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Ryukyu vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 58-68
10-18 14-22 17-14 17-14
Position#3
Record29-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game74.9
Ryukyu
Japan
vs
Nagasaki 🏆
Japan
Position#1
Record34-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game78.8
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ryukyu v Nagasaki
14 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
13 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
RYUK58
NAGA68
14 Mar 2026
RYUK95
NAGA81
20 Apr 2025
RYUK87
NAGA66
19 Apr 2025
RYUK90
NAGA80
21 Apr 2024
RYUK84
NAGA91
20 Apr 2024
RYUK98
NAGA67
20 Dec 2023
RYUK74
NAGA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 79
H04/02
EASL
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-55
82
55
+27
82avg 79
A07/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
77-66
77
66
+11
76avg 79
A08/02
B League
Meralco Bolts
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
88avg 79
A11/02
EASL
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 79
A14/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
73-55
73
55
+18
70avg 79
A15/02
B League
Shimane
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
69avg 79
H07/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
80-64
80
64
+16
80avg 79
H08/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 79
H11/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
95-81
95
81
+14
93avg 79
H14/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
25-22
25-22
17-11
21-14
8-9
25-12
28-20
19-18
17-12
26-20
15-16
26-16
25-20
23-22
14-21
12-17
21-18
29-21
25-29
19-13
19-21
17-11
18-10
22-15
23-18
17-21
19-24
24-26
20-6
18-22
18-10
22-13
18-23
16-20
14-23
20-25
31-10
22-26
22-20
154.5Avg total
82.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)81.574.9156.5+6.667%
Season at home (20)80.277.4157.7+2.855%
Season away (23)82.772.8155.4+9.978%
Last 10 (10)82.172.4154.5+9.790%
Last 5 (5)79.871.4151.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)91.581.5173.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (7)75.170.7145.9+4.457%
vs Weaker (21)82.675.4158.0+7.176%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 81
H31/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
96avg 81
H01/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 81
A06/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
105-75
105
75
+30
111avg 81
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
97-80
97
80
+17
92avg 81
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 81
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
78-93
78
93
-15
68avg 81
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 81
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-80
90
80
+10
89avg 81
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-95
81
95
-14
76avg 81
A14/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
26-14
22-22
23-16
28-10
23-24
23-18
24-22
19-24
15-22
18-11
22-32
21-16
23-21
29-19
32-19
22-19
19-18
26-24
30-19
16-17
18-27
17-13
26-15
20-25
19-28
19-26
20-14
19-27
25-21
16-24
10-19
23-15
20-21
27-24
20-20
25-20
10-31
26-22
20-22
167.4Avg total
85.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)91.778.8170.6+12.979%
Season at home (21)91.077.5168.5+13.486%
Season away (22)92.580.1172.6+12.473%
Last 10 (10)85.482.0167.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)79.286.2165.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.680.3171.9+11.371%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
RyukyuNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/02
EASL
Brave Thunders
#25
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A07/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A08/02
B League
Meralco Bolts
#7
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A11/02
EASL
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A15/02
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H07/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H11/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H14/03
B League
75.6Avg total
41.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.479.3+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.439.181.5+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.635.977.4+5.775%-
Last 10 (10)41.334.375.6+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.634.077.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)48.542.090.5+6.550%-
vs Similar (7)39.036.175.1+2.957%-
vs Weaker (21)42.337.379.7+5.071%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H31/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H01/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A06/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/03
B League
82.3Avg total
40.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.041.487.4+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.840.588.2+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)44.142.486.5+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.982.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.485.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.641.588.1+5.264%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.0
51.8%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.8
38.9%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.7
77.4%
73.1%12.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.3
59.4%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.6
34.2%
33.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.315.0
77.7%
73.1%15.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
WLWWWWWWWW
Nagasaki
LWLLWWWLWW
#3
League position
#1
+12.2
Net rating
+4.0
101.1
Offensive rating
100.0
88.9
Defensive rating
96.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.9%
3-point %
34.2%
60.1%
Assist %
70.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 100.0Defence88.9 · 96.0Shooting54.4% · 55.4%3-point %38.9% · 34.2%Ball care13.5% · 14.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ryukyu wins
3
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Ryukyu v Nagasaki95-81
20/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki87-66
19/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki90-80
02/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu89-85
01/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu74-93
21/04/24Ryukyu v Nagasaki84-91
20/04/24Ryukyu v Nagasaki98-67
27/03/24Nagasaki v Ryukyu68-76
20/12/23Ryukyu v Nagasaki74-76
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HNagasaki95-81
11/03/26HSeaHorses Mikawa70-79
08/03/26HShimane80-64
07/03/26HShimane81-78
15/02/26AAltiri Chiba73-55
14/02/26AAltiri Chiba87-85
11/02/26AMeralco Bolts88-79
08/02/26ABrave Thunders77-66
07/02/26ABrave Thunders82-55
04/02/26HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots88-82
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ARyukyu81-95
11/03/26AKyoto90-80
08/03/26HAlvark70-91
07/03/26HAlvark78-93
15/02/26AGunma77-72
14/02/26AGunma97-80
07/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex105-75
06/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex74-89
01/02/26HHiroshima D.98-74
31/01/26HHiroshima D.84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %67%55%78%
Points / game81.580.282.7
Allowed / game74.977.472.8
Point differential+6.6+2.9+9.9
Avg total156.5157.7155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%40%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL79%
HomeWWWLL86%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %79%86%73%
Points / game91.791.092.5
Allowed / game78.877.580.1
Point differential+12.9+13.4+12.4
Avg total170.6168.5172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%67%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins4435980%84.272.7+11.5
2 Nagasaki4334979%91.778.8+12.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex44331175%85.480.0+5.5
4 Chiba44311370%82.975.8+7.1
5 SeaHorses Mikawa44301468%83.977.9+6.0
6 Alvark44301468%80.077.2+2.9
7 Ryukyu43291467%81.574.9+6.6
8 Hokkaido44291566%87.985.4+2.5
9 Gunma44281664%82.674.0+8.6
10 Sendai44271761%81.178.9+2.2
11 Hiroshima D.44261859%86.783.1+3.5
12 NeoPhoenix44251957%84.482.1+2.3
13 Shimane44222250%81.280.7+0.6
14 Saga44222250%82.082.5-0.5
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya44182641%76.580.7-4.2
16 Osaka44172739%80.082.5-2.5
17 Yokohama44172739%78.882.2-3.5
18 Koshigaya Alphas44162836%73.881.5-7.6
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles44152934%80.483.1-2.8
20 Altiri Chiba44152934%80.084.2-4.2
21 Shiga44152934%80.485.9-5.5
22 Kyoto44143032%71.780.2-8.6
23 Ibaraki Robots44133130%75.480.3-4.9
24 Brave Thunders44123227%75.983.7-7.9
25 Toyama44113325%82.490.0-7.6
26 Akita4473716%73.485.6-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ryukyu1014171758
Nagasaki1822141468
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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