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Duke vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-79
32-42 41-37
Position#19
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#41
Record9-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game62.3
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Duke v Louisville
26 Jan 2026
DUKE83
LOUI52
15 Mar 2025
DUKE73
LOUI62
28 Feb 2024
DUKE84
LOUI59
20 Feb 2023
DUKE79
LOUI62
27 Feb 2021
DUKE73
LOUI80
18 Jan 2020
DUKE73
LOUI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#44
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A04/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Wofford
#153
W
86-57
86
57
+29
H20/12
NCAA
Brown
#175
W
75-50
75
50
+25
H28/12
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
88-49
88
49
+39
H31/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
95-62
95
62
+33
A05/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-35
41-35
45-29
42-46
38-41
39-22
39-26
47-31
35-29
40-21
45-19
43-30
50-36
45-26
40-29
33-35
49-23
41-36
33-40
39-39
145.4Avg total
82.6Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.864.5147.3+18.485%
Season at home (7)83.763.3147.0+20.486%
Season away (6)81.865.8147.7+16.083%
Last 10 (10)82.662.8145.4+19.890%
Last 5 (5)83.662.6146.2+21.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)84.376.7161.0+7.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.460.8143.2+21.690%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#131
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#164
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H11/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
70-46
70
46
+24
H19/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
A28/12
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
73-68 OT
73
68
+5
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-18
30-25
35-21
29-25
28-31
29-39
50-32
49-35
28-20
42-26
24-32
37-29
32-39
33-39
43-32
31-26
36-24
31-40
28-31
33-30
131.5Avg total
69.7Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.862.3133.2+8.575%
Season at home (8)71.160.5131.6+10.675%
Season away (4)70.266.0136.2+4.275%
Last 10 (10)69.761.8131.5+7.970%
Last 5 (5)69.869.2139.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)84.068.0152.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (7)65.069.7134.7-4.743%
vs Weaker (6)75.256.5131.7+18.7100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +3.0+3.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +3.0+3.0
DukeLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#44
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A04/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Wofford
#153
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Brown
#175
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H28/12
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H31/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A05/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A15/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
41.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)41.130.871.9+10.277%-
Last 30 at home (7)41.129.370.4+11.986%-
Last 30 away (6)41.032.773.7+8.367%-
Last 10 (10)41.630.772.3+10.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.429.472.8+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)44.034.778.7+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.229.769.9+10.570%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#131
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#164
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H11/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A28/12
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A15/01
NCAA
61.2Avg total
33.2Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)33.928.662.5+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.829.063.8+5.864%-
Last 30 away (4)31.227.558.8+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)33.228.061.2+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.664.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)41.026.067.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (7)31.930.662.4+1.343%-
vs Weaker (6)36.826.563.3+10.383%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Louisville wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/20AClemson72-79
12/01/20HWake Forest90-59
09/01/20AGeorgia Tech73-64
05/01/20AMiami (FL)95-62
31/12/19HBoston College88-49
28/12/19HBrown75-50
20/12/19HWofford86-57
07/12/19AVirginia Tech77-63
04/12/19AMichigan State87-75
30/11/19HWinthrop83-70
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/20APittsburgh73-68 OT
11/01/20ANotre Dame67-64
08/01/20HMiami (FL)74-58
04/01/20HFlorida State65-78
28/12/19AKentucky70-78 OT
19/12/19HMiami (Ohio)70-46
14/12/19HEastern Kentucky99-67
11/12/19HTexas Tech57-70
07/12/19HPittsburgh64-46
04/12/19HMichigan58-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%86%83%
Points / game82.883.781.8
Allowed / game64.563.365.8
Point differential+18.4+20.4+16.0
Avg total147.3147.0147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%71%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game70.871.170.2
Allowed / game62.360.566.0
Point differential+8.5+10.6+4.2
Avg total133.2131.6136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1413193%76.264.5+11.7
2 Duke1311285%82.864.5+18.4
3 Stanford1210283%70.358.2+12.1
4 Louisville129375%70.862.3+8.5
5 Pittsburgh139469%67.260.8+6.4
6 NC State139469%73.968.8+5.2
7 SMU Mustangs128467%78.270.2+7.9
8 Virginia Tech138562%68.665.0+3.6
9 Notre Dame127558%75.268.7+6.6
10 Virginia127558%54.251.6+2.7
11 Syracuse148657%75.068.2+6.8
12 Wake Forest126650%71.674.7-3.1
13 Miami (FL)126650%71.075.5-4.5
14 Clemson136746%65.964.8+1.1
15 Georgia Tech146843%66.567.9-1.4
16 Boston College125742%60.267.3-7.1
17 North Carolina134931%67.673.2-5.5
18 California134931%61.271.5-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke324173
Louisville423779
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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