
08 Oct 2008
MUR58
BAR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
H09/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
H13/01
ACB
Avellino
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A16/01
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A20/01
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H22/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H26/01
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H29/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A03/02
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H05/02
Champions League
Breogan
#18
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A10/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
14-23
20-12
22-21
8-16
20-17
29-20
14-18
21-16
11-16
18-8
13-17
18-14
25-11
19-37
20-28
23-21
27-9
13-22
15-18
17-20
12-12
18-27
20-18
11-11
22-5
20-21
20-10
20-23
21-25
20-17
18-26
29-13
23-18
16-20
18-20
21-16
13-20
21-18
18-23
155.2Avg total
78.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.580.5155.1-6.025%
Season at home (10)75.475.3150.7+0.140%
Season away (10)73.785.8159.5-12.110%
Last 10 (10)78.676.6155.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)75.672.6148.2+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.788.3161.0-15.60%
vs Similar (14)77.274.7151.9+2.557%
vs Weaker (9)76.867.7144.4+9.189%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H27/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
W
76-55
76
55
+21
A31/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A02/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H07/02
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H09/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H21/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H01/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
24-26
25-18
28-24
27-6
11-22
17-15
21-12
13-16
11-19
16-9
17-19
23-20
22-18
15-24
18-10
24-15
35-21
17-22
30-18
13-21
24-18
21-19
28-21
17-15
24-14
31-23
20-34
20-16
15-19
11-25
31-17
22-9
24-17
16-19
15-22
16-17
26-20
14-14
21-19
158.1Avg total
83.7Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.475.3162.7+12.185%
Season at home (11)90.874.1164.9+16.7100%
Season away (9)83.276.8160.0+6.467%
Last 10 (10)83.774.4158.1+9.390%
Last 5 (5)85.279.0164.2+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.281.3157.5-5.250%
vs Similar (12)80.874.4155.2+6.483%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.573.5158.1+11.073%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
MurciaBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H13/01
ACB
Avellino
#25
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/01
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#11
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A20/01
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H26/01
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H29/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/02
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/02
Champions League
Breogan
#18
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/02
ACB
69.6Avg total
37.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.235.671.7+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.733.571.2+4.250%-
Last 30 away (16)34.837.472.2-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.369.6+5.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.670.4+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.939.671.4-7.714%-
vs Similar (14)37.336.073.3+1.336%-
vs Weaker (9)37.831.869.6+6.067%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A02/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H07/02
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H09/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H21/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/03
Euroleague
75.2Avg total
40.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.177.9+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.437.279.6+5.261%-
Last 30 away (12)35.939.675.5-3.742%-
Last 10 (10)40.834.475.2+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.273.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.244.081.2-6.817%-
vs Similar (12)39.836.576.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.536.678.1+4.864%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.1
48.5%
52.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.7
36.9%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.911.2
66.3%
74.6%11.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.5
50.9%
52.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.8
41.5%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.814.4
69.2%
74.6%14.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLWLWLWLW
Barcelona
WWWWWWWLWW
#14
League position
#2
-8.4
Net rating
+9.1
99.9
Offensive rating
110.5
108.3
Defensive rating
101.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.9%
3-point %
41.5%
50.0%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 110.5Defence108.3 · 101.3Shooting51.1% · 55.0%3-point %36.9% · 41.5%Ball care19.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Murcia   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murcia wins
9
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
11/11/18Barcelona v Murcia105-73
03/03/18Murcia v Barcelona55-61
29/10/17Barcelona v Murcia94-97
05/03/17Barcelona v Murcia73-70
12/11/16Murcia v Barcelona83-99
20/03/16Barcelona v Murcia77-71
25/10/15Murcia v Barcelona74-82
05/04/15Murcia v Barcelona64-76
30/11/14Barcelona v Murcia90-70
07/05/14Murcia v Barcelona72-84
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/19ABreogan73-77
05/02/19HBanvit86-71
03/02/19AObradoiro CAB79-91
29/01/19HLudwigsburg73-47
26/01/19HMoraBanc Andorra67-77
22/01/19HAnwil Wloclawek78-70
20/01/19AGran Canaria82-90
16/01/19AAvellino63-57
13/01/19HTenerife91-96 OT
09/01/19HNizhny Novgorod94-90 OT
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/19HReal Madrid77-70
21/02/19HBaskonia77-67
17/02/19AReal Madrid94-93 OT
16/02/19HTenerife92-86
14/02/19HValencia86-79
09/02/19HFuenlabrada106-76
07/02/19HZalgiris Kaunas78-72
02/02/19ATenerife57-63
31/01/19AOlympiacos76-55
27/01/19HUnicaja94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%40%10%
Points / game74.575.473.7
Allowed / game80.575.385.8
Point differential-6.0+0.1-12.1
Avg total155.1150.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Barcelona
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game87.490.883.2
Allowed / game75.374.176.8
Point differential+12.1+16.7+6.4
Avg total162.7164.9160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2017385%87.475.3+12.1
2 Real Madrid2116576%88.879.7+9.0
3 Baskonia2014670%83.972.2+11.7
4 Unicaja2013765%86.083.8+2.3
5 Valencia2113862%79.177.7+1.4
6 Joventut Badalona2012860%79.678.5+1.1
7 Tenerife2112957%82.077.3+4.7
8 Manresa2112957%82.681.0+1.7
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza21111052%82.384.3-2.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra21101148%83.083.7-0.7
11 Obradoiro CAB21101148%78.480.8-2.4
12 San Pablo Burgos2081240%81.683.1-1.5
13 Estudiantes2181338%82.686.0-3.4
14 Fuenlabrada2071335%78.587.1-8.7
15 Breogan2171433%75.980.9-5.0
16 Gran Canaria2061430%80.484.0-3.5
17 Murcia2051525%74.580.5-6.0
18 Gipuzkoa2141719%73.483.8-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1321162171
Barcelona1815162170
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.