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Murray State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 82-73
36-36 46-37
Position#182
Record10-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#84
Record13-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Murray State v Indiana State
16 Jan 2027
MURR v INDI
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MURR85
INDI81
25 Feb 2025
MURR85
INDI75
21 Jan 2024
MURR63
INDI72
21 Jan 2023
MURR82
INDI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-42
39-23
27-29
41-31
26-44
41-39
23-26
34-37
41-21
37-40
34-27
33-31
29-44
35-38
27-28
40-47
39-28
42-36
30-34
35-46
137.1Avg total
68.0Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.769.5140.2+1.253%
Season at home (8)71.062.6133.6+8.475%
Season away (11)70.574.5144.9-4.036%
Last 10 (10)68.069.1137.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)68.871.8140.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.974.6142.4-6.729%
vs Similar (8)69.470.5139.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (15)75.562.2137.7+13.393%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#206
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A17/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
91-63
91
63
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-40
41-37
36-37
50-55
29-35
28-32
39-22
52-41
36-24
32-26
47-29
29-38
42-28
38-32
36-26
25-43
31-35
31-29
39-34
28-44
143.1Avg total
73.3Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.269.5147.7+8.865%
Season at home (13)78.868.9147.8+9.969%
Season away (7)77.070.4147.4+6.657%
Last 10 (10)73.369.8143.1+3.540%
Last 5 (5)69.267.6136.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.579.2149.8-8.80%
vs Similar (6)65.571.8137.3-6.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)77.969.0146.9+8.965%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -2.3-2.3
Murray StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/01
NCAA
62.6Avg total
30.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.164.5+2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.229.165.3+7.160%-
Last 30 away (15)30.533.163.7-2.627%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.362.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.832.264.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.633.363.9-2.743%-
vs Similar (8)30.533.063.5-2.538%-
vs Weaker (15)36.229.165.3+7.147%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#206
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H19/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.1Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.331.468.7+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.831.469.1+6.482%-
Last 30 away (13)36.631.568.1+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)37.131.068.1+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.030.469.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.833.870.5+3.0100%-
vs Similar (6)33.834.067.8-0.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.430.168.5+8.275%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Indiana State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23ABelmont65-80
14/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)81-64
11/01/23ANorthern Iowa67-75
07/01/23ADrake64-82
05/01/23HBradley67-58
01/01/23AEvansville78-61
30/12/22HSouthern Illinois57-63
22/12/22AMiddle Tenn. St.67-83
17/12/22HAustin Peay68-60
14/12/22HChicago State66-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HBradley67-78
15/01/23AMissouri State62-64
12/01/23HSouthern Illinois61-69
07/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)80-60
05/01/23AIllinois State76-67
01/01/23AValparaiso68-50
30/12/22HEvansville91-63
22/12/22HNorthern Illinois57-67
17/12/22ADuquesne86-92
11/12/22ASouthern Indiana85-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %53%75%36%
Points / game70.771.070.5
Allowed / game69.562.674.5
Point differential+1.2+8.4-4.0
Avg total140.2133.6144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%12%9%
Indiana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL65%
HomeLWWLL69%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %65%69%57%
Points / game78.278.877.0
Allowed / game69.568.970.4
Point differential+8.8+9.9+6.6
Avg total147.7147.8147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois2116576%67.160.5+6.6
2 Drake2115671%74.063.6+10.4
3 Belmont2115671%74.870.3+4.5
4 Indiana State2013765%78.269.5+8.8
5 Bradley2113862%71.061.5+9.5
6 Northern Iowa2011955%70.266.3+3.9
7 Murray State1910953%70.769.5+1.2
8 Illinois (Chi.)2191243%67.070.5-3.5
9 Illinois State2081240%66.268.0-1.8
10 Valparaiso2081240%68.573.3-4.8
11 Evansville2141719%61.975.3-13.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State364682
Indiana State363773
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