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Breogan vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-73
16-21 20-13 18-21 23-18
Position#18
Record6-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game81.6
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#14
Record5-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game80.7
SpainACBRound 20
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Breogan v Murcia
03 Jan 2027
BRE v MUR
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
BRE95
MUR106
22 Mar 2025
BRE70
MUR86
17 Dec 2023
BRE74
MUR83
07 May 2023
BRE60
MUR65
31 Oct 2021
BRE94
MUR89
10 Feb 2019
BRE77
MUR73
09 Jan 2011
BRE73
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
86avg 102
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
78-100
78
100
-22
105avg 102
A09/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
84-71
84
71
+13
112avg 102
H16/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
109avg 102
H22/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
A30/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
116avg 102
H06/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
106avg 102
A13/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
87avg 102
H20/01
ACB
Manresa
#8
L
71-80
71
80
-9
99avg 102
H26/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A02/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
10-13
14-23
24-24
13-18
15-25
23-26
27-31
20-21
25-13
25-13
14-24
20-20
19-13
26-24
20-22
15-17
19-16
26-23
13-17
23-21
24-15
14-13
22-22
20-27
18-23
28-27
14-17
17-20
13-15
19-30
16-12
20-24
14-12
21-22
16-22
21-15
15-22
18-24
15-22
159.8Avg total
77.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.081.6157.6-5.632%
Season at home (9)77.175.0152.1+2.156%
Season away (10)75.087.6162.6-12.610%
Last 10 (10)77.682.2159.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)73.681.0154.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.683.9158.4-9.314%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.075.4155.4+4.680%
vs Weaker (11)90.079.3169.3+10.773%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
68-88
68
88
-20
94avg 101
A06/01
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H09/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
no box
H13/01
ACB
Avellino
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
no box
A16/01
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
91avg 101
A20/01
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H22/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
67-77
67
77
-10
81avg 101
H26/01
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
73-47
73
47
+26
no box
H29/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
79-91
79
91
-12
101avg 101
A03/02
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H05/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
13-12
17-18
24-27
17-17
14-23
20-12
22-21
8-16
20-17
29-20
14-18
21-16
11-16
18-8
13-17
18-14
25-11
19-37
20-28
23-21
27-9
13-22
15-18
17-20
12-12
18-27
20-18
11-11
22-5
20-21
20-10
20-23
21-25
20-17
18-26
29-13
23-18
16-20
18-20
155.8Avg total
78.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.680.7155.4-6.126%
Season at home (10)75.475.3150.7+0.140%
Season away (9)73.886.8160.6-13.011%
Last 10 (10)78.177.7155.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)76.671.2147.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.788.3161.0-15.60%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.173.6150.8+3.564%
vs Weaker (9)76.867.7144.4+9.189%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
BreoganMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A30/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H06/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/01
ACB
Manresa
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H26/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/02
ACB
71.8Avg total
35.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.977.6+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.235.978.1+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.339.877.1-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.636.271.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.875.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.839.174.9-3.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.632.871.4+5.8100%-
vs Weaker (11)45.338.583.8+6.773%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A06/01
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H13/01
ACB
Avellino
#25
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/01
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#11
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A20/01
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H26/01
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H29/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/02
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/02
Champions League
69.6Avg total
36.6Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.335.571.8+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.833.571.3+4.353%-
Last 30 away (15)34.937.572.3-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.633.069.6+3.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.031.472.4+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.939.671.4-7.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.635.973.5+1.843%-
vs Weaker (9)37.831.869.6+6.067%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.716.0
43.6%
52.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.711.7
74.5%
74.6%11.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.1
49.2%
52.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.6
38.1%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.610.4
66.7%
74.6%10.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLLLWWWWLL
Murcia
WLWLWLWLWL
#18
League position
#14
-6.7
Net rating
-8.9
102.9
Offensive rating
101.3
109.6
Defensive rating
110.2
49.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.9%
3-point %
38.1%
57.7%
Assist %
50.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 101.3Defence109.6 · 110.2Shooting49.3% · 52.1%3-point %37.9% · 38.1%Ball care17.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds28.5% · 28.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
2
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
03/11/18Murcia v Breogan76-64
09/01/11Breogan v Murcia73-84
01/10/10Murcia v Breogan83-87
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza69-83
26/01/19HManresa71-80
20/01/19HValencia65-77
13/01/19ABarcelona80-94
06/01/19HGipuzkoa83-71
30/12/18AFuenlabrada98-95 OT
22/12/18HMoraBanc Andorra85-79
16/12/18HReal Madrid84-71
09/12/18ABaskonia78-100
25/11/18AManresa63-72
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/19HBanvit86-71
03/02/19AObradoiro CAB79-91
29/01/19HLudwigsburg73-47
26/01/19HMoraBanc Andorra67-77
22/01/19HAnwil Wloclawek78-70
20/01/19AGran Canaria82-90
16/01/19AAvellino63-57
13/01/19HTenerife91-96 OT
09/01/19HNizhny Novgorod94-90 OT
06/01/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza68-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL32%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLLWLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%56%10%
Points / game76.077.175.0
Allowed / game81.675.087.6
Point differential-5.6+2.1-12.6
Avg total157.6152.1162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Murcia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%40%11%
Points / game74.675.473.8
Allowed / game80.775.386.8
Point differential-6.1+0.1-13.0
Avg total155.4150.7160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2017385%87.475.3+12.1
2 Baskonia1914574%84.371.7+12.6
3 Real Madrid1914574%89.280.6+8.6
4 Unicaja2013765%86.083.8+2.3
5 Tenerife2012860%81.576.1+5.4
6 Valencia2012860%79.878.3+1.4
7 Joventut Badalona1911858%79.278.8+0.3
8 Manresa2011955%81.780.5+1.2
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza1910953%81.883.7-1.9
10 MoraBanc Andorra20101050%83.883.5+0.3
11 Obradoiro CAB2091145%78.581.2-2.6
12 San Pablo Burgos2081240%81.683.1-1.5
13 Estudiantes2081240%82.285.3-3.1
14 Fuenlabrada2071335%78.587.1-8.7
15 Gran Canaria1961332%80.283.6-3.5
16 Breogan1961332%76.081.6-5.6
17 Murcia1951426%74.680.7-6.1
18 Gipuzkoa1931616%72.984.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1620182377
Murcia2113211873
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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