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Nara vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 90-82
16-17 26-18 22-18 26-29
Position#11
Record9-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game77.8
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#8
Record15-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game87.5
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Aomori
06 Oct 2024
NARA91
AOMO96
05 Oct 2024
NARA84
AOMO91
24 Dec 2023
NARA76
AOMO75
23 Dec 2023
NARA90
AOMO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
82-77 OT
82
77
+5
no box
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 64
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 64
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
68-60
68
60
+8
63avg 64
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
59avg 64
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 64
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
72avg 64
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
83avg 64
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
56-74
56
74
-18
40avg 64
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 64
H20/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
21-21
10-22
17-13
21-22
22-14
13-16
24-17
15-17
21-26
22-5
19-23
22-14
10-16
16-13
20-17
11-21
12-23
18-22
23-18
26-26
14-14
19-13
13-26
20-18
15-25
21-23
23-31
20-18
14-22
28-14
23-13
16-17
6-20
17-18
17-19
25-18
20-13
12-32
29-15
150.5Avg total
74.9Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.477.8150.1-5.438%
Season at home (11)70.280.0150.2-9.836%
Season away (13)74.275.8150.1-1.638%
Last 10 (10)74.975.6150.5-0.760%
Last 5 (5)75.679.0154.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)67.683.0150.6-15.46%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.272.4145.6+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
58avg 71
H19/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
100-89
100
89
+11
81avg 71
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
88-95
88
95
-7
71avg 71
A26/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
76-100
76
100
-24
51avg 71
H02/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
63avg 71
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 71
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-90
95
90
+5
100avg 71
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
92avg 71
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
92avg 71
H20/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
22-24
23-22
22-26
31-17
20-31
24-21
25-20
16-22
23-25
10-21
39-27
16-21
24-29
15-22
21-28
18-21
23-16
16-24
26-15
22-17
19-24
30-16
23-34
19-22
25-9
23-25
16-27
24-18
25-29
23-23
23-20
26-25
25-21
18-19
23-20
21-28
18-22
25-25
29-24
181.5Avg total
90.2Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.187.5174.7-0.462%
Season at home (13)82.084.1166.1-2.162%
Season away (11)93.291.6184.8+1.564%
Last 10 (10)90.291.3181.5-1.160%
Last 5 (5)94.891.8186.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.986.3165.2-7.442%
vs Similar ◀ (16)88.487.9176.2+0.562%
vs Weaker (2)93.587.5181.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
NaraAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H20/12
B2.League
73.4Avg total
35.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.539.673.0-6.131%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.540.072.5-7.531%-
Last 30 away (16)34.339.273.5-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.073.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.273.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.541.773.2-10.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.037.772.7-2.740%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H19/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H02/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H20/12
B2.League
87.4Avg total
43.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.843.985.7-2.039%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.842.883.6-2.047%-
Last 30 away (13)43.045.188.1-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.387.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.087.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.143.982.0-5.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.143.586.6-0.438%-
vs Weaker (2)50.046.596.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.9
47.4%
52.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
72.8%
71.0%13.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.5
56.2%
52.4%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.3
36.8%
33.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.314.0
69.0%
71.0%14.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WLWLLLWWWW
Aomori
LWWWWWLLWL
#11
League position
#8
+0.0
Net rating
-0.6
102.9
Offensive rating
113.7
102.9
Defensive rating
114.3
49.8%
Effective FG%
55.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.8%
3-point %
36.8%
59.4%
Assist %
67.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 113.7Defence102.9 · 114.3Shooting49.8% · 55.8%3-point %35.8% · 36.8%Ball care19.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.5% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Nara   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
0
Aomori wins
No previous meetings.
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HKumamoto86-78
17/12/23AFukushima56-74
16/12/23AFukushima85-67
10/12/23AShiga79-97
09/12/23AShiga72-79
03/12/23HFukuoka64-84
02/12/23HFukuoka68-60
26/11/23AIwate77-71
25/11/23AIwate80-69
21/11/23ANiigata82-77 OT
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HYamagata Wyverns93-99
17/12/23HNiigata92-85
16/12/23HNiigata95-90
10/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings100-94 OT
09/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings94-91
03/12/23HFukushima83-76
02/12/23HFukushima76-100
26/11/23AKumamoto88-95
25/11/23AKumamoto100-89
19/11/23HShiga81-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeLWWLW36%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %38%36%38%
Points / game72.470.274.2
Allowed / game77.880.075.8
Point differential-5.4-9.8-1.6
Avg total150.1150.2150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%9%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%62%64%
Points / game87.182.093.2
Allowed / game87.584.191.6
Point differential-0.4-2.1+1.5
Avg total174.7166.1184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (3)62% (8)
Overtime %12%8%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2523292%88.275.4+12.8
2 Fukuoka2418675%80.174.5+5.6
3 Shiga2518772%86.477.5+8.9
4 Koshigaya Alphas2516964%82.973.3+9.6
5 Kumamoto2516964%84.283.2+1.1
6 Aomori2415962%87.187.5-0.4
7 Kobe26141254%80.778.8+1.8
8 Shizuoka24121250%80.678.6+2.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns25121348%81.084.7-3.7
10 Nara2491538%72.477.8-5.4
11 Fukushima2581732%78.882.6-3.9
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2671927%78.986.7-7.8
13 Iwate2552020%69.775.9-6.2
14 Niigata251244%70.084.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1626222690
Aomori1718182982
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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