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Nara vs Altiri Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 76-78
20-23 20-17 27-15 9-23
Position#11
Record14-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#1
Record30-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game75.2
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Altiri Chiba
13 Jan 2025
NARA52
ALTI92
12 Jan 2025
NARA61
ALTI81
28 Jan 2024
NARA76
ALTI78
27 Jan 2024
NARA67
ALTI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Altiri Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 64
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 64
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 64
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 64
H29/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
no box
H30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 64
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
59-74
59
74
-15
46avg 64
A07/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
75-66
75
66
+9
70avg 64
A20/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
62avg 64
A21/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
62avg 64
H27/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-13
12-32
29-15
16-17
26-18
22-18
26-29
16-20
20-17
19-25
21-13
20-23
17-19
22-19
22-19
23-14
13-21
15-13
15-18
21-30
15-23
18-22
12-12
16-24
16-21
16-15
11-14
19-10
17-12
19-20
20-24
20-26
12-26
20-10
19-13
9-25
21-18
17-19
20-14
152.6Avg total
75.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)72.977.6150.5-4.742%
Season at home (16)73.179.5152.6-6.450%
Season away (17)72.775.8148.5-3.135%
Last 10 (10)75.477.2152.6-1.860%
Last 5 (5)67.675.6143.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.381.9153.2-10.625%
vs Similar (16)73.173.9147.0-0.956%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
85avg 87
A20/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
75-66
75
66
+9
64avg 87
H23/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
85-68
85
68
+17
86avg 87
H24/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
86-66
86
66
+20
95avg 87
A29/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
105-93
105
93
+12
112avg 87
A30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
86-95
86
95
-9
74avg 87
A06/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
104-84
104
84
+20
100avg 87
A07/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
79-63
79
63
+16
78avg 87
H20/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
88-59
88
59
+29
92avg 87
H21/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
76-67
76
67
+9
68avg 87
A27/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
26-16
16-16
25-12
22-21
18-16
21-16
14-13
19-22
24-17
21-8
21-21
31-14
26-15
18-19
11-18
19-21
36-30
23-25
27-17
25-25
18-18
18-22
25-30
25-19
33-13
27-28
19-24
22-19
19-16
21-18
17-10
25-15
19-17
17-8
27-19
25-9
18-21
19-17
14-20
159.6Avg total
86.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.375.2163.4+13.191%
Season at home (15)86.971.3158.3+15.693%
Season away (18)89.478.3167.7+11.189%
Last 10 (10)86.872.8159.6+14.090%
Last 5 (5)86.673.6160.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.575.4163.9+13.190%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
NaraAltiri Chiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H29/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A20/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A21/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H27/01
B2.League
75.7Avg total
36.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.973.9-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.939.173.9-4.240%-
Last 30 away (15)35.038.873.8-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.575.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.076.2-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.240.573.7-7.325%-
vs Similar (16)35.238.874.1-3.638%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A20/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H24/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
57-29
57
29
+28
A29/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A06/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A07/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H21/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A27/01
B2.League
83.4Avg total
46.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.036.382.3+9.783%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.436.579.9+6.877%-
Last 30 away (17)48.036.184.1+11.988%-
Last 10 (10)46.736.783.4+10.090%-
Last 5 (5)45.834.480.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.036.382.3+9.783%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.6
45.7%
52.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.6
30.3%
33.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.7
74.1%
71.0%13.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Altiri Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Altiri Chiba: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.4
53.8%
52.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.0
33.7%
33.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws25.118.0
71.7%
71.0%18.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LLWLLWWWWW
Altiri Chiba
WWWWLWWWWW
#11
League position
#1
-5.6
Net rating
+18.6
101.0
Offensive rating
115.7
106.7
Defensive rating
97.1
45.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
20.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
43.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.3%
3-point %
33.7%
63.5%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 115.7Defence106.7 · 97.1Shooting45.6% · 52.7%3-point %30.3% · 33.7%Ball care15.3% · 20.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 43.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Nara   ■ Altiri Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
3
Altiri Chiba wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Nara v Altiri Chiba67-76
08/10/23Altiri Chiba v Nara83-76
07/10/23Altiri Chiba v Nara95-80
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HAltiri Chiba67-76
21/01/24AShizuoka71-75
20/01/24AShizuoka75-66
07/01/24AKumamoto59-74
06/01/24AKumamoto66-87
30/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas83-79 OT
29/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas81-80
24/12/23HAomori76-75
23/12/23HAomori90-82
20/12/23HKumamoto86-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ANara76-67
21/01/24HFukuoka88-59
20/01/24HFukuoka79-63
07/01/24AFukushima104-84
06/01/24AFukushima86-95
30/12/23AKobe105-93
29/12/23AKobe86-66
24/12/23HIwate85-68
23/12/23HIwate75-66
20/12/23AFukushima84-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %42%50%35%
Points / game72.973.172.7
Allowed / game77.679.575.8
Point differential-4.7-6.4-3.1
Avg total150.5152.6148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%6%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Altiri Chiba
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %91%93%89%
Points / game88.386.989.4
Allowed / game75.271.378.3
Point differential+13.1+15.6+11.1
Avg total163.4158.3167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%73%61%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3330391%88.375.2+13.1
2 Shiga3325876%87.879.0+8.7
3 Kumamoto33231070%84.881.0+3.8
4 Fukuoka34221265%78.074.8+3.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas34211362%83.274.1+9.1
6 Yamagata Wyverns33181555%82.684.9-2.3
7 Aomori33171652%84.887.0-2.2
8 Shizuoka33151845%80.080.0-0.0
9 Kobe33141942%78.279.0-0.8
10 Nara33141942%72.977.6-4.7
11 Fukushima33122136%80.084.3-4.3
12 Iwate3382524%69.574.8-5.3
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3382524%78.786.5-7.8
14 Niigata3352815%71.582.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara202027976
Altiri Chiba2317152378
← all games of the day
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