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Murcia vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-92
26-13 25-31 27-25 19-23
Position#9
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.2
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#38
Record2-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Meetings · Murcia v Karsiyaka
03 Jan 2023
MUR97
KAR92
04 Apr 2018
MUR81
KAR72
08 Nov 2017
MUR91
KAR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 71
H05/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
57-93
57
93
-36
42avg 71
A20/11
ACB
Szombathely
#31
W
81-74
81
74
+7
75avg 71
H23/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 71
H27/11
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
73-102
73
102
-29
60avg 71
A04/12
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A07/12
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 71
H10/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
92avg 71
H17/12
ACB
Tofas
#27
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 71
A21/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#4
L
66-82
66
82
-16
53avg 71
A28/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
28-13
18-25
25-16
9-27
13-25
21-19
14-22
13-19
25-16
20-22
23-17
16-21
19-27
18-15
27-21
12-29
18-20
21-36
22-17
15-18
17-19
22-21
16-24
20-18
24-8
15-23
17-23
25-15
18-24
31-22
25-24
22-14
18-21
25-19
22-23
20-21
17-15
11-24
18-22
160.4Avg total
77.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.281.2162.3+0.067%
Season at home (3)78.774.7153.3+4.0100%
Season away (3)83.787.7171.3-4.033%
Last 10 (10)77.782.7160.4-5.050%
Last 5 (5)79.679.6159.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.088.1165.1-11.129%
vs Similar (18)81.081.9162.9-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.481.6166.0+2.840%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#36
L
70-74
70
74
-4
61avg 72
A22/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
112-111 OT
112
111
+1
no box
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 72
H07/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
96-75
96
75
+21
no box
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 72
A21/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#5
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#15
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-16
20-22
17-17
22-11
28-25
22-15
20-25
30-27
16-15
23-29
21-19
21-19
12-24
18-26
29-20
25-17
24-18
20-25
27-15
23-16
27-15
11-18
26-22
20-9
20-15
16-26
16-30
21-31
20-20
18-15
22-14
26-32
27-16
20-25
23-18
15-18
32-21
15-14
11-25
168.4Avg total
85.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.881.7159.5-3.833%
Season at home (3)84.784.3169.0+0.367%
Season away (3)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)85.982.5168.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)81.880.0161.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.987.7167.6-7.830%
vs Similar (12)78.778.8157.5-0.258%
vs Weaker (8)85.976.5162.4+9.475%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
MurciaKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A20/11
ACB
Szombathely
#31
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H23/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H27/11
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A04/12
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A07/12
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H10/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/12
ACB
Tofas
#27
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A21/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/12
ACB
75.8Avg total
36.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.281.5-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.279.3+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.345.784.0-7.421%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.275.8-2.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.673.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.142.079.1-4.957%-
vs Similar (18)39.742.482.1-2.739%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.642.082.6-1.420%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#36
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H07/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A21/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#15
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.6Avg total
44.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.682.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.440.783.1+1.762%-
Last 30 away (17)42.538.881.2+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.238.482.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.684.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.743.484.1-2.730%-
vs Similar (12)40.237.978.1+2.250%-
vs Weaker (8)48.037.485.4+10.6100%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
51.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.4
30.1%
35.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.017.5
79.5%
74.3%17.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.4
51.2%
51.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.5
31.9%
35.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.9
73.7%
74.3%12.9
They take 55.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWWWLLLWLW
Karsiyaka
LWWLWWLWWL
#9
League position
#38
-6.9
Net rating
-12.5
101.3
Offensive rating
104.8
108.2
Defensive rating
117.3
46.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.1%
3-point %
31.9%
54.7%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 104.8Defence108.2 · 117.3Shooting46.3% · 49.8%3-point %30.1% · 31.9%Ball care18.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
2
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
04/04/18Murcia v Karsiyaka81-72
27/03/18Karsiyaka v Murcia65-79
23/01/18Karsiyaka v Murcia79-72
08/11/17Murcia v Karsiyaka91-96 OT
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/22AUnicaja66-82
21/12/22ATofas87-77
17/12/22HGran Canaria99-85
10/12/22HReal Betis76-72
07/12/22AStrasbourg70-82
04/12/22ABaskonia73-102
27/11/22HObradoiro CAB80-84
23/11/22HSzombathely81-74
20/11/22AReal Madrid57-93
05/11/22HJoventut Badalona88-76
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22ABahcesehir Kol.73-78
27/12/22HGaziantep96-91
24/12/22HBursaspor81-80
21/12/22AAEK Athens72-80
17/12/22ADarussafaka87-71
10/12/22HPetkim Spor96-75
07/12/22HBonn80-89
04/12/22AAnadolu Efes112-111 OT
26/11/22HMerkezefendi92-76
22/11/22AReggiana70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game81.278.783.7
Allowed / game81.274.787.7
Point differential+0.0+4.0-4.0
Avg total162.3153.3171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Champions League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game77.884.771.0
Allowed / game81.784.379.0
Point differential-3.8+0.3-8.0
Avg total159.5169.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Bonn65183%83.273.8+9.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
4 Benfica97278%80.275.2+5.0
5 Ludwigsburg75271%84.675.7+8.9
6 Tenerife64267%85.371.2+14.2
7 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
8 Bilbao64267%79.570.8+8.7
9 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
10 Galatasaray64267%85.778.8+6.8
11 Manresa64267%83.778.3+5.3
12 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
13 Hapoel Holon64267%86.083.2+2.8
14 Strasbourg64267%80.880.2+0.7
15 Murcia64267%81.281.2+0.0
16 Rytas74357%84.379.3+5.0
17 Dijon74357%77.078.7-1.7
18 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
19 Tofas84450%78.874.6+4.1
20 Igokea63350%77.876.0+1.8
21 AEK Athens63350%76.374.7+1.7
22 Oostende63350%80.280.2+0.0
23 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
24 Bahcesehir Kol.63350%72.878.3-5.5
25 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
26 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
27 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
28 Limoges73443%74.169.9+4.3
29 Peristeri73443%77.083.4-6.4
30 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
31 Darussafaka62433%71.574.7-3.2
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 Karsiyaka62433%77.881.7-3.8
34 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
35 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
36 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
37 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
38 PAOK72529%73.777.0-3.3
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2625271997
Karsiyaka1331252392
← all games of the day
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