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Nagasaki vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 89-85
23-24 16-28 18-14 32-19
Position#16
Record16-22
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#3
Record27-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game76.1
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Ryukyu
26 Oct 2026
NAGA101
RYUK84
26 May 2026
NAGA72
RYUK64
24 May 2026
NAGA66
RYUK60
23 May 2026
NAGA69
RYUK71
02 Mar 2025
NAGA89
RYUK85
01 Mar 2025
NAGA74
RYUK93
27 Mar 2024
NAGA68
RYUK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
71-78
71
78
-7
62avg 69
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 69
A11/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 69
H25/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
78-83
78
83
-5
71avg 69
H26/01
B League
Shiga
#24
W
101-89
101
89
+12
101avg 69
A29/01
B League
Shimane
#8
L
69-78
69
78
-9
62avg 69
H01/02
B League
Shimane
#8
W
96-74
96
74
+22
92avg 69
H02/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
88avg 69
A08/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 69
A09/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
57avg 69
H01/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
16-7
12-24
12-27
23-21
14-23
18-15
15-23
16-24
28-18
17-17
15-21
24-27
19-15
13-16
22-25
34-22
15-27
26-20
26-20
23-15
12-13
15-22
19-28
28-21
22-19
24-20
22-14
24-21
25-21
21-26
19-17
18-20
20-27
13-27
14-22
21-29
14-20
16-24
23-20
162.7Avg total
78.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)75.177.8152.9-2.842%
Season at home (21)72.977.0149.9-4.133%
Season away (17)77.878.9156.7-1.153%
Last 10 (10)78.983.8162.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)78.685.2163.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.180.0156.1-3.933%
vs Similar (12)71.080.2151.2-9.217%
vs Weaker (9)84.378.4162.8+5.967%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
W
103-89 OT
103
89
+14
102avg 76
A12/01
B League
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
89-71
89
71
+18
86avg 76
A22/01
EASL
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
74avg 76
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
97-88
97
88
+9
88avg 76
H26/01
B League
Osaka
#13
L
95-97
95
97
-2
85avg 76
H29/01
B League
Alvark
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
59avg 76
A01/02
B League
Alvark
#4
W
83-58
83
58
+25
82avg 76
A02/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
75-62
75
62
+13
74avg 76
H08/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 76
H09/02
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 76
A01/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
24-20
23-11
10-25
23-22
27-19
25-15
14-15
23-25
12-20
24-29
27-31
33-30
23-20
25-18
16-20
30-29
24-19
20-27
21-22
9-22
20-26
14-26
24-13
23-23
24-14
19-12
17-9
23-16
17-19
19-12
16-15
16-24
21-21
12-15
18-9
29-21
20-14
24-16
20-23
165.5Avg total
85.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)83.776.1159.8+7.671%
Season at home (19)85.276.5161.7+8.674%
Season away (19)82.275.6157.8+6.668%
Last 10 (10)85.580.0165.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)77.070.0147.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.586.5159.0-14.050%
vs Similar (7)81.082.7163.7-1.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.572.4154.9+10.081%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
NagasakiRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H25/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H26/01
B League
Shiga
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A29/01
B League
Shimane
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H01/02
B League
Shimane
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A08/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H01/03
B League
83.7Avg total
42.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.978.9-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.839.277.0-1.459%-
Last 30 away (13)40.540.881.4-0.338%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.083.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.282.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.040.777.7-3.744%-
vs Similar (12)38.438.877.2-0.442%-
vs Weaker (9)41.840.682.3+1.267%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/01
B League
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A22/01
EASL
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H26/01
B League
Osaka
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H29/01
B League
Alvark
#4
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A01/02
B League
Alvark
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A02/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H08/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H09/02
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A01/03
B League
86.8Avg total
44.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.180.5+4.277%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.638.883.3+5.888%-
Last 30 away (14)39.837.477.2+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.686.8+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.080.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.038.572.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (7)42.143.185.3-1.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.236.479.6+6.886%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
33.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.211.1
64.5%
72.7%11.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.6
52.0%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.1
32.7%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.517.7
78.7%
72.7%17.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLWWLWLLLL
Ryukyu
WLWWLLWLWW
#16
League position
#3
-6.3
Net rating
+7.4
104.5
Offensive rating
116.8
110.8
Defensive rating
109.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.0%
3-point %
32.7%
65.4%
Assist %
65.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 116.8Defence110.8 · 109.3Shooting51.9% · 50.9%3-point %36.0% · 32.7%Ball care18.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 37.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagasaki wins
3
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu74-93
21/04/24Ryukyu v Nagasaki84-91
20/04/24Ryukyu v Nagasaki98-67
27/03/24Nagasaki v Ryukyu68-76
20/12/23Ryukyu v Nagasaki74-76
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HRyukyu74-93
09/02/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles65-96
08/02/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-85
02/02/25HShimane96-74
01/02/25HShimane69-78
29/01/25AShiga101-89
26/01/25HBrave Thunders78-83
25/01/25HBrave Thunders76-80
11/01/25AHiroshima D.70-82
10/01/25AHiroshima D.71-78
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ANagasaki93-74
09/02/25HSun Rockers Shibuya67-69
08/02/25HSun Rockers Shibuya75-62
02/02/25AAlvark83-58
01/02/25AAlvark67-87
29/01/25HOsaka95-97
26/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex97-88
25/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex86-105
22/01/25AMeralco Bolts89-71
12/01/25AYokohama103-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382117
Win %42%33%53%
Points / game75.172.977.8
Allowed / game77.877.078.9
Point differential-2.8-4.1-1.1
Avg total152.9149.9156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)27% (11)100% (1)
Overtime %5%5%6%
Ryukyu
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeLWLWL74%
AwayWWLWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %71%74%68%
Points / game83.785.282.2
Allowed / game76.176.575.6
Point differential+7.6+8.6+6.6
Avg total159.8161.7157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%58%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3834489%92.978.3+14.6
2 Utsunomiya Brex3933685%86.876.1+10.7
3 Gunma39291074%79.371.3+8.0
4 Alvark39281172%77.070.7+6.3
5 Ryukyu38271171%83.776.1+7.6
6 SeaHorses Mikawa39271269%82.174.6+7.5
7 Shimane39251464%79.974.4+5.5
8 Chiba39251464%81.477.9+3.5
9 Diamond Dolphins39221756%82.381.1+1.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya39211854%74.671.6+2.9
11 Kyoto39201951%80.779.1+1.5
12 Osaka39201951%81.681.8-0.2
13 Akita39182146%73.274.4-1.3
14 Hiroshima D.39182146%78.482.1-3.7
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles39172244%77.881.0-3.2
16 Nagasaki38162242%75.177.8-2.8
17 Yokohama39162341%74.979.1-4.2
18 Koshigaya Alphas39132633%77.281.0-3.8
19 Hokkaido39132633%73.579.3-5.8
20 Brave Thunders39132633%77.185.0-7.9
21 Saga39112828%73.678.5-4.8
22 Ibaraki Robots3983121%73.081.6-8.6
23 Sendai3983121%73.082.5-9.5
24 Shiga3843411%76.089.3-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2316183289
Ryukyu2428141985
← all games of the day
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