PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-70
16-17 26-20 14-14 21-19
Position#5
Record14-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#3
Record18-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game76.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2018
Meetings · Barcelona v Real Madrid
05 Mar 2027
BAR v MAD
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
BAR v MAD
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
BAR76
MAD95
07 Nov 2025
BAR92
MAD101
06 Apr 2025
BAR89
MAD91
28 Nov 2024
BAR90
MAD97
02 Jun 2024
BAR92
MAD95
07 Apr 2024
BAR85
MAD79
03 Jan 2024
BAR83
MAD78
16 Sep 2023
BAR80
MAD90
18 Jun 2023
BAR86
MAD85
16 Jun 2023
BAR97
MAD88
19 May 2023
BAR66
MAD78
16 Apr 2023
BAR97
MAD82
13 Oct 2022
BAR75
MAD73
15 Jun 2022
BAR71
MAD69
13 Jun 2022
BAR75
MAD88
19 May 2022
BAR83
MAD86
10 Apr 2022
BAR108
MAD97
10 Dec 2021
BAR93
MAD80
12 Sep 2021
BAR83
MAD88
15 Jun 2021
BAR92
MAD73
11 Apr 2021
BAR85
MAD87
23 Oct 2020
BAR79
MAD72
01 Mar 2019
BAR77
MAD70
25 Nov 2018
BAR86
MAD69
11 Mar 2018
BAR94
MAD72
23 Feb 2018
BAR74
MAD101
18 Nov 2016
BAR63
MAD102
06 Nov 2016
BAR85
MAD75
17 Jun 2016
BAR70
MAD90
15 Jun 2016
BAR100
MAD99
24 Apr 2016
BAR86
MAD91
17 Mar 2016
BAR72
MAD65
24 Jun 2015
BAR85
MAD90
02 Apr 2015
BAR85
MAD80
22 Feb 2015
BAR71
MAD77
28 Dec 2014
BAR76
MAD68
26 Jun 2014
BAR83
MAD81
24 Jun 2014
BAR94
MAD79
16 May 2014
BAR62
MAD100
10 May 2014
BAR86
MAD75
16 Jun 2013
BAR73
MAD62
14 Jun 2013
BAR72
MAD84
10 May 2013
BAR67
MAD74
30 Dec 2012
BAR96
MAD89
23 Sep 2012
BAR84
MAD95
16 Jun 2012
BAR73
MAD69
08 Jun 2012
BAR69
MAD75
06 Jun 2012
BAR81
MAD80
03 May 2012
BAR86
MAD83
19 Feb 2012
BAR74
MAD91
30 Sep 2011
BAR74
MAD70
30 Dec 2010
BAR95
MAD75
24 Sep 2010
BAR89
MAD55
10 Apr 2010
BAR78
MAD73
25 Mar 2010
BAR63
MAD70
23 Mar 2010
BAR68
MAD61
21 Feb 2010
BAR80
MAD61
04 Mar 2009
BAR90
MAD79
20 Dec 2008
BAR87
MAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
105avg 112
H25/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
117avg 112
H27/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
W
76-55
76
55
+21
103avg 112
A31/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
L
57-63
57
63
-6
84avg 112
A02/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
104avg 112
H07/02
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
106-76
106
76
+30
144avg 112
H09/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
109avg 112
H21/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
21-24
20-19
15-21
17-15
24-26
25-18
28-24
27-6
11-22
17-15
21-12
13-16
11-19
16-9
17-19
23-20
22-18
15-24
18-10
24-15
35-21
17-22
30-18
13-21
24-18
21-19
28-21
17-15
24-14
31-23
20-34
20-16
15-19
11-25
31-17
22-9
24-17
16-19
15-22
159.4Avg total
83.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.276.0154.2+2.361%
Season at home (11)78.171.4149.5+6.773%
Season away (12)78.380.2158.5-1.850%
Last 10 (10)83.675.8159.4+7.880%
Last 5 (5)91.080.2171.2+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.083.6159.6-7.640%
vs Similar (13)80.074.5154.5+5.577%
vs Weaker (11)84.573.5158.1+11.073%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
92-84
92
84
+8
127avg 117
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
118avg 117
H27/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
116avg 117
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
L
102-103 OT
102
103
-1
no box
A03/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
105avg 117
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
107avg 117
H10/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Bayern
#12
W
91-78
91
78
+13
124avg 117
H22/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
21-21
22-19
28-23
12-27
31-13
25-19
21-20
23-16
30-22
19-21
14-23
27-19
30-22
19-28
19-26
20-22
20-12
21-30
17-18
15-19
22-18
20-15
25-24
29-27
21-7
23-14
21-15
26-18
22-20
23-14
22-29
16-20
19-15
25-11
17-31
22-17
20-22
29-13
20-26
172.2Avg total
90.0Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.076.7162.7+9.478%
Season at home (12)91.776.8168.5+14.892%
Season away (11)79.976.5156.4+3.564%
Last 10 (10)90.082.2172.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)90.678.4169.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.980.2161.1+0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.579.6166.0+6.971%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
BarcelonaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A02/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H07/02
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H09/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H21/02
Euroleague
75.8Avg total
40.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.077.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.437.279.6+5.259%-
Last 30 away (13)35.139.274.2-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.735.175.8+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.076.6+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.245.481.6-9.20%-
vs Similar (13)38.736.375.0+2.462%-
vs Weaker (11)41.536.678.1+4.864%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H27/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A03/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Bayern
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/02
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
44.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.081.9+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.638.182.8+6.575%-
Last 30 away (14)41.139.981.0+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)44.737.882.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.679.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)40.038.678.6+1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.839.383.1+4.467%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.8
51.8%
52.7%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.99.1
41.6%
37.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.414.6
71.6%
76.7%14.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.4
55.1%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.0
37.7%
37.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
76.7%13.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWWLWWL
Real Madrid
WLWWWLLWWW
#5
League position
#3
+10.4
Net rating
+7.0
113.5
Offensive rating
116.4
103.1
Defensive rating
109.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
41.6%
3-point %
37.7%
58.1%
Assist %
59.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 116.4Defence103.1 · 109.4Shooting55.7% · 55.7%3-point %41.6% · 37.7%Ball care16.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.1% · 30.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Barcelona   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Barcelona wins
5
Real Madrid wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/19HBaskonia77-67
17/02/19AReal Madrid94-93 OT
16/02/19HTenerife92-86
14/02/19HValencia86-79
09/02/19HFuenlabrada106-76
07/02/19HZalgiris Kaunas78-72
02/02/19ATenerife57-63
31/01/19AOlympiacos76-55
27/01/19HUnicaja94-83
25/01/19HCSKA Moscow76-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/19HBayern91-78
17/02/19HBarcelona93-94 OT
16/02/19HJoventut Badalona93-81
15/02/19HEstudiantes94-63
10/02/19HBaskonia82-76
08/02/19ACSKA Moscow78-82
03/02/19AUnicaja102-103 OT
01/02/19ADarussafaka86-82
27/01/19HFuenlabrada89-79
24/01/19HAnadolu Efes92-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game78.278.178.3
Allowed / game76.071.480.2
Point differential+2.3+6.7-1.8
Avg total154.2149.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%64%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%92%64%
Points / game86.091.779.9
Allowed / game76.776.876.5
Point differential+9.4+14.8+3.5
Avg total162.7168.5156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%75%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2421388%84.674.5+10.1
2 CSKA Moscow2419579%88.080.8+7.2
3 Real Madrid2318578%86.076.7+9.4
4 Anadolu Efes2415962%84.179.8+4.4
5 Barcelona2314961%78.276.0+2.3
6 Olimpia Milano24131154%87.586.0+1.5
7 Baskonia24121250%81.079.5+1.5
8 Olympiacos24121250%77.877.5+0.3
9 Bayern24121250%79.680.5-1.0
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv24111346%79.379.5-0.2
11 Panathinaikos24111346%78.979.9-1.0
12 Khimki M.2491538%78.480.0-1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2491538%77.779.5-1.8
14 Buducnost2461825%74.684.6-10.0
15 Gran Canaria2461825%79.189.0-10.0
16 Darussafaka2432112%74.384.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona1626142177
Real Madrid1720141970
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.