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Nacional vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 May 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-68
26-22 23-25 18-11 14-10
Position#3
Record22-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#10
Record13-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game74.8
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Quarter-finals· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Nacional v Cordon
19 Feb 2026
NACI126
CORD75
17 Mar 2025
NACI85
CORD80
07 Dec 2024
NACI98
CORD83
06 May 2024
NACI81
CORD68
30 Apr 2024
NACI60
CORD73
01 Apr 2024
NACI69
CORD61
22 Jan 2024
NACI86
CORD61
12 Nov 2012
NACI70
CORD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
79-83
79
83
-4
65avg 78
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
85avg 78
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
95-58
95
58
+37
99avg 78
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
60avg 78
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
94-78
94
78
+16
95avg 78
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
79avg 78
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
93-52
93
52
+41
99avg 78
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
60avg 78
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
60-73
60
73
-13
41avg 78
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
72-66
72
66
+6
65avg 78
A03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
17-18
24-20
13-20
24-18
25-29
15-32
25-24
30-20
21-20
24-9
20-9
19-13
16-21
20-10
14-17
20-21
30-14
20-23
24-20
18-24
25-18
23-24
17-21
24-14
24-11
25-15
20-12
17-14
16-16
16-19
18-14
11-29
16-21
12-7
21-16
22-18
19-17
12-17
19-14
152.5Avg total
80.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)84.879.0163.8+5.867%
Season at home (16)80.775.9156.6+4.862%
Season away (17)88.881.9170.7+6.871%
Last 10 (10)80.172.4152.5+7.760%
Last 5 (5)75.068.2143.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.085.8167.8-3.833%
vs Similar (11)83.582.1165.5+1.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.173.9154.0+6.262%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 64
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
88-82
88
82
+6
76avg 64
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
61-69
61
69
-8
51avg 64
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
77avg 64
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 64
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
79-89
79
89
-10
74avg 64
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 64
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
73-60
73
60
+13
68avg 64
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
52avg 64
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
23-20
10-22
15-14
24-22
22-19
22-16
20-25
13-19
21-16
10-20
17-14
16-8
19-18
18-26
27-28
20-17
19-30
27-23
15-20
25-15
17-30
17-19
20-25
19-24
21-31
18-30
16-12
–
–
–
–
29-11
21-16
7-12
16-21
18-22
17-19
17-12
14-19
143.2Avg total
67.8Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)71.174.8145.9-3.638%
Season at home (17)69.475.6145.0-6.335%
Season away (17)72.973.9146.9-1.041%
Last 10 (10)67.875.4143.2-7.620%
Last 5 (5)58.467.6126.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.876.7148.4-5.030%
vs Similar (9)67.266.4133.7+0.856%
vs Weaker (1)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
NacionalCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/05
Liga Uruguaya
80.0Avg total
41.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.080.9+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.381.2-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.838.880.6+3.062%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.180.0+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.474.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.741.380.0-2.717%-
vs Similar (11)41.241.682.8-0.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.837.979.7+3.869%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
81.0Avg total
40.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.938.178.0+1.852%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.540.781.2-0.250%-
Last 30 away (15)39.435.775.1+3.753%-
Last 10 (9)40.440.681.0-0.133%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.084.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.140.179.2-1.040%-
vs Similar (8)41.133.074.1+8.175%-
vs Weaker (1)46.039.085.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.8
48.1%
51.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.5
37.1%
33.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws13.310.2
76.7%
71.7%10.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.2
47.9%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.5
26.0%
33.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
71.7%12.7
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WLWWLWWWLL
Cordon
LWLLLLLLWL
#3
League position
#10
+10.4
Net rating
-10.3
104.2
Offensive rating
94.4
93.8
Defensive rating
104.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
44.6%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.1%
3-point %
26.0%
66.2%
Assist %
47.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 94.4Defence93.8 · 104.7Shooting51.3% · 44.6%3-point %37.1% · 26.0%Ball care16.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds25.0% · 23.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Nacional   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nacional wins
2
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
03/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-72
30/04/24Nacional v Cordon60-73
02/04/24Nacional v Cordon69-61
16/03/24Cordon v Nacional86-67
23/01/24Nacional v Cordon86-61
31/10/23Cordon v Nacional65-98
12/11/12Nacional v Cordon70-66
22/09/12Cordon v Nacional78-85
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24ACordon72-66
30/04/24HCordon60-73
23/04/24APenarol67-63
18/04/24AHebraica y Macabi93-52
09/04/24HAguada83-87
06/04/24HPenarol94-78
02/04/24HCordon69-61
27/03/24ADefensor95-58
24/03/24AAguada89-103
22/03/24HHebraica y Macabi79-83
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24HNacional66-72
30/04/24ANacional73-60
22/04/24HHebraica y Macabi0-20
19/04/24HAguada74-97
12/04/24HDefensor79-89
09/04/24APenarol81-90
05/04/24AHebraica y Macabi88-91 OT
02/04/24ANacional61-69
27/03/24AAguada88-82
24/03/24HPenarol68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %67%62%71%
Points / game84.880.788.8
Allowed / game79.075.981.9
Point differential+5.8+4.8+6.8
Avg total163.8156.6170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLLLL35%
AwayWLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %38%35%41%
Points / game71.169.472.9
Allowed / game74.875.673.9
Point differential-3.6-6.3-1.0
Avg total145.9145.0146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol3426876%82.872.3+10.5
2 Aguada3426876%89.480.8+8.6
3 Nacional33221167%84.879.0+5.8
4 Defensor33221167%81.379.0+2.3
5 Malvin37211657%79.476.8+2.5
6 Hebraica y Macabi34181653%81.281.9-0.7
7 Bigua35161946%82.381.8+0.4
8 Trouville40172342%74.878.3-3.5
9 Urupan37152241%76.379.1-2.8
10 Cordon34132138%71.174.8-3.6
11 CA Racing31233%83.081.7+1.3
12 Goes32102231%73.377.9-4.6
13 Larre Borges323299%64.879.8-15.0
14 Remeros Mercedes2020%77.585.5-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2623181481
Cordon2225111068
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