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Cordon vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 66-72
18-22 17-19 17-12 14-19
Position#10
Record13-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#3
Record21-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game79.4
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Quarter-finals· Cordon
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cordon v Nacional
03 Dec 2025
CORD90
NACI109
07 Feb 2025
CORD79
NACI86
09 May 2024
CORD66
NACI78
02 May 2024
CORD66
NACI72
15 Mar 2024
CORD86
NACI67
30 Oct 2023
CORD65
NACI98
21 Sep 2012
CORD78
NACI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
L
60-79
60
79
-19
48avg 64
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 64
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
88-82
88
82
+6
76avg 64
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
61-69
61
69
-8
51avg 64
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
77avg 64
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 64
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
79-89
79
89
-10
74avg 64
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 64
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
73-60
73
60
+13
68avg 64
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
13-17
17-21
14-15
20-28
23-20
10-22
15-14
24-22
22-19
22-16
20-25
13-19
21-16
10-20
17-14
16-8
19-18
18-26
27-28
20-17
19-30
27-23
15-20
25-15
17-30
17-19
20-25
19-24
21-31
18-30
16-12
–
–
–
–
29-11
21-16
7-12
16-21
143.3Avg total
67.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)71.374.9146.2-3.639%
Season at home (16)69.675.9145.4-6.338%
Season away (17)72.973.9146.9-1.041%
Last 10 (10)67.276.1143.3-8.920%
Last 5 (5)61.471.2132.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)72.077.5149.5-5.630%
vs Similar (9)67.266.4133.7+0.856%
vs Weaker (1)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
66-101
66
101
-35
45avg 79
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
79-83
79
83
-4
65avg 79
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
85avg 79
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
95-58
95
58
+37
99avg 79
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
60avg 79
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
94-78
94
78
+16
95avg 79
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
79avg 79
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
93-52
93
52
+41
99avg 79
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
60avg 79
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
60-73
60
73
-13
41avg 79
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-36
10-23
17-17
18-25
25-25
17-18
24-20
13-20
24-18
25-29
15-32
25-24
30-20
21-20
24-9
20-9
19-13
16-21
20-10
14-17
20-21
30-14
20-23
24-20
18-24
25-18
23-24
17-21
24-14
24-11
25-15
20-12
17-14
16-16
16-19
18-14
11-29
16-21
12-7
21-16
155.4Avg total
79.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.279.4164.7+5.866%
Season at home (16)80.775.9156.6+4.862%
Season away (16)89.882.9172.8+6.969%
Last 10 (10)79.575.9155.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.470.6150.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.085.8167.8-3.833%
vs Similar (12)83.982.2166.2+1.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.874.6155.3+6.258%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
CordonNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
80.6Avg total
39.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.138.178.3+2.052%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.881.7+0.150%-
Last 30 away (15)39.435.775.1+3.753%-
Last 10 (9)39.840.880.6-1.033%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.081.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.540.179.6-0.740%-
vs Similar (8)41.133.074.1+8.175%-
vs Weaker (1)46.039.085.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
81.4Avg total
40.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.880.8+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.381.2-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.938.680.5+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.581.4+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.476.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.741.380.0-2.717%-
vs Similar (12)41.340.882.1+0.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.838.280.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.9
48.7%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.7
27.9%
33.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.412.7
73.0%
71.7%12.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.2
49.0%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.3
35.2%
33.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws12.49.6
77.4%
71.7%9.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cordon
WLLLLLLWLL
Nacional
LWWLWWWLLL
#10
League position
#3
-7.0
Net rating
+5.5
96.4
Offensive rating
102.5
103.4
Defensive rating
97.0
46.3%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.18
27.9%
3-point %
35.2%
50.4%
Assist %
65.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 102.5Defence103.4 · 97.0Shooting46.3% · 50.6%3-point %27.9% · 35.2%Ball care15.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds22.1% · 22.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Cordon   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cordon wins
5
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
30/04/24Nacional v Cordon60-73
02/04/24Nacional v Cordon69-61
16/03/24Cordon v Nacional86-67
23/01/24Nacional v Cordon86-61
31/10/23Cordon v Nacional65-98
12/11/12Nacional v Cordon70-66
22/09/12Cordon v Nacional78-85
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/24ANacional73-60
22/04/24HHebraica y Macabi0-20
19/04/24HAguada74-97
12/04/24HDefensor79-89
09/04/24APenarol81-90
05/04/24AHebraica y Macabi88-91 OT
02/04/24ANacional61-69
27/03/24AAguada88-82
24/03/24HPenarol68-84
18/03/24ADefensor60-79
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/24HCordon60-73
23/04/24APenarol67-63
18/04/24AHebraica y Macabi93-52
09/04/24HAguada83-87
06/04/24HPenarol94-78
02/04/24HCordon69-61
27/03/24ADefensor95-58
24/03/24AAguada89-103
22/03/24HHebraica y Macabi79-83
19/03/24HHebraica y Macabi66-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW39%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayWLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %39%38%41%
Points / game71.369.672.9
Allowed / game74.975.973.9
Point differential-3.6-6.3-1.0
Avg total146.2145.4146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL66%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %66%62%69%
Points / game85.280.789.8
Allowed / game79.475.982.9
Point differential+5.8+4.8+6.9
Avg total164.7156.6172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aguada3426876%89.480.8+8.6
2 Penarol3325876%82.572.5+9.9
3 Nacional32211166%85.279.4+5.8
4 Defensor32211166%81.179.2+1.9
5 Malvin37211657%79.476.8+2.5
6 Hebraica y Macabi33181555%81.581.7-0.3
7 Bigua35161946%82.381.8+0.4
8 Trouville39172244%75.177.9-2.8
9 Urupan37152241%76.379.1-2.8
10 Cordon33132039%71.374.9-3.6
11 CA Racing31233%83.081.7+1.3
12 Goes32102231%73.377.9-4.6
13 Larre Borges323299%64.879.8-15.0
14 Remeros Mercedes2020%77.585.5-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cordon1817171466
Nacional2219121972
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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