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Nagasaki vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 91-58
19-14 28-13 22-5 22-26
Position#1
Record16-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#19
Record8-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game75.6
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Koshigaya Alphas
07 Dec 2025
NAGA99
KOSH76
06 Dec 2025
NAGA91
KOSH58
19 Mar 2025
NAGA88
KOSH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
91-67
91
67
+24
97avg 75
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 75
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 75
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 75
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
90avg 75
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
80avg 75
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 75
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 75
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
91-70
91
70
+21
87avg 75
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 75
H16/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
17-17
23-23
25-7
25-19
18-21
28-16
20-17
18-19
31-8
25-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
19-21
26-15
20-24
23-24
29-18
28-30
27-25
21-26
25-23
18-22
22-18
29-29
24-21
20-19
21-26
23-21
30-15
12-18
26-20
23-17
23-17
19-16
27-23
21-15
28-15
21-8
171.4Avg total
93.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.676.8169.4+15.789%
Season at home (9)92.678.3170.9+14.289%
Season away (9)92.675.3167.9+17.289%
Last 10 (10)93.478.0171.4+15.490%
Last 5 (5)92.078.8170.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.982.9156.8-9.012%
vs Similar (3)80.775.3156.0+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.376.3167.6+15.089%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 69
A26/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
78-66
78
66
+12
76avg 69
A29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
65-68
65
68
-3
62avg 69
H01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
59-77
59
77
-18
45avg 69
H02/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
76-65
76
65
+11
76avg 69
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
69-85
69
85
-16
59avg 69
A08/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
82-64
82
64
+18
82avg 69
A09/11
B League
Chiba
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
82avg 69
H12/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 69
H15/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
77avg 69
H16/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
29-22
16-23
9-11
15-27
23-20
23-7
17-12
20-11
18-22
18-24
9-11
20-21
8-15
14-19
17-22
18-21
24-10
14-19
20-15
22-23
11-20
21-25
15-17
18-13
22-17
20-13
22-21
24-25
25-18
25-28
15-19
18-19
19-18
19-26
27-12
24-24
24-20
17-15
18-21
150.3Avg total
75.7Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.175.6148.7-2.544%
Season at home (12)70.776.8147.5-6.233%
Season away (6)78.073.2151.2+4.867%
Last 10 (10)75.774.6150.3+1.150%
Last 5 (5)81.278.8160.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.680.5152.1-8.829%
vs Similar (11)69.470.5139.8-1.155%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
NagasakiKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/11
B League
88.7Avg total
47.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.483.5+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.840.082.8+2.869%-
Last 30 away (17)43.340.784.0+2.647%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.588.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)48.044.092.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.840.175.9-4.412%-
vs Similar (3)41.040.381.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.540.587.0+5.979%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A26/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H02/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A09/11
B League
Chiba
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H12/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H15/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H16/11
B League
78.7Avg total
40.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.338.474.7-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.336.472.7-0.261%-
Last 30 away (12)36.341.377.7-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.678.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.480.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.540.077.5-2.541%-
vs Similar (11)33.536.269.7-2.655%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.419.0
58.6%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.214.0
40.9%
33.7%42.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.8
75.7%
73.1%12.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.5
51.3%
53.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.811.0
69.6%
73.1%11.0
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWWLWWWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
WWLWLWLLWL
#1
League position
#19
+20.3
Net rating
+2.3
117.8
Offensive rating
102.0
97.5
Defensive rating
99.7
60.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.9%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.9%
3-point %
36.6%
73.0%
Assist %
63.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 102.0Defence97.5 · 99.7Shooting60.1% · 52.9%3-point %40.9% · 36.6%Ball care17.7% · 19.9%Off. rebounds26.9% · 25.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
19/03/25Nagasaki v Koshigaya Alphas88-70
06/11/24Koshigaya Alphas v Nagasaki80-67
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HAkita97-61
15/11/25HAkita91-70
12/11/25ANeoPhoenix86-80
09/11/25HDiamond Dolphins95-87
08/11/25HDiamond Dolphins91-96
05/11/25HOsaka100-96
02/11/25ABrave Thunders99-79
01/11/25ABrave Thunders93-71
29/10/25HKyoto91-73
26/10/25AToyama91-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HNeoPhoenix83-80
15/11/25HNeoPhoenix83-75
12/11/25HChiba89-90
09/11/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles82-64
08/11/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles69-85
05/11/25HBrave Thunders76-65
02/11/25HRyukyu59-77
01/11/25HRyukyu65-68
29/10/25AToyama78-66
26/10/25ASaga73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %89%89%89%
Points / game92.692.692.6
Allowed / game76.878.375.3
Point differential+15.7+14.2+17.2
Avg total169.4170.9167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%56%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeLWLWW33%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %44%33%67%
Points / game73.170.778.0
Allowed / game75.676.873.2
Point differential-2.5-6.2+4.8
Avg total148.7147.5151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%8%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1917289%83.770.1+13.6
2 Nagasaki1816289%92.676.8+15.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex1915479%84.176.2+7.9
4 Chiba1915479%82.274.8+7.4
5 Hokkaido1814478%87.483.7+3.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2014670%85.979.5+6.5
7 Gunma1913668%83.174.6+8.5
8 Ryukyu1913668%83.976.0+7.9
9 Hiroshima D.1911858%86.881.8+5.0
10 Shimane1911858%83.981.7+2.2
11 Alvark1910953%76.278.4-2.2
12 Osaka1991047%83.884.5-0.7
13 Sendai1991047%78.381.7-3.4
14 Shiga2091145%81.084.0-3.0
15 Koshigaya Alphas1881044%73.175.6-2.5
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya1881044%76.080.2-4.2
17 Saga1981142%81.783.6-1.8
18 NeoPhoenix1971237%79.880.6-0.7
19 Yokohama1971237%78.683.2-4.5
20 Altiri Chiba1961332%80.383.8-3.5
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1961332%78.582.9-4.4
22 Kyoto1961332%73.078.8-5.8
23 Toyama1951426%83.191.9-8.8
24 Ibaraki Robots1931616%73.880.8-7.0
25 Brave Thunders1931616%74.284.4-10.2
26 Akita1931616%68.983.9-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1928222291
Koshigaya Alphas141352658
← all games of the day
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