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Nagasaki vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 74-71
19-22 16-24 15-10 24-15
Position#18
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#17
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game87.2
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shinshu
08 Oct 2026
NAGA74
SHIN71
07 Jan 2024
NAGA92
SHIN64
06 Jan 2024
NAGA73
SHIN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
W
96-56
96
56
+40
102avg 84
H08/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
78avg 84
H15/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
98avg 84
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
56avg 84
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
66-60
66
60
+6
53avg 84
H24/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
59avg 84
H26/05
B League
Shimane
#20
L
64-89
64
89
-25
56avg 84
H23/09
B League
Shimane
#20
L
78-85
78
85
-7
72avg 84
H25/09
B League
Kyoto
#9
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
62avg 84
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#9
L
65-90
65
90
-25
58avg 84
A04/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
22-12
25-17
26-12
23-22
18-27
24-11
17-14
36-24
20-22
24-20
22-27
9-20
21-16
21-18
18-17
20-14
11-15
21-9
14-22
17-10
19-13
19-22
17-19
16-17
22-28
12-22
14-22
22-23
19-17
16-27
21-18
21-10
11-16
12-25
30-23
2-21
22-20
21-31
20-18
153.6Avg total
77.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.887.0157.8-16.20%
Season at home (2)71.087.0158.0-16.00%
Season away (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)77.076.6153.6+0.450%
Last 5 (5)71.082.4153.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (2)71.087.0158.0-16.00%
vs Weaker (26)87.679.3167.0+8.377%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
A05/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
59-83
59
83
-24
no box
A10/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
no box
A11/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
A17/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
65-68
65
68
-3
no box
A18/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
no box
A19/05
B2.League
Toyama
#11
L
85-99
85
99
-14
77avg 82
H26/09
B League
Toyama
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
91avg 82
H27/09
B League
Yokohama
#14
L
78-85
78
85
-7
74avg 82
A03/10
B League
Yokohama
#14
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 82
A04/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
23-14
25-24
21-13
18-31
13-21
14-19
14-12
25-22
13-19
15-15
13-19
19-10
11-14
32-18
10-26
16-14
15-25
18-11
16-18
25-22
15-15
26-26
35-31
16-22
20-30
20-19
29-28
25-16
28-31
22-14
24-20
19-22
16-15
19-22
24-26
22-28
20-14
23-17
24-25
161.5Avg total
80.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.887.2175.0+0.550%
Season at home (2)92.090.0182.0+2.050%
Season away (2)83.584.5168.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)80.581.0161.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)90.488.6179.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.786.7159.3-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.283.1166.3+0.254%
vs Weaker (11)77.473.7151.1+3.664%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
NagasakiShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H08/05
B League
Chiba
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H15/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H24/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/05
B League
Shimane
#20
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/09
B League
Shimane
#20
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/09
B League
Kyoto
#9
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#9
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A04/10
B League
73.6Avg total
37.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.682.1+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.640.584.1+3.161%-
Last 30 away (12)40.938.279.1+2.867%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.273.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.069.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.033.561.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.542.582.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (26)43.939.883.7+4.165%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A10/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A17/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A18/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/05
B2.League
Toyama
#11
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H26/09
B League
Toyama
#11
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H27/09
B League
Yokohama
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A03/10
B League
Yokohama
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
B League
78.8Avg total
38.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.580.1-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.043.283.2-3.245%-
Last 30 away (19)37.940.578.4-2.637%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.778.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.084.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.045.780.7-10.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.241.580.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (11)40.039.279.2+0.855%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.1
52.1%
53.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.9
30.7%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.415.7
73.4%
73.8%15.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.6
48.4%
53.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.2
31.8%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.815.9
72.9%
73.8%15.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLWWLWWW
Shinshu
WLWLWLWLLW
#18
League position
#17
+0.0
Net rating
-0.1
88.6
Offensive rating
96.7
88.6
Defensive rating
96.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
48.1%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.7%
3-point %
31.8%
65.4%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.6 · 96.7Defence88.6 · 96.9Shooting49.3% · 48.1%3-point %30.7% · 31.8%Ball care15.2% · 16.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
1
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Nagasaki v Shinshu92-64
06/01/24Nagasaki v Shinshu73-79
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26AKyoto65-90
03/10/26AKyoto76-84 OT
25/09/26HShimane78-85
23/09/26HShimane64-89
26/05/26HRyukyu72-64
24/05/26HRyukyu66-60
23/05/26HRyukyu69-71
16/05/26HChiba102-93
15/05/26HChiba82-74
08/05/26HAlvark96-56
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26AYokohama89-84
03/10/26AYokohama78-85
27/09/26HToyama99-81
26/09/26HToyama85-99
19/05/25AFukuoka101-94
18/05/25AFukuoka65-68
17/05/25AFukuoka72-68
11/05/25AAltiri Chiba66-75
10/05/25AAltiri Chiba59-83
05/05/25AKagoshima Rebnise91-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.871.070.5
Allowed / game87.087.087.0
Point differential-16.2-16.0-16.5
Avg total157.8158.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%0%50%
Shinshu
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.892.083.5
Allowed / game87.290.084.5
Point differential+0.5+2.0-1.0
Avg total175.0182.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins440100%89.573.5+16.0
2 Hiroshima D.550100%91.675.8+15.8
3 NeoPhoenix440100%90.276.8+13.5
4 Gunma440100%81.270.2+11.0
5 Tokyo Sunrockers54180%91.080.0+11.0
6 Kyoto54180%85.478.6+6.8
7 SeaHorses Mikawa43175%88.074.2+13.8
8 Alvark43175%98.090.0+8.0
9 Shimane53260%84.480.0+4.4
10 Levanga Hokkaido53260%94.892.8+2.0
11 Yokohama53260%77.476.6+0.8
12 Utsunomiya Brex42250%81.276.5+4.8
13 Shinshu42250%87.887.2+0.5
14 Ryukyu42250%81.085.8-4.8
15 Sendai52340%85.882.4+3.4
16 Shiga52340%89.086.0+3.0
17 Toyama52340%82.286.2-4.0
18 Kobe41325%74.584.0-9.5
19 Brave Thunders41325%78.289.0-10.8
20 Chiba41325%94.5105.2-10.8
21 Akita41325%67.282.5-15.2
22 Altiri Chiba51420%76.084.0-8.0
23 Osaka51420%65.679.2-13.6
24 Ibaraki Robots5050%78.283.8-5.6
25 Nagasaki4040%70.887.0-16.2
26 Saga4040%74.594.8-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1916152474
Shinshu2224101571
← all games of the day
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