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Natacao W vs CDEFF W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 80-66
23-18 23-15 19-24 15-9
Position#8
Record9-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game68.8
Natacao W 🏆
Portugal
vs
CDEFF W
Portugal
Position#11
Record4-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game72.8
PortugalLFB WomenRound 21· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2023-24
Meetings · Natacao W v CDEFF W
09 Mar 2024
NATA80
CDEF66
01 Nov 2022
NATA52
CDEF74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CDEFF W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Barcelos W
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 50
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
44-70
44
70
-26
31avg 50
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
50-86
50
86
-36
34avg 50
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 50
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
41-64
41
64
-23
26avg 50
H03/02
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
46-64
46
64
-18
30avg 50
H08/02
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
61-54
61
54
+7
43avg 50
A11/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
54-78
54
78
-24
39avg 50
A18/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 50
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
70-64
70
64
+6
68avg 50
H02/03
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
20-21
12-23
19-19
12-15
13-14
9-23
10-18
4-21
23-24
15-18
8-23
25-7
9-13
14-15
29-14
12-18
8-10
9-22
12-14
5-10
12-16
8-23
21-15
13-18
18-16
19-9
11-11
11-21
15-22
12-16
16-19
28-11
18-14
12-18
13-22
21-13
20-11
14-14
15-26
127.4Avg total
59.6Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)61.468.8130.2-7.445%
Season at home (10)60.467.4127.8-7.040%
Season away (10)62.370.2132.5-7.950%
Last 10 (10)59.667.8127.4-8.240%
Last 5 (5)60.465.0125.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)58.969.7128.6-10.732%
vs Similar ◀ (9)65.066.1131.1-1.156%
vs Weaker (1)61.049.0110.0+12.0100%
This opponent (CDEFF W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CDEFF WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
60-76
60
76
-16
56avg 53
A07/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
60-74
60
74
-14
52avg 53
A10/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
56avg 53
A22/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
56-67
56
67
-11
48avg 53
H05/01
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
67avg 53
H07/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
62-82
62
82
-20
50avg 53
A21/01
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
62avg 53
A04/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
51avg 53
H16/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
49-80
49
80
-31
34avg 53
H25/02
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
73-90
73
90
-17
55avg 53
A03/03
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
17-22
10-13
16-24
15-21
16-20
15-12
14-21
13-22
13-14
14-28
22-14
16-18
20-21
10-14
10-14
22-27
21-15
15-22
21-19
23-31
16-17
13-14
10-20
16-28
20-22
20-16
16-23
15-15
18-17
17-23
20-20
14-29
20-14
8-21
7-16
23-24
19-23
11-19
20-24
143.7Avg total
64.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)63.972.8136.7-8.920%
Season at home (10)64.571.1135.6-6.620%
Season away (10)63.374.4137.7-11.120%
Last 10 (10)64.379.4143.7-15.10%
Last 5 (5)65.283.2148.4-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)60.273.8134.0-13.66%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.662.4133.0+8.275%
vs Weaker (4)71.558.2129.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.9-3.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.9-3.9
Natacao WCDEFF W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelos W
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H03/02
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H08/02
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A18/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H02/03
LFB Women
63.4Avg total
31.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.463.7-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.229.759.9+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)32.234.766.9-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.663.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.230.462.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.334.163.3-4.832%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.930.666.4+5.356%-
vs Weaker (1)26.020.046.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (CDEFF W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CDEFF WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A22/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/01
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A21/01
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A04/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H16/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/02
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A03/03
LFB Women
77.1Avg total
35.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.335.670.9-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.734.970.6+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)34.936.371.3-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.777.1-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.080.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.837.371.1-3.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.534.671.1+1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)39.830.270.0+9.550%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 59.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.412.7
36.9%
43.3%25.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.3
28.7%
28.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.411.7
76.0%
72.6%11.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CDEFF Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CDEFF W: 63.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.2
45.6%
43.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.15.5
26.1%
28.2%16.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.6
73.3%
72.6%12.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
WWLWLLWLLL
CDEFF W
LLLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#11
-10.8
Net rating
-20.7
81.5
Offensive rating
86.0
92.2
Defensive rating
106.7
39.5%
Effective FG%
43.3%
44.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
21.6%
Turnover %
21.3%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.7%
3-point %
26.1%
54.0%
Assist %
48.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence81.5 · 86.0Defence92.2 · 106.7Shooting39.5% · 43.3%3-point %28.7% · 26.1%Ball care21.6% · 21.3%Off. rebounds23.1% · 22.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Natacao W   ■ CDEFF W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Natacao W wins
3
CDEFF W wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23CDEFF W v Natacao W89-75
25/02/23CDEFF W v Natacao W65-49
01/11/22Natacao W v CDEFF W52-74
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HCAB Madeira W70-64
25/02/24AGalitos W71-65
18/02/24AUniao Sportiva W54-78
11/02/24AACD Ferragudo W61-54
08/02/24HEsgueira W46-64
03/02/24HBenfica W41-64
06/01/24HImortal W77-49
29/12/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W50-86
22/12/23AGdessa Barreiro W44-70
08/12/23HBarcelos W82-84
CDEFF Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ABarcelos W73-90
25/02/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W49-80
16/02/24HImortal W70-75
04/02/24AEsgueira W72-89
21/01/24AGdessa Barreiro W62-82
07/01/24HACD Ferragudo W79-83
05/01/24HBenfica W56-67
22/12/23AUniao Sportiva W62-78
10/12/23AGalitos W60-74
07/12/23ACAB Madeira W60-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game61.460.462.3
Allowed / game68.867.470.2
Point differential-7.5-7.0-7.9
Avg total130.2127.8132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CDEFF W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game63.964.563.3
Allowed / game72.871.174.4
Point differential-8.8-6.6-11.1
Avg total136.7135.6137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W2018290%72.357.3+15.0
2 Gdessa Barreiro W2016480%65.756.2+9.4
3 Benfica W2014670%66.761.2+5.5
4 Esgueira W2013765%68.562.5+5.9
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W2012860%67.060.5+6.5
6 Imortal W2011955%65.363.5+1.9
7 Barcelos W2091145%71.573.8-2.4
8 Natacao W2091145%61.468.8-7.5
9 CAB Madeira W2071335%62.969.3-6.5
10 CDEFF W2041620%63.972.8-8.8
11 Galitos W2041620%58.067.2-9.2
12 ACD Ferragudo W2031715%60.970.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W2323191580
CDEFF W181524966
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