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Osaka vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 90-72
22-23 24-18 23-12 21-19
Position#18
Record11-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game79.4
Osaka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#17
Record13-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game83.6
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium (Osaka)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osaka v Nagasaki
31 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
30 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
OSAK71
NAGA80
04 May 2025
OSAK76
NAGA85
03 May 2025
OSAK72
NAGA89
12 Mar 2025
OSAK70
NAGA83
24 Dec 2023
OSAK90
NAGA72
23 Dec 2023
OSAK97
NAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 70
A12/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
77avg 70
H02/12
B League
Saga
#15
L
45-79
45
79
-34
29avg 70
H03/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
62avg 70
H06/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
56-79
56
79
-23
40avg 70
A09/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
65-77
65
77
-12
60avg 70
A10/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 70
H16/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
54avg 70
H17/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
56-80
56
80
-24
54avg 70
A20/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
97-95
97
95
+2
102avg 70
H23/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-27
21-18
18-21
21-22
18-19
17-25
23-18
9-21
10-20
12-25
14-13
22-24
18-14
23-18
10-20
8-17
22-20
12-22
14-20
20-27
17-18
10-18
18-14
14-21
17-19
19-20
15-18
18-17
21-21
10-7
16-18
18-16
9-25
17-19
12-20
26-26
19-20
26-18
26-31
147.6Avg total
67.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.879.4156.3-2.648%
Season at home (14)78.578.4156.9+0.157%
Season away (9)74.281.1155.3-6.933%
Last 10 (10)67.979.7147.6-11.820%
Last 5 (5)69.678.6148.2-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.980.6150.5-10.713%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.979.6160.4+1.367%
vs Weaker (6)89.579.3168.8+10.2100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
86avg 78
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
90avg 78
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
82avg 78
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 78
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 78
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
58avg 78
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
74avg 78
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
67avg 78
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 78
A23/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
24-15
15-22
18-20
11-24
22-16
17-16
20-14
27-23
17-21
23-20
25-21
24-17
20-21
20-16
27-27
20-22
22-22
14-11
15-29
14-19
21-14
23-20
14-14
16-17
14-20
10-16
22-18
15-20
20-27
34-27
15-20
13-17
24-16
10-24
29-17
26-26
20-19
18-26
31-26
162.0Avg total
80.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.383.6167.8+0.757%
Season at home (11)79.881.4161.2-1.555%
Season away (12)88.385.6173.9+2.858%
Last 10 (10)80.681.4162.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.880.6158.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.583.5166.1-1.055%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.882.9164.6-1.150%
vs Weaker (4)94.085.0179.0+9.075%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
OsakaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A12/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/12
B League
Saga
#15
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H03/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H16/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A20/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/12
B League
76.0Avg total
34.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.877.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.738.877.5-0.247%-
Last 30 away (11)36.541.477.8-4.918%-
Last 10 (10)34.641.476.0-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.077.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.540.975.5-6.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.638.077.6+1.644%-
vs Weaker (6)43.739.583.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/12
B League
79.9Avg total
39.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)43.141.684.7+1.561%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.140.981.0-0.845%-
Last 30 away (12)45.842.288.1+3.675%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.079.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.075.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.740.981.6-0.255%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.641.285.9+3.475%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.0
50.4%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.4
26.2%
33.5%16.2
🏀 Free throws16.310.9
66.9%
72.0%10.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.9
50.3%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.7
34.6%
33.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
72.0%12.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
WLWLLLLLLL
Nagasaki
LWLLWLWWLW
#18
League position
#17
-16.5
Net rating
-4.4
93.6
Offensive rating
104.1
110.1
Defensive rating
108.5
46.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.7%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.2%
3-point %
34.6%
58.7%
Assist %
69.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 104.1Defence110.1 · 108.5Shooting46.6% · 51.0%3-point %26.2% · 34.6%Ball care20.5% · 18.7%Off. rebounds28.6% · 29.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Osaka   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Osaka wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki97-95
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HNagasaki97-95
20/12/23AHiroshima D.56-80
17/12/23HAkita65-63
16/12/23HAkita65-78
10/12/23ASun Rockers Shibuya65-77
09/12/23ASun Rockers Shibuya56-79
06/12/23HRyukyu73-76
03/12/23HSaga45-79
02/12/23HSaga79-84
12/11/23ADiamond Dolphins78-86
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AOsaka95-97
20/12/23ARyukyu76-74
17/12/23HAlvark84-94
16/12/23HAlvark62-71
10/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-67
09/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles71-84
06/12/23ASaga91-81
03/12/23HBrave Thunders92-85
02/12/23HBrave Thunders77-80 OT
12/11/23ASendai86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %48%57%33%
Points / game76.878.574.2
Allowed / game79.478.481.1
Point differential-2.6+0.1-6.9
Avg total156.3156.9155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayLWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%55%58%
Points / game84.379.888.3
Allowed / game83.681.485.6
Point differential+0.7-1.5+2.8
Avg total167.8161.2173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2420483%80.265.8+14.5
2 NeoPhoenix2420483%90.677.5+13.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex2418675%77.569.0+8.5
4 Ryukyu2418675%80.677.0+3.6
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2416867%82.276.2+6.0
6 Diamond Dolphins2416867%82.277.9+4.3
7 Brave Thunders2415962%80.276.8+3.4
8 Shimane24141058%82.877.0+5.8
9 Nagasaki23131057%84.383.6+0.7
10 Saga24131154%77.275.0+2.2
11 Chiba24131154%83.283.0+0.2
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles24131154%74.574.7-0.2
13 Akita24121250%72.873.8-1.1
14 Osaka23111248%76.879.4-2.6
15 Hiroshima D.24111346%77.974.7+3.2
16 Sendai24111346%81.180.6+0.5
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya24111346%76.777.4-0.8
18 Gunma24111346%75.679.4-3.8
19 Yokohama24101442%74.881.2-6.5
20 Kyoto2471729%75.683.0-7.5
21 Hokkaido2461825%72.880.7-7.9
22 Shinshu2442017%73.885.5-11.7
23 Toyama2432112%73.085.0-11.9
24 Ibaraki Robots241234%73.385.2-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka2224232190
Nagasaki2318121972
← all games of the day
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