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Tofas vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-87
14-22 21-18 19-25 23-22
Position#27
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#9
Record3-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6
European cup2022
Meetings · Tofas v Murcia
20 Dec 2023
TOF75
MUR90
21 Dec 2022
TOF77
MUR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#31
W
90-63
90
63
+27
90avg 79
H26/10
Champions League
Besiktas
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#10
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 79
H22/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Szombathely
#31
W
77-64
77
64
+13
71avg 79
A07/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-8
21-16
21-17
20-22
15-21
21-25
23-16
21-10
12-24
20-18
26-26
18-22
18-26
15-17
15-21
20-18
20-22
25-14
16-17
14-26
18-23
24-12
22-29
14-24
15-15
25-25
13-22
24-27
21-11
13-12
19-20
24-21
23-23
23-19
23-23
21-14
18-25
29-18
16-17
13-24
157.7Avg total
78.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.072.9151.9+6.157%
Season at home (4)78.869.2148.0+9.575%
Season away (3)79.377.7157.0+1.733%
Last 10 (10)78.779.0157.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)79.680.8160.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.283.0159.2-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.879.1158.9+0.738%
vs Weaker (9)86.670.2156.8+16.378%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 72
H26/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
L
89-100
89
100
-11
76avg 72
A30/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 72
H05/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
57-93
57
93
-36
42avg 72
A20/11
ACB
Szombathely
#31
W
81-74
81
74
+7
75avg 72
H23/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 72
H27/11
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
73-102
73
102
-29
60avg 72
A04/12
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A07/12
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 72
H10/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
92avg 72
H17/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
19-20
15-23
17-19
10-24
23-28
23-25
33-23
17-22
28-13
18-25
25-16
9-27
13-25
21-19
14-22
13-19
25-16
20-22
23-17
16-21
19-27
18-15
27-21
12-29
18-20
21-36
22-17
15-18
17-19
22-21
16-24
20-18
24-8
15-23
17-23
25-15
18-24
31-22
25-24
163.9Avg total
79.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.082.0162.0-2.060%
Season at home (3)78.774.7153.3+4.0100%
Season away (2)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)79.384.6163.9-5.350%
Last 5 (5)79.685.0164.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.889.2168.0-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.281.6162.8-0.450%
vs Weaker (6)86.285.5171.7+0.733%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
TofasMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#31
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H26/10
Champions League
Besiktas
#14
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H22/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Szombathely
#31
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A07/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.8Avg total
40.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.378.0+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.536.778.2+4.857%-
Last 30 away (16)40.137.877.9+2.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.477.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.643.085.6-0.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.638.375.9-0.738%-
vs Weaker (9)45.232.377.6+12.978%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H26/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A30/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A20/11
ACB
Szombathely
#31
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H23/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H27/11
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A04/12
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A07/12
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H10/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/12
ACB
77.9Avg total
37.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.481.7-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.238.979.2+1.359%-
Last 30 away (13)38.246.885.1-8.68%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.977.9-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.876.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.243.080.2-5.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.842.482.2-2.639%-
vs Weaker (6)40.241.781.8-1.517%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.9
52.9%
51.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.4
36.4%
35.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
74.3%12.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.8
47.8%
51.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
35.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.918.3
79.9%
74.3%18.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWWLLLLLWW
Murcia
WWLLLWLWLW
#27
League position
#9
+13.7
Net rating
-6.7
111.2
Offensive rating
103.3
97.6
Defensive rating
110.0
53.5%
Effective FG%
46.9%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.4%
3-point %
30.4%
61.8%
Assist %
50.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 103.3Defence97.6 · 110.0Shooting53.5% · 46.9%3-point %36.4% · 30.4%Ball care17.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.5% · 32.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
04/10/22Murcia v Tofas75-72
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22AAnadolu Efes76-84
12/12/22HMerkezefendi90-79
07/12/22ASzombathely77-64
03/12/22ATurk Telekom77-89
27/11/22HGaziantep78-88
22/11/22HStrasbourg75-79
20/11/22AFenerbahce68-82
04/11/22AGalatasaray76-90
29/10/22HBesiktas80-72
26/10/22HSzombathely90-63
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HGran Canaria99-85
10/12/22HReal Betis76-72
07/12/22AStrasbourg70-82
04/12/22ABaskonia73-102
27/11/22HObradoiro CAB80-84
23/11/22HSzombathely81-74
20/11/22AReal Madrid57-93
05/11/22HJoventut Badalona88-76
30/10/22ABasquet Girona89-100
26/10/22HStrasbourg80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game79.078.879.3
Allowed / game72.969.277.7
Point differential+6.1+9.5+1.7
Avg total151.9148.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Murcia
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game80.078.782.0
Allowed / game82.074.793.0
Point differential-2.0+4.0-11.0
Avg total162.0153.3175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
3 Tenerife54180%86.868.4+18.4
4 Bilbao54180%81.268.8+12.4
5 Bonn54180%81.875.4+6.4
6 Strasbourg54180%82.878.4+4.4
7 Benfica97278%80.275.2+5.0
8 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
9 Ludwigsburg64267%84.574.8+9.7
10 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
11 Galatasaray64267%85.778.8+6.8
12 Manresa64267%83.778.3+5.3
13 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
14 Hapoel Holon64267%86.083.2+2.8
15 Igokea53260%79.075.8+3.2
16 Murcia53260%80.082.0-2.0
17 Tofas74357%79.072.9+6.1
18 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
19 Limoges63350%73.067.3+5.7
20 Oostende63350%80.280.2+0.0
21 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
22 Dijon63350%75.078.5-3.5
23 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
24 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
25 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
26 Rytas52340%84.083.0+1.0
27 AEK Athens52340%75.675.2+0.4
28 Karsiyaka52340%79.082.0-3.0
29 Reggiana52340%74.077.8-3.8
30 Bahcesehir Kol.52340%72.079.6-7.6
31 Peristeri52340%73.881.6-7.8
32 Bnei Herzliya52340%76.287.8-11.6
33 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
34 PAOK62433%75.775.7+0.0
35 Darussafaka62433%71.574.7-3.2
36 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
37 Nymburk51420%71.279.2-8.0
38 Szombathely51420%76.684.6-8.0
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1421192377
Murcia2218252287
← all games of the day
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