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Murray State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 85-81
47-37 38-44
Position#102
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#311
Record9-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Murray State v Indiana State
16 Jan 2027
MURR v INDI
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MURR85
INDI81
25 Feb 2025
MURR85
INDI75
21 Jan 2024
MURR63
INDI72
21 Jan 2023
MURR82
INDI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
115-100
115
100
+15
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
51-24
47-34
34-34
47-42
68-58
36-30
45-42
36-39
49-40
47-34
37-47
36-40
45-37
50-32
36-34
42-30
37-39
45-36
47-43
161.1Avg total
86.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.977.1165.0+10.983%
Season at home (11)89.572.5162.0+17.1100%
Season away (7)85.484.3169.7+1.157%
Last 10 (10)86.874.3161.1+12.5100%
Last 5 (5)84.474.4158.8+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.879.7156.5-2.833%
vs Similar (15)80.373.5153.9+6.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.268.0148.2+12.278%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eureka
#568
W
99-57
99
57
+42
H03/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
99-108 OT
99
108
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-22
47-35
35-27
42-28
36-39
34-29
41-36
33-38
25-42
40-43
36-41
35-30
38-33
28-42
39-33
33-41
38-35
31-37
51-42
43-47
155.5Avg total
79.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.474.6150.9+1.850%
Season at home (9)83.770.8154.4+12.978%
Season away (9)69.178.3147.4-9.222%
Last 10 (10)79.276.3155.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)76.478.0154.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.880.4153.2-7.633%
vs Similar (12)78.674.9153.5+3.758%
vs Weaker (6)82.869.5152.3+13.350%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -0.4-0.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -0.4-0.4
Murray StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/01
NCAA
76.4Avg total
41.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.433.670.0+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.131.570.6+7.682%-
Last 30 away (13)32.836.469.2-3.646%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.576.4+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.034.478.4+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.336.769.0-4.367%-
vs Similar (15)37.234.972.1+2.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.729.467.1+8.289%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eureka
#568
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H15/01
NCAA
74.1Avg total
39.1Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.636.973.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.134.373.4+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)34.139.573.5-5.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.074.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.877.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.739.072.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (12)38.235.873.9+2.458%-
vs Weaker (6)39.334.874.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murray State wins
4
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HValparaiso92-79
08/01/26AEvansville79-69
04/01/26HBradley86-66
02/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)81-77
30/12/25HSouthern Illinois84-81
21/12/25AValparaiso85-79
19/12/25HDrake81-72
13/12/25AAkron115-100
06/12/25HBellarmine81-68
03/12/25HMorehead State84-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HIllinois State94-89
10/01/26HEvansville69-72
04/01/26ADrake72-74
02/01/26ANorthern Iowa66-75
30/12/25HBelmont81-80 OT
21/12/25AIllinois State65-85
19/12/25HBradley99-108 OT
14/12/25AWisc. Milwaukee70-68
07/12/25HSouthern Indiana77-55
03/12/25HEureka99-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %83%100%57%
Points / game87.989.585.4
Allowed / game77.172.584.3
Point differential+10.9+17.1+1.1
Avg total165.0162.0169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%78%22%
Points / game76.483.769.1
Allowed / game74.670.878.3
Point differential+1.8+12.9-9.2
Avg total150.9154.4147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1815383%87.977.1+10.9
2 Belmont2016480%81.571.4+10.1
3 Illinois State1913668%79.367.1+12.2
4 Bradley2013765%78.273.0+5.2
5 Northern Iowa1912763%67.859.7+8.1
6 Indiana State189950%76.474.6+1.8
7 Drake1991047%75.971.7+4.3
8 Illinois (Chi.)1991047%74.971.0+3.9
9 Valparaiso1991047%70.970.1+0.9
10 Southern Illinois1881044%76.673.5+3.1
11 Evansville1951426%68.273.7-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State473885
Indiana State374481
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