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Nagasaki vs Osaka Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#26
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game90.4
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Osaka
17 Feb 2027
NAGA v OSAK
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
NAGA100
OSAK96
23 Oct 2024
NAGA81
OSAK79
28 Apr 2024
NAGA84
OSAK66
27 Apr 2024
NAGA85
OSAK87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 78
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 78
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 78
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 78
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 78
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
24-22
16-11
20-23
13-26
16-24
21-23
21-22
22-17
167.9Avg total
84.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.382.2159.4-4.933%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (10)76.783.3160.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.883.1167.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.786.6162.4-10.918%
vs Similar (7)79.679.7159.3-0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.073.8158.8+11.283%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
63-98
63
98
-35
48avg 70
A18/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
67-101
67
101
-34
54avg 70
A21/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
71-95
71
95
-24
54avg 70
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
65-87
65
87
-22
48avg 70
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
60-93
60
93
-33
49avg 70
A31/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
60-102
60
102
-42
48avg 70
A01/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
H07/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
94-106 OT
94
106
-12
no box
A10/11
B League
Toyama
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A12/11
B League
Akita
#23
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
10-20
11-26
21-26
13-35
18-21
18-20
18-25
12-30
18-26
24-26
17-13
20-23
15-29
14-20
16-15
7-21
19-20
10-34
24-18
15-24
20-29
13-21
12-28
25-27
12-21
16-23
15-15
23-24
15-23
25-19
30-27
29-18
10-21
13-26
25-26
14-12
25-19
16-31
21-20
164.2Avg total
70.1Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.490.4160.8-20.06%
Season at home (7)64.787.7152.4-23.00%
Season away (10)74.492.3166.7-17.910%
Last 10 (10)70.194.1164.2-24.00%
Last 5 (5)75.093.4168.4-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.388.8160.1-17.45%
vs Similar (4)85.588.8174.2-3.225%
vs Weaker (6)88.783.7172.3+5.067%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -8.6-8.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -8.6-8.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
NagasakiOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
B League
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.339.680.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.878.6+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.540.480.8+0.164%-
vs Similar (7)37.039.676.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A18/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A21/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
30-56
30
56
-26
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A31/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A01/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A10/11
B League
Toyama
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/11
B League
Akita
#23
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A15/11
B League
81.0Avg total
34.1Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.083.1-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.845.884.6-6.925%-
Last 30 away (18)39.342.882.1-3.539%-
Last 10 (10)34.146.981.0-12.810%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.681.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.544.580.0-9.020%-
vs Similar (4)45.846.592.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)46.840.587.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.1
44.6%
53.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.0
29.2%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.68.6
63.2%
73.8%8.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWLW
Osaka
LLLLLLLLLL
#21
League position
#26
+2.1
Net rating
-31.9
93.2
Offensive rating
77.5
91.1
Defensive rating
109.4
54.0%
Effective FG%
44.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.8%
3-point %
29.2%
65.8%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 77.5Defence91.1 · 109.4Shooting54.0% · 44.3%3-point %35.8% · 29.2%Ball care15.9% · 15.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Nagasaki wins
3
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
01/04/26Osaka v Nagasaki71-80
05/11/25Nagasaki v Osaka100-96
04/05/25Osaka v Nagasaki76-85
03/05/25Osaka v Nagasaki72-89
12/03/25Osaka v Nagasaki70-83
23/10/24Nagasaki v Osaka81-79
28/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka84-66
27/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka85-87
24/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki90-72
23/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki97-95
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChiba80-86
11/11/26AAlvark73-82
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AAkita76-82
12/11/26AToyama77-91
10/11/26AChiba94-106 OT
07/11/26HIbaraki Robots68-86
01/11/26AGunma60-102
31/10/26AGunma60-93
25/10/26HChiba65-87
23/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers71-95
21/10/26ABrave Thunders67-101
18/10/26AIbaraki Robots63-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.378.076.7
Allowed / game82.280.883.3
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.6
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Osaka
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %6%0%10%
Points / game70.464.774.4
Allowed / game90.487.792.3
Point differential-20.0-23.0-17.9
Avg total160.8152.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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