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Nagasaki vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 68-76
16-22 13-11 18-20 21-23
Position#17
Record18-27
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record32-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game76.8
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Ryukyu
26 Oct 2026
NAGA101
RYUK84
26 May 2026
NAGA72
RYUK64
24 May 2026
NAGA66
RYUK60
23 May 2026
NAGA69
RYUK71
02 Mar 2025
NAGA89
RYUK85
01 Mar 2025
NAGA74
RYUK93
27 Mar 2024
NAGA68
RYUK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
98avg 74
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
81-101
81
101
-20
73avg 74
A10/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
70avg 74
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
67-85
67
85
-18
55avg 74
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 74
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 74
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
71-80
71
80
-9
65avg 74
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 74
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
69-102
69
102
-33
56avg 74
A24/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
18-27
20-14
22-14
18-21
29-26
24-17
28-28
16-33
29-21
21-22
15-25
15-37
12-19
23-18
26-23
22-20
14-26
17-23
14-16
24-26
24-19
19-22
11-24
25-16
27-16
23-27
19-23
19-23
32-24
9-24
11-9
17-26
34-10
23-23
16-17
14-30
23-18
25-32
7-22
171.7Avg total
81.5Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)81.185.2166.4-4.140%
Season at home (24)77.983.8161.6-5.933%
Season away (21)84.986.9171.8-2.048%
Last 10 (10)81.590.2171.7-8.730%
Last 5 (5)80.486.2166.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.388.2167.5-8.933%
vs Similar (12)77.284.9162.1-7.825%
vs Weaker (3)80.074.7154.7+5.333%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
68avg 76
A04/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
89avg 76
A07/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
94-84
94
84
+10
90avg 76
H10/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 76
H11/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
107-88
107
88
+19
99avg 76
A02/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
98-89
98
89
+9
101avg 76
A03/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
106-80
106
80
+26
107avg 76
H06/03
B League
Osaka
#18
W
88-79
88
79
+9
81avg 76
H20/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 76
H23/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
81-59
81
59
+22
70avg 76
H24/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
20-14
18-25
11-23
19-19
26-14
24-21
18-21
24-20
23-17
19-18
28-29
23-13
16-27
24-16
17-17
33-31
25-22
16-22
33-13
21-20
30-16
23-28
24-25
28-22
30-20
29-19
19-19
26-16
18-22
22-21
22-20
25-15
17-19
22-24
14-23
24-24
18-9
17-12
22-14
167.7Avg total
89.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)82.276.8159.0+5.471%
Season at home (22)81.976.1158.0+5.773%
Season away (23)82.577.5160.0+5.070%
Last 10 (10)89.578.2167.7+11.390%
Last 5 (5)90.277.6167.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.880.3163.2+2.567%
vs Similar (7)79.969.6149.4+10.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.177.7160.8+5.459%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
NagasakiRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A10/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
B League
90.1Avg total
43.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.484.4-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.243.083.2-2.839%-
Last 30 away (12)42.244.186.3-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.546.690.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.841.689.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.545.684.1-7.120%-
vs Similar (12)42.842.585.3+0.358%-
vs Weaker (3)46.036.382.3+9.7100%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A04/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A02/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A03/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H06/03
B League
Osaka
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H20/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H23/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/03
B League
84.5Avg total
47.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.878.0+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.938.578.4+1.447%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.877.5+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)47.337.284.5+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.684.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.539.382.8+4.250%-
vs Similar (7)37.135.672.7+1.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.438.178.5+2.353%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.8
50.5%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
33.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
72.0%12.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.5
51.2%
50.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.511.2
42.3%
33.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.315.9
74.6%
72.0%15.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWLWLLLLWL
Ryukyu
WLWWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#5
-12.9
Net rating
+15.9
104.0
Offensive rating
122.3
116.9
Defensive rating
106.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
56.2%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
40.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.9%
3-point %
42.3%
63.9%
Assist %
62.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 122.3Defence116.9 · 106.4Shooting51.3% · 56.2%3-point %34.9% · 42.3%Ball care19.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 40.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
0
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23Ryukyu v Nagasaki74-76
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AYokohama69-102
23/03/24AYokohama90-76
20/03/24HSaga71-80
06/03/24HDiamond Dolphins94-82
03/03/24HGunma78-91
02/03/24HGunma67-85
11/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-97
10/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex81-101
07/02/24AShimane99-92
04/02/24HDiamond Dolphins90-96 OT
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HAkita81-59
23/03/24HAkita78-81
20/03/24HOsaka88-79
06/03/24HKyoto106-80
03/03/24ANeoPhoenix98-89
02/03/24ANeoPhoenix107-88
11/02/24HHokkaido80-73
10/02/24HHokkaido94-84
07/02/24ABrave Thunders87-75
04/02/24AAlvark76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWLLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %40%33%48%
Points / game81.177.984.9
Allowed / game85.283.886.9
Point differential-4.1-5.9-2.0
Avg total166.4161.6171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%8%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Ryukyu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %71%73%70%
Points / game82.281.982.5
Allowed / game76.876.177.5
Point differential+5.4+5.7+5.0
Avg total159.0158.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%27%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)67% (9)71% (7)
Overtime %9%5%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4538784%80.868.8+12.0
2 Alvark4536980%82.270.0+12.2
3 NeoPhoenix4536980%89.579.1+10.4
4 Ryukyu45321371%82.276.8+5.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa45291664%81.375.8+5.6
6 Chiba45291664%85.181.7+3.4
7 Diamond Dolphins45281762%82.279.2+3.1
8 Shimane45271860%84.478.7+5.6
9 Gunma45261958%79.980.1-0.2
10 Hiroshima D.45252056%78.973.9+5.0
11 Brave Thunders45252056%80.877.5+3.4
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya45232251%75.574.8+0.8
13 Saga45232251%75.274.9+0.2
14 Akita45232251%73.974.7-0.8
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles45212447%73.575.3-1.8
16 Yokohama45212447%77.781.5-3.8
17 Sendai45192642%78.480.4-2.0
18 Nagasaki45182740%81.185.2-4.1
19 Osaka45172838%77.782.3-4.6
20 Hokkaido45133229%75.381.5-6.2
21 Kyoto45133229%76.684.3-7.8
22 Ibaraki Robots4583718%75.286.2-11.0
23 Shinshu4563913%71.384.0-12.6
24 Toyama454419%73.785.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1613182168
Ryukyu2211202376
← all games of the day
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