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Nara vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 91-96
25-29 25-27 24-20 17-20
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game91.0
Nara
Japan
vs
Aomori 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game84.0
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Aomori
06 Oct 2024
NARA91
AOMO96
05 Oct 2024
NARA84
AOMO91
24 Dec 2023
NARA76
AOMO75
23 Dec 2023
NARA90
AOMO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
71-42
71
42
+29
73avg 67
A27/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 67
A30/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
52avg 67
A31/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
75-94
75
94
-19
66avg 67
H06/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 67
H07/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
92avg 67
A13/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
103-90
103
90
+13
106avg 67
A14/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 67
H20/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 67
H21/04
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 67
H05/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
20-11
23-6
19-10
15-14
24-26
16-22
15-16
15-10
18-21
17-26
17-24
20-14
19-31
22-23
14-26
26-21
16-20
14-16
23-15
22-23
22-21
26-24
25-23
27-28
29-22
22-15
25-25
28-19
14-16
22-22
22-14
18-21
13-20
14-17
17-19
28-19
19-26
20-24
17-22
157.9Avg total
79.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.091.0175.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)84.091.0175.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.278.7157.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)86.084.0170.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.773.1144.8-1.430%
vs Similar (17)77.079.3156.3-2.335%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)91.087.7178.7+3.333%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
93-108
93
108
-15
84avg 75
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
91avg 75
A07/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 75
H13/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
90-103
90
103
-13
74avg 75
H14/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
85avg 75
A20/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
73avg 75
A21/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A04/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
A05/05
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 75
A05/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-31
20-26
33-31
26-23
23-12
20-20
27-24
23-22
21-22
24-26
23-25
28-27
22-29
15-22
25-25
19-22
23-18
21-21
17-19
21-28
23-23
18-15
14-17
25-19
30-26
20-21
13-18
22-28
18-22
21-20
18-23
18-22
26-23
17-22
18-25
19-28
26-19
24-20
22-17
177.7Avg total
86.9Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.084.0175.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.084.0175.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.990.8177.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)82.687.2169.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)85.393.4178.7-8.130%
vs Similar (18)85.986.7172.6-0.844%
vs Weaker (2)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
NaraAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A27/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A30/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A14/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H21/04
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H05/10
B2.League
80.0Avg total
40.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.678.3-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.741.281.9-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)36.637.674.2-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.880.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.087.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.136.072.1+0.140%-
vs Similar (17)38.940.579.4-1.635%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)47.046.393.3+0.767%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H14/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A21/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A03/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/05
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A05/10
B2.League
91.7Avg total
45.3Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.787.7+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.243.687.8+0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)43.943.787.6+0.241%-
Last 10 (10)45.346.491.7-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.693.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)45.646.992.5-1.330%-
vs Similar (18)42.642.485.0+0.239%-
vs Weaker (2)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.3
52.2%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.2
36.0%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.613.7
69.9%
70.7%13.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.724.6
56.3%
51.0%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.6
33.7%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.211.9
65.4%
70.7%11.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LLWWWWLLLW
Aomori
WLLWLLLLWL
#9
League position
#12
+0.7
Net rating
-2.2
105.4
Offensive rating
113.7
104.7
Defensive rating
115.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
12.9%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.0%
3-point %
33.7%
62.1%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 113.7Defence104.7 · 115.9Shooting52.8% · 54.2%3-point %36.0% · 33.7%Ball care15.8% · 12.9%Off. rebounds22.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Nara   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nara wins
1
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Nara v Aomori84-91
14/04/24Aomori v Nara90-103
13/04/24Aomori v Nara91-95
24/12/23Nara v Aomori76-75
23/12/23Nara v Aomori90-82
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HAomori84-91
21/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings62-77
20/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings86-71
14/04/24AAomori103-90
13/04/24AAomori95-91
07/04/24HKobe79-72
06/04/24HKobe75-94
31/03/24AShiga67-81
30/03/24AShiga70-78
27/03/24AFukuoka71-42
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ANara91-84
05/05/24AShiga79-92
04/05/24AShiga79-93
03/05/24AShiga88-84
21/04/24AIwate76-83
20/04/24AIwate86-87 OT
14/04/24HNara90-103
13/04/24HNara91-95
07/04/24AShizuoka96-79
06/04/24AShizuoka93-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total175.0175.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total175.0-175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba220100%101.581.5+20.0
2 Fukui220100%85.574.5+11.0
3 Aomori110100%91.084.0+7.0
4 Shizuoka110100%83.078.0+5.0
5 Kagoshima Rebnise220100%77.573.5+4.0
6 Kobe21150%92.083.5+8.5
7 Ehime Orange Vikings21150%81.081.0+0.0
8 Fukushima21150%81.081.0+0.0
9 Toyama21150%83.592.0-8.5
10 Fukuoka2020%73.577.5-4.0
11 Yamagata Wyverns1010%78.083.0-5.0
12 Nara1010%84.091.0-7.0
13 Shinshu2020%74.585.5-11.0
14 Kumamoto2020%81.5101.5-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2525241791
Aomori2927202096
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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