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Nara vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 76-75
16-20 20-17 19-25 21-13
Position#11
Record10-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game77.9
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#8
Record15-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game87.6
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Aomori
06 Oct 2024
NARA91
AOMO96
05 Oct 2024
NARA84
AOMO91
24 Dec 2023
NARA76
AOMO75
23 Dec 2023
NARA90
AOMO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 64
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 64
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
68-60
68
60
+8
63avg 64
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
59avg 64
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 64
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
72avg 64
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
83avg 64
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
56-74
56
74
-18
40avg 64
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 64
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 64
H23/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-14
13-16
24-17
15-17
21-26
22-5
19-23
22-14
10-16
16-13
20-17
11-21
12-23
18-22
23-18
26-26
14-14
19-13
13-26
20-18
15-25
21-23
23-31
20-18
14-22
28-14
23-13
16-17
6-20
17-18
17-19
25-18
20-13
12-32
29-15
16-17
26-18
22-18
26-29
151.8Avg total
75.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.177.9151.0-4.840%
Season at home (12)71.880.2152.0-8.342%
Season away (13)74.275.8150.1-1.638%
Last 10 (10)75.776.1151.8-0.460%
Last 5 (5)79.279.6158.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.883.3151.1-15.56%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.773.3148.0+1.564%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
100-89
100
89
+11
81avg 71
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
88-95
88
95
-7
71avg 71
A26/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
76-100
76
100
-24
51avg 71
H02/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
63avg 71
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 71
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-90
95
90
+5
100avg 71
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
92avg 71
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
92avg 71
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 71
A23/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
20-31
24-21
25-20
16-22
23-25
10-21
39-27
16-21
24-29
15-22
21-28
18-21
23-16
16-24
26-15
22-17
19-24
30-16
23-34
19-22
25-9
23-25
16-27
24-18
25-29
23-23
23-20
26-25
25-21
18-19
23-20
21-28
18-22
25-25
29-24
17-16
18-26
18-22
29-26
181.2Avg total
90.3Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.987.6174.6-0.760%
Season at home (13)82.084.1166.1-2.162%
Season away (12)92.291.5183.8+0.858%
Last 10 (10)90.390.9181.2-0.660%
Last 5 (5)92.491.6184.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.787.7168.5-7.045%
vs Similar ◀ (17)88.088.0176.0+0.059%
vs Weaker (2)93.587.5181.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
NaraAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
B2.League
73.1Avg total
35.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.839.473.2-5.634%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.139.672.8-6.536%-
Last 30 away (15)34.539.173.6-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.973.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.272.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.441.873.2-10.419%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.637.573.1-1.845%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H02/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/12
B2.League
86.9Avg total
43.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.044.186.1-2.139%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.643.384.9-1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)42.444.987.3-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.986.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.044.883.8-5.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.643.486.1-0.835%-
vs Weaker (2)50.046.596.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.0
48.6%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.4
35.3%
33.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.113.9
72.8%
71.0%13.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.9
56.0%
52.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.7
35.4%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
71.0%13.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WWLWLLLWWW
Aomori
LLWWWWWLLW
#11
League position
#8
-0.3
Net rating
-3.1
104.0
Offensive rating
111.8
104.3
Defensive rating
114.9
50.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.3%
3-point %
35.4%
58.7%
Assist %
64.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 111.8Defence104.3 · 114.9Shooting50.3% · 54.9%3-point %35.3% · 35.4%Ball care19.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 27.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Nara   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nara wins
0
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Nara v Aomori90-82
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HAomori90-82
20/12/23HKumamoto86-78
17/12/23AFukushima56-74
16/12/23AFukushima85-67
10/12/23AShiga79-97
09/12/23AShiga72-79
03/12/23HFukuoka64-84
02/12/23HFukuoka68-60
26/11/23AIwate77-71
25/11/23AIwate80-69
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ANara82-90
20/12/23HYamagata Wyverns93-99
17/12/23HNiigata92-85
16/12/23HNiigata95-90
10/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings100-94 OT
09/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings94-91
03/12/23HFukushima83-76
02/12/23HFukushima76-100
26/11/23AKumamoto88-95
25/11/23AKumamoto100-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeWWLWW42%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%42%38%
Points / game73.171.874.2
Allowed / game77.980.275.8
Point differential-4.8-8.3-1.6
Avg total151.0152.0150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%62%58%
Points / game86.982.092.2
Allowed / game87.684.191.5
Point differential-0.7-2.1+0.8
Avg total174.6166.1183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (3)62% (8)
Overtime %12%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2523292%88.275.4+12.8
2 Fukuoka2519676%80.073.8+6.1
3 Shiga2518772%86.477.5+8.9
4 Koshigaya Alphas2516964%82.973.3+9.6
5 Kumamoto2516964%84.283.2+1.1
6 Aomori25151060%86.987.6-0.7
7 Kobe26141254%80.778.8+1.8
8 Shizuoka25121348%79.778.5+1.2
9 Yamagata Wyverns25121348%81.084.7-3.7
10 Nara25101540%73.177.9-4.8
11 Fukushima2581732%78.882.6-3.9
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2671927%78.986.7-7.8
13 Iwate2552020%69.775.9-6.2
14 Niigata251244%70.084.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1620192176
Aomori2017251375
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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