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Osaka vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 97-95
26-26 19-20 26-18 26-31
Position#18
Record10-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.7
Osaka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#17
Record13-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game83.0
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium (Osaka)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osaka v Nagasaki
31 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
30 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
OSAK71
NAGA80
04 May 2025
OSAK76
NAGA85
03 May 2025
OSAK72
NAGA89
12 Mar 2025
OSAK70
NAGA83
24 Dec 2023
OSAK90
NAGA72
23 Dec 2023
OSAK97
NAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
63-84
63
84
-21
49avg 68
A11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 68
A12/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
77avg 68
H02/12
B League
Saga
#15
L
45-79
45
79
-34
29avg 68
H03/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
62avg 68
H06/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
56-79
56
79
-23
40avg 68
A09/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
65-77
65
77
-12
60avg 68
A10/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 68
H16/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
54avg 68
H17/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
56-80
56
80
-24
54avg 68
A20/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
17-23
14-24
20-20
16-20
23-27
21-18
18-21
21-22
18-19
17-25
23-18
9-21
10-20
12-25
14-13
22-24
18-14
23-18
10-20
8-17
22-20
12-22
14-20
20-27
17-18
10-18
18-14
14-21
17-19
19-20
15-18
18-17
21-21
10-7
16-18
18-16
9-25
17-19
12-20
143.1Avg total
64.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.978.7154.6-2.845%
Season at home (13)77.177.1154.2+0.054%
Season away (9)74.281.1155.3-6.933%
Last 10 (10)64.578.6143.1-14.110%
Last 5 (5)61.475.4136.8-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)70.180.2150.2-10.112%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.977.6156.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (6)89.579.3168.8+10.2100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
L
70-94
70
94
-24
60avg 77
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
86avg 77
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
90avg 77
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
82avg 77
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 77
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 77
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
58avg 77
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
74avg 77
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
67avg 77
A20/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
12-22
22-22
16-22
29-24
24-15
15-22
18-20
11-24
22-16
17-16
20-14
27-23
17-21
23-20
25-21
24-17
20-21
20-16
27-27
20-22
22-22
14-11
15-29
14-19
21-14
23-20
14-14
16-17
14-20
10-16
22-18
15-20
20-27
34-27
15-20
13-17
24-16
10-24
29-17
159.2Avg total
78.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.883.0166.7+0.859%
Season at home (11)79.881.4161.2-1.555%
Season away (11)87.784.5172.3+3.264%
Last 10 (10)78.181.1159.2-3.050%
Last 5 (5)73.078.0151.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.583.5166.1-1.055%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.980.9160.7-1.057%
vs Weaker (4)94.085.0179.0+9.075%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
OsakaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A12/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/12
B League
Saga
#15
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H03/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H16/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A20/12
B League
73.8Avg total
33.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.577.5-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.338.476.8-0.150%-
Last 30 away (12)37.441.178.5-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)33.040.873.8-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.273.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.440.876.1-5.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.937.075.9+1.950%-
vs Weaker (6)43.739.583.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/12
B League
79.0Avg total
38.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)43.041.584.4+1.559%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.140.981.0-0.845%-
Last 30 away (11)45.842.087.8+3.873%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.579.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.874.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.740.981.6-0.255%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.440.785.1+3.771%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 63.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.4
47.8%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.94.8
23.0%
33.5%14.4
🏀 Free throws16.410.3
62.8%
72.0%10.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.3
49.9%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.1
34.7%
33.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
71.8%
72.0%12.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LWLLLLLLLL
Nagasaki
WLLWLWWLWL
#18
League position
#17
-20.3
Net rating
-4.5
89.0
Offensive rating
102.5
109.3
Defensive rating
107.0
43.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
23.0%
3-point %
34.7%
56.6%
Assist %
69.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 102.5Defence109.3 · 107.0Shooting43.3% · 50.8%3-point %23.0% · 34.7%Ball care20.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 27.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Osaka   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Osaka wins
0
Nagasaki wins
No previous meetings.
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AHiroshima D.56-80
17/12/23HAkita65-63
16/12/23HAkita65-78
10/12/23ASun Rockers Shibuya65-77
09/12/23ASun Rockers Shibuya56-79
06/12/23HRyukyu73-76
03/12/23HSaga45-79
02/12/23HSaga79-84
12/11/23ADiamond Dolphins78-86
11/11/23ADiamond Dolphins63-84
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23ARyukyu76-74
17/12/23HAlvark84-94
16/12/23HAlvark62-71
10/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-67
09/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles71-84
06/12/23ASaga91-81
03/12/23HBrave Thunders92-85
02/12/23HBrave Thunders77-80 OT
12/11/23ASendai86-81
11/11/23ASendai70-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLLLLW54%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %45%54%33%
Points / game75.977.174.2
Allowed / game78.777.181.1
Point differential-2.8+0.0-6.9
Avg total154.6154.2155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%23%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)40% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW59%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayLLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%55%64%
Points / game83.879.887.7
Allowed / game83.081.484.5
Point differential+0.8-1.5+3.2
Avg total166.7161.2172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%0%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2320387%81.165.0+16.1
2 NeoPhoenix2319483%90.378.5+11.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex2318578%78.268.7+9.5
4 Ryukyu2317674%80.677.3+3.3
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2315865%82.276.1+6.1
6 Brave Thunders2315865%80.876.5+4.3
7 Diamond Dolphins2315865%82.278.7+3.5
8 Nagasaki2213959%83.883.0+0.8
9 Shimane23131057%83.177.7+5.3
10 Saga23121152%76.175.5+0.6
11 Chiba23121152%82.783.5-0.9
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles23121152%74.075.0-1.0
13 Hiroshima D.23111248%77.974.3+3.5
14 Sendai23111248%81.580.0+1.6
15 Akita23111248%72.173.9-1.8
16 Gunma23111248%75.779.3-3.6
17 Osaka22101245%75.978.7-2.8
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya23101343%76.477.8-1.4
19 Yokohama23101343%75.380.3-5.1
20 Kyoto2371630%76.183.3-7.2
21 Hokkaido2351822%72.681.4-8.8
22 Shinshu2341917%74.685.0-10.4
23 Toyama2332013%73.385.1-11.8
24 Ibaraki Robots231224%73.485.1-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka2619262697
Nagasaki2620183195
← all games of the day
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