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Nara vs Altiri Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 67-76
9-25 21-18 17-19 20-14
Position#11
Record14-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#1
Record29-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game75.4
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Altiri Chiba
13 Jan 2025
NARA52
ALTI92
12 Jan 2025
NARA61
ALTI81
28 Jan 2024
NARA76
ALTI78
27 Jan 2024
NARA67
ALTI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Altiri Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
56-74
56
74
-18
40avg 64
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 64
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 64
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 64
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 64
H29/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
no box
H30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 64
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
59-74
59
74
-15
46avg 64
A07/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
75-66
75
66
+9
70avg 64
A20/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
62avg 64
A21/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
6-20
17-18
17-19
25-18
20-13
12-32
29-15
16-17
26-18
22-18
26-29
16-20
20-17
19-25
21-13
20-23
17-19
22-19
22-19
23-14
13-21
15-13
15-18
21-30
15-23
18-22
12-12
16-24
16-21
16-15
11-14
19-10
17-12
19-20
20-24
20-26
12-26
20-10
19-13
151.3Avg total
74.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.177.6150.7-4.644%
Season at home (15)73.579.7153.2-6.353%
Season away (17)72.775.8148.5-3.135%
Last 10 (10)74.377.0151.3-2.760%
Last 5 (5)70.876.2147.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.282.0153.2-10.825%
vs Similar (16)73.173.9147.0-0.956%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
98-78
98
78
+20
98avg 87
H17/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
85avg 87
A20/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
75-66
75
66
+9
64avg 87
H23/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
85-68
85
68
+17
86avg 87
H24/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
86-66
86
66
+20
95avg 87
A29/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
105-93
105
93
+12
112avg 87
A30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
86-95
86
95
-9
74avg 87
A06/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
104-84
104
84
+20
100avg 87
A07/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
79-63
79
63
+16
78avg 87
H20/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
88-59
88
59
+29
92avg 87
H21/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-24
21-18
17-23
23-13
17-23
26-16
16-16
25-12
22-21
18-16
21-16
14-13
19-22
24-17
21-8
21-21
31-14
26-15
18-19
11-18
19-21
36-30
23-25
27-17
25-25
18-18
18-22
25-30
25-19
33-13
27-28
19-24
22-19
19-16
21-18
17-10
25-15
19-17
17-8
27-19
162.9Avg total
89.0Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)88.775.4164.1+13.291%
Season at home (15)86.971.3158.3+15.693%
Season away (17)90.279.0169.2+11.288%
Last 10 (10)89.073.9162.9+15.190%
Last 5 (5)92.478.8171.2+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.675.2163.9+13.490%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
NaraAltiri Chiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H29/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A20/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A21/01
B2.League
74.3Avg total
35.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.738.773.5-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.538.773.1-4.240%-
Last 30 away (15)35.038.873.8-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.974.3-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.475.8-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.740.072.7-7.325%-
vs Similar (16)35.238.874.1-3.638%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H17/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A20/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H24/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
57-29
57
29
+28
A29/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A06/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A07/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H21/01
B2.League
86.1Avg total
48.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.036.582.4+9.583%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.436.579.9+6.877%-
Last 30 away (17)47.936.484.4+11.588%-
Last 10 (10)48.237.986.1+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)48.238.686.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.036.582.4+9.583%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.2
46.1%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.9
32.1%
33.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
71.0%13.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Altiri Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Altiri Chiba: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.024.2
56.3%
52.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.77.1
36.0%
33.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws25.218.5
73.4%
71.0%18.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWLLWWWWWL
Altiri Chiba
WWWLWWWWWW
#11
League position
#1
-2.4
Net rating
+20.5
103.4
Offensive rating
118.3
105.8
Defensive rating
97.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
55.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
14.0%
Turnover %
20.3%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
42.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.1%
3-point %
36.0%
62.8%
Assist %
68.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 118.3Defence105.8 · 97.8Shooting46.9% · 55.6%3-point %32.1% · 36.0%Ball care14.0% · 20.3%Off. rebounds29.3% · 42.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Nara   ■ Altiri Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
2
Altiri Chiba wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Altiri Chiba v Nara83-76
07/10/23Altiri Chiba v Nara95-80
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AShizuoka71-75
20/01/24AShizuoka75-66
07/01/24AKumamoto59-74
06/01/24AKumamoto66-87
30/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas83-79 OT
29/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas81-80
24/12/23HAomori76-75
23/12/23HAomori90-82
20/12/23HKumamoto86-78
17/12/23AFukushima56-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HFukuoka88-59
20/01/24HFukuoka79-63
07/01/24AFukushima104-84
06/01/24AFukushima86-95
30/12/23AKobe105-93
29/12/23AKobe86-66
24/12/23HIwate85-68
23/12/23HIwate75-66
20/12/23AFukushima84-67
17/12/23HShizuoka98-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayLLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %44%53%35%
Points / game73.173.572.7
Allowed / game77.679.775.8
Point differential-4.6-6.3-3.1
Avg total150.7153.2148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%7%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Altiri Chiba
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %91%93%88%
Points / game88.786.990.2
Allowed / game75.471.379.0
Point differential+13.2+15.6+11.2
Avg total164.1158.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%73%65%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3229391%88.775.4+13.2
2 Shiga3325876%87.879.0+8.7
3 Kumamoto33231070%84.881.0+3.8
4 Fukuoka34221265%78.074.8+3.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas34211362%83.274.1+9.1
6 Yamagata Wyverns33181555%82.684.9-2.3
7 Aomori33171652%84.887.0-2.2
8 Shizuoka33151845%80.080.0-0.0
9 Nara32141844%73.177.6-4.6
10 Kobe33141942%78.279.0-0.8
11 Fukushima33122136%80.084.3-4.3
12 Iwate3382524%69.574.8-5.3
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3272522%78.687.0-8.4
14 Niigata3252716%71.582.3-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara921172067
Altiri Chiba2518191476
← all games of the day
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