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MZT Skopje vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-74
23-21 21-13 24-22 7-18
Position#13
Record5-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#6
Record6-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20
Domestic2016
Meetings · MZT Skopje v Mega Bemax
05 Nov 2017
MSK76
MBE92
28 Jan 2017
MSK75
MBE74
28 Dec 2015
MSK76
MBE77
25 Dec 2014
MSK84
MBE79
01 Feb 2014
MSK80
MBE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MZT Skopje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#4
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H04/12
ABA League
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H07/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#8
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A10/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A14/12
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
H17/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A24/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H02/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A08/01
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H13/01
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A20/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
29-23
18-24
26-18
12-26
22-26
29-28
19-17
13-17
16-20
16-19
19-9
17-29
23-17
18-26
17-15
16-21
19-22
15-30
23-20
24-24
18-23
14-16
20-28
21-22
15-31
25-25
18-22
14-21
27-22
17-26
21-18
24-19
23-19
21-15
24-12
17-14
17-17
12-18
28-28
164.2Avg total
79.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.283.8160.9-6.626%
Season at home (9)83.085.0168.0-2.056%
Season away (10)71.982.7154.6-10.80%
Last 10 (10)79.085.2164.2-6.220%
Last 5 (5)80.084.0164.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.689.4165.1-13.85%
vs Similar (8)81.278.0159.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (3)87.778.7166.3+9.0100%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#42
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H21/12
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H25/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A30/12
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A03/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
69-81 OT
69
81
-12
H09/01
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H11/01
Champions League
Cedevita
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A15/01
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A17/01
Champions League
Zadar
#12
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H22/01
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
73-98
73
98
-25
H25/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
15-10
16-9
13-18
18-22
26-17
16-14
16-19
26-11
11-26
21-27
22-24
22-23
15-22
22-18
19-22
21-20
11-23
17-14
18-10
23-20
23-16
28-23
12-23
24-18
12-26
28-19
21-26
21-16
22-28
17-23
14-15
28-13
25-14
22-27
17-21
19-24
15-27
16-27
23-20
157.8Avg total
77.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.583.6164.1-3.132%
Season at home (10)83.282.0165.2+1.250%
Season away (9)77.685.3162.9-7.811%
Last 10 (10)77.380.5157.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)82.085.2167.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.083.2157.2-9.212%
vs Similar (9)75.477.0152.4-1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.481.6168.0+4.840%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
MZT SkopjeMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#4
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H04/12
ABA League
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H07/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#8
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/12
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H17/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H02/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/01
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H13/01
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/01
ABA League
82.8Avg total
39.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.380.2-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.243.983.1-4.743%-
Last 30 away (16)36.840.977.6-4.119%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.882.8-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.482.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.444.681.1-8.216%-
vs Similar (8)38.938.076.9+0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)44.739.083.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#42
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H21/12
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H25/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A30/12
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A03/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H09/01
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/01
Champions League
Cedevita
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/01
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A17/01
Champions League
Zadar
#12
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H22/01
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H25/01
Champions League
78.5Avg total
39.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.978.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.039.479.4+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)36.240.376.5-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.278.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.482.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.641.276.8-5.712%-
vs Similar (9)38.037.975.9+0.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.439.085.4+7.480%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.4
48.0%
51.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.38.5
39.9%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.616.3
75.5%
73.3%16.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.5
48.8%
51.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.0
29.6%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.2
69.8%
73.3%13.2
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
MZT Skopje
LWLLLLLLLW
Mega Bemax
LWLLWLLLWW
#13
League position
#6
-2.9
Net rating
-2.5
103.8
Offensive rating
97.6
106.7
Defensive rating
100.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
46.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
19.0%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.9%
3-point %
29.6%
66.5%
Assist %
65.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 97.6Defence106.7 · 100.1Shooting52.3% · 46.9%3-point %39.9% · 29.6%Ball care19.5% · 19.0%Off. rebounds25.9% · 33.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ MZT Skopje   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
MZT Skopje wins
5
Mega Bemax wins
DateGameScore
30/10/16Mega Bemax v MZT Skopje87-72
28/12/15MZT Skopje v Mega Bemax76-77
09/10/15Mega Bemax v MZT Skopje82-70
25/12/14MZT Skopje v Mega Bemax84-79
04/10/14Mega Bemax v MZT Skopje103-95 OT
01/02/14MZT Skopje v Mega Bemax80-72
02/11/13Mega Bemax v MZT Skopje101-82
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/17AKarpos74-77
13/01/17HZadar92-65
08/01/17ACibona79-87
02/01/17HCedevita79-100
24/12/16APartizan76-91
17/12/16HCrvena zvezda73-93
14/12/16AGran Canaria75-87
10/12/16AMornar Bar64-65
07/12/16HNizhny Novgorod82-97
04/12/16HBuducnost96-90
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/17HTenerife73-98
22/01/17HZadar92-75
17/01/17AOostende74-82
15/01/17ACedevita85-89
11/01/17HStrasbourg86-82
09/01/17HCrvena zvezda69-81 OT
03/01/17AJuventus78-85
30/12/16ABuducnost80-88
25/12/16HFMP Beograd76-72
21/12/16HMornar Bar60-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

MZT Skopje
ABA League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL26%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%56%0%
Points / game77.283.071.9
Allowed / game83.885.082.7
Point differential-6.6-2.0-10.8
Avg total160.9168.0154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW32%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%50%11%
Points / game80.583.277.6
Allowed / game83.682.085.3
Point differential-3.1+1.2-7.8
Avg total164.1165.2162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda19190100%86.467.3+19.1
2 Partizan1915479%80.473.6+6.8
3 Cedevita1913668%89.981.2+8.7
4 Buducnost1913668%81.276.0+5.2
5 Cibona1911858%80.779.2+1.5
6 Petrol Olimpija1991047%79.280.2-1.0
7 Igokea1991047%74.177.1-2.9
8 Mornar Bar1971237%78.477.8+0.6
9 FMP Beograd1971237%75.879.6-3.8
10 Karpos1971237%74.478.3-3.9
11 Mega Bemax1961332%80.583.6-3.1
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1961332%71.580.4-8.9
13 Zadar1961332%77.889.5-11.6
14 MZT Skopje1951426%77.283.8-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MZT Skopje232124775
Mega Bemax2113221874
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