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Ryukyu vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 90-80
27-20 21-20 22-16 20-24
Position#3
Record40-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game76.3
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#16
Record24-29
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game77.9
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ryukyu v Nagasaki
14 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
13 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
RYUK58
NAGA68
14 Mar 2026
RYUK95
NAGA81
20 Apr 2025
RYUK87
NAGA66
19 Apr 2025
RYUK90
NAGA80
21 Apr 2024
RYUK84
NAGA91
20 Apr 2024
RYUK98
NAGA67
20 Dec 2023
RYUK74
NAGA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
85avg 77
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
116-111 OT
116
111
+5
115avg 77
A26/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
87-68
87
68
+19
92avg 77
H29/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
73-64
73
64
+9
75avg 77
H30/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
93-68
93
68
+25
96avg 77
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
72-64
72
64
+8
63avg 77
A06/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
104-73
104
73
+31
113avg 77
H09/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
96-61
96
61
+35
94avg 77
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 77
H13/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
98-81
98
81
+17
102avg 77
A16/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
28-19
24-22
19-19
22-13
24-24
30-33
24-30
26-15
18-18
25-20
18-15
12-22
20-10
19-6
22-26
25-19
22-20
23-17
23-12
16-9
15-16
17-15
24-24
29-22
29-17
24-18
22-16
23-19
20-15
27-10
26-17
23-13
18-19
14-18
22-20
23-27
22-16
28-16
25-22
163.7Avg total
90.1Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)85.176.3161.5+8.875%
Season at home (25)85.675.1160.6+10.576%
Season away (28)84.877.5162.2+7.375%
Last 10 (10)90.173.6163.7+16.5100%
Last 5 (5)89.469.8159.2+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.084.7153.7-15.70%
vs Similar (9)83.076.0159.0+7.078%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.377.6166.9+11.778%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
84avg 68
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
77-78
77
78
-1
69avg 68
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
62avg 68
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 68
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
65-95
65
95
-30
47avg 68
A05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 68
A06/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
54avg 68
A09/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
87avg 68
A12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 68
A13/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
63avg 68
H16/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
21-13
24-15
18-25
26-23
18-20
19-23
14-12
17-27
16-23
11-20
26-13
11-21
22-14
19-13
25-17
17-23
18-24
10-19
20-29
19-19
22-10
15-27
20-23
12-18
21-17
7-17
23-20
19-25
9-28
29-12
20-12
16-24
23-15
17-24
22-20
18-20
22-16
5-15
16-10
152.1Avg total
75.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)75.977.9153.8-2.045%
Season at home (27)74.176.5150.6-2.441%
Season away (26)77.879.3157.2-1.550%
Last 10 (10)75.077.1152.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)75.477.4152.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.980.3157.2-3.438%
vs Similar (10)77.781.4159.1-3.740%
vs Weaker (7)81.478.0159.4+3.457%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
RyukyuNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A26/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H29/03
B League
Gunma
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H30/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A06/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H09/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/04
B League
77.8Avg total
42.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.380.5+4.077%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.238.981.2+3.362%-
Last 30 away (17)42.337.880.1+4.588%-
Last 10 (10)42.934.977.8+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)43.634.678.2+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.338.368.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (9)41.639.380.9+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.637.782.3+6.989%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A06/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A13/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/04
B League
75.8Avg total
36.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.180.2+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.241.281.4-0.962%-
Last 30 away (17)40.139.379.4+0.841%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.474.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.140.077.1-2.931%-
vs Similar (10)43.640.183.7+3.570%-
vs Weaker (7)40.940.381.1+0.657%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.2
55.9%
51.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.2
39.8%
33.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.3
77.3%
72.7%14.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.4
50.3%
51.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.4
33.5%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws13.710.8
78.8%
72.7%10.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
WWWWWWWWWW
Nagasaki
WLWLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#16
+23.0
Net rating
-3.3
123.1
Offensive rating
97.8
100.1
Defensive rating
101.1
57.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.2%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
39.8%
3-point %
33.5%
70.4%
Assist %
59.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 97.8Defence100.1 · 101.1Shooting57.4% · 50.2%3-point %39.8% · 33.5%Ball care16.1% · 20.2%Off. rebounds38.3% · 24.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ryukyu wins
3
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu89-85
01/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu74-93
21/04/24Ryukyu v Nagasaki84-91
20/04/24Ryukyu v Nagasaki98-67
27/03/24Nagasaki v Ryukyu68-76
20/12/23Ryukyu v Nagasaki74-76
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25AOsaka98-81
13/04/25HSendai77-70
12/04/25HSendai96-61
09/04/25HShiga104-73
06/04/25AHokkaido72-64
05/04/25AHokkaido93-68
30/03/25HGunma73-64
29/03/25HGunma87-68
26/03/25ABrave Thunders116-111 OT
23/03/25ASeaHorses Mikawa85-76
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25HShiga69-67 OT
13/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa78-83
12/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa91-86 OT
09/04/25AShimane63-72
06/04/25ANeoPhoenix76-79
05/04/25ANeoPhoenix65-95
30/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex77-65
29/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex70-83
26/03/25HHiroshima D.77-78
23/03/25AKyoto84-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532528
Win %75%76%75%
Points / game85.185.684.8
Allowed / game76.375.177.5
Point differential+8.8+10.5+7.3
Avg total161.5160.6162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%56%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %8%8%7%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWLLWW41%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %45%41%50%
Points / game75.974.177.8
Allowed / game77.976.579.3
Point differential-2.0-2.4-1.5
Avg total153.8150.6157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%19%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)36% (14)50% (4)
Overtime %8%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix5344983%91.779.5+12.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex54441081%85.375.7+9.6
3 Ryukyu53401375%85.176.3+8.8
4 Alvark54391572%76.670.8+5.9
5 Chiba54361867%81.977.0+4.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa54351965%81.175.3+5.9
7 Gunma54342063%77.672.3+5.3
8 Shimane54342063%79.974.7+5.2
9 Diamond Dolphins54312357%81.979.9+2.1
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya54282652%73.771.3+2.4
11 Kyoto54272750%81.980.8+1.1
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles54272750%78.479.3-0.9
13 Osaka54272750%81.983.1-1.2
14 Akita54262848%73.374.3-1.0
15 Hiroshima D.54262848%79.582.1-2.6
16 Nagasaki53242945%75.977.9-2.0
17 Yokohama54233143%76.079.4-3.5
18 Saga54193535%75.978.9-3.0
19 Hokkaido54193535%75.479.8-4.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas54173731%75.780.9-5.2
21 Brave Thunders54173731%79.086.6-7.7
22 Ibaraki Robots54134124%73.080.1-7.2
23 Sendai5494517%72.683.7-11.1
24 Shiga5374613%76.389.7-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ryukyu2721222090
Nagasaki2020162480
← all games of the day
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