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Penarol vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 63-67
14-17 16-16 19-16 14-18
Position#2
Record24-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#3
Record20-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game80.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Nacional
08 Apr 2026
PENA71
NACI78
08 Dec 2025
PENA82
NACI69
18 Jan 2025
PENA85
NACI89
22 Apr 2024
PENA63
NACI67
06 Feb 2024
PENA79
NACI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 74
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
69avg 74
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
69-72
69
72
-3
53avg 74
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
84avg 74
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
99-74
99
74
+25
99avg 74
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
83-67
83
67
+16
81avg 74
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
60avg 74
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
87avg 74
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 74
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
99-82
99
82
+17
102avg 74
A20/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
11-22
14-17
17-20
13-12
19-20
16-15
33-35
10-9
15-26
20-19
24-18
28-20
20-23
22-10
14-15
32-17
25-22
23-20
19-15
25-17
14-12
27-20
17-18
21-20
14-30
23-20
20-24
17-20
30-19
23-27
20-15
23-18
25-26
18-20
16-13
28-19
28-20
28-20
15-23
160.1Avg total
82.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.872.3155.1+10.577%
Season at home (15)83.769.7153.5+14.080%
Season away (16)81.974.6156.6+7.375%
Last 10 (10)82.777.4160.1+5.360%
Last 5 (5)86.480.2166.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.280.8165.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (24)82.869.9152.7+12.883%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
67avg 80
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Cordon
#10
L
67-86
67
86
-19
50avg 80
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
66-101
66
101
-35
45avg 80
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
79-83
79
83
-4
65avg 80
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
85avg 80
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
95-58
95
58
+37
99avg 80
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
60avg 80
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
94-78
94
78
+16
95avg 80
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
79avg 80
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
93-52
93
52
+41
99avg 80
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
14-19
16-17
25-29
19-19
18-18
17-29
13-20
21-36
10-23
17-17
18-25
25-25
17-18
24-20
13-20
24-18
25-29
15-32
25-24
30-20
21-20
24-9
20-9
19-13
16-21
20-10
14-17
20-21
30-14
20-23
24-20
18-24
25-18
23-24
17-21
24-14
24-11
25-15
20-12
160.7Avg total
81.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.780.2166.9+6.567%
Season at home (15)82.176.1158.1+6.067%
Season away (15)91.384.3175.6+7.167%
Last 10 (10)81.079.7160.7+1.340%
Last 5 (5)86.867.2154.0+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.085.8167.8-3.833%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.885.5171.4+0.354%
vs Weaker (11)82.674.7157.4+7.964%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
PenarolNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A20/04
Liga Uruguaya
80.8Avg total
41.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.436.880.2+6.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.633.978.5+10.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.781.9+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.285.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.240.883.0+1.350%-
vs Weaker (24)43.835.879.5+8.067%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Cordon
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
82.4Avg total
42.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.783.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.441.082.4+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)43.140.583.6+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.482.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.280.6+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.741.380.0-2.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.243.586.8-0.354%-
vs Weaker (11)43.237.180.3+6.173%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.2
54.9%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.9
32.1%
33.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.613.9
74.7%
71.7%13.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.4
50.0%
51.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.5
35.6%
33.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws12.99.9
76.7%
71.7%9.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWLWWWLLL
Nacional
WLWWWLLLLL
#2
League position
#3
+5.4
Net rating
+1.9
108.4
Offensive rating
103.9
103.0
Defensive rating
101.9
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.1%
3-point %
35.6%
55.7%
Assist %
65.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 103.9Defence103.0 · 101.9Shooting51.7% · 51.5%3-point %32.1% · 35.6%Ball care15.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds27.3% · 21.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Penarol   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penarol wins
1
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
06/04/24Nacional v Penarol94-78
07/02/24Penarol v Nacional79-68
13/12/23Nacional v Penarol77-97
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AHebraica y Macabi99-82
13/04/24AAguada82-77
09/04/24HCordon90-81
06/04/24ANacional78-94
02/04/24ADefensor83-67
27/03/24HHebraica y Macabi99-74
24/03/24ACordon84-68
22/03/24HDefensor69-72
19/03/24HAguada81-82
16/02/24AGoes62-77
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/24AHebraica y Macabi93-52
09/04/24HAguada83-87
06/04/24HPenarol94-78
02/04/24HCordon69-61
27/03/24ADefensor95-58
24/03/24AAguada89-103
22/03/24HHebraica y Macabi79-83
19/03/24HHebraica y Macabi66-101
16/03/24ACordon67-86
11/03/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %77%80%75%
Points / game82.883.781.9
Allowed / game72.369.774.6
Point differential+10.5+14.0+7.3
Avg total155.1153.5156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game86.782.191.3
Allowed / game80.276.184.3
Point differential+6.5+6.0+7.1
Avg total166.9158.1175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol3124777%82.872.3+10.5
2 Aguada3124777%89.780.9+8.8
3 Nacional30201067%86.780.2+6.5
4 Defensor30191163%80.578.9+1.7
5 Malvin35211460%79.776.2+3.4
6 Hebraica y Macabi32181456%81.481.5-0.1
7 Bigua35161946%82.381.8+0.4
8 Trouville38172145%74.877.6-2.8
9 Urupan37152241%76.379.1-2.8
10 Cordon32122038%71.275.3-4.1
11 CA Racing31233%83.081.7+1.3
12 Goes32102231%73.377.9-4.6
13 Larre Borges323299%64.879.8-15.0
14 Remeros Mercedes2020%77.585.5-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1416191463
Nacional1716161867
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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