PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

NC State vs Texas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:15
Final 66-68
29-30 37-38
Position#128
Record20-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game76.5
NC State
USA
vs
Texas 🏆
USA
Position#135
Record18-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC State v Texas
17 Mar 2026
NC S66
TEXA68
04 Dec 2024
NC S59
TEXA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#122
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H07/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
77-118
77
118
-41
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H14/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
46-49
36-56
41-62
42-37
34-40
42-26
40-32
19-32
42-58
44-38
37-43
30-47
34-46
34-37
50-48
51-50
47-38
32-33
42-48
164.7Avg total
78.8Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.776.5160.2+7.261%
Season at home (20)83.871.8155.6+12.065%
Season away (13)83.583.8167.3-0.254%
Last 10 (10)78.885.9164.7-7.130%
Last 5 (5)82.088.6170.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.5105.5176.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.477.5155.9+0.944%
vs Weaker (12)87.372.8160.2+14.583%
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A15/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
85-105
85
105
-20
A05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
49-44
37-25
42-43
33-31
52-37
48-33
40-52
35-45
45-46
39-36
32-48
29-30
47-40
34-56
51-49
40-36
37-41
30-41
36-35
160.9Avg total
79.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.876.8160.6+7.056%
Season at home (20)85.574.2159.7+11.265%
Season away (12)81.081.1162.1-0.142%
Last 10 (10)79.981.0160.9-1.150%
Last 5 (5)76.684.6161.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.373.0144.3-1.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.183.2165.3-1.147%
vs Weaker (12)89.971.3161.2+18.675%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -0.4-0.4
NC StateTexas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#122
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/03
NCAA
74.6Avg total
36.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.972.7+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.933.571.5+4.471%-
Last 30 away (13)37.536.774.2+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.074.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.051.584.5-18.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.433.768.1+0.744%-
vs Weaker (12)43.133.876.8+9.3100%-
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A15/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/03
NCAA
72.4Avg total
36.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.036.274.2+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.633.972.5+4.768%-
Last 30 away (11)37.140.177.2-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.472.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.874.2-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.338.777.0-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.238.774.9-2.540%-
vs Weaker (12)40.232.472.7+7.875%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
2
Texas wins
DateGameScore
27/11/25Texas v NC State102-97
05/12/24NC State v Texas59-63
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AVirginia74-81
11/03/26HPittsburgh98-88
07/03/26HStanford84-85
03/03/26HDuke64-93
28/02/26ANotre Dame90-96 OT
25/02/26AVirginia61-90
18/02/26HNorth Carolina82-58
14/02/26HMiami (FL)76-77
10/02/26ALouisville77-118
07/02/26HVirginia Tech82-73
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HOle Miss66-76
08/03/26HOklahoma85-88 OT
05/03/26AArkansas85-105
28/02/26ATexas A&M76-70
26/02/26HFlorida71-84
21/02/26AGeorgia80-91
18/02/26HLSU88-85
15/02/26AMissouri85-68
07/02/26HOle Miss79-68
04/02/26HSouth Carolina84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL61%
HomeLWLLW65%
AwayWLLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %61%65%54%
Points / game83.783.883.5
Allowed / game76.571.883.8
Point differential+7.2+12.0-0.2
Avg total160.2155.6167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%55%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %9%5%15%
Texas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeWWLLL65%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %56%65%42%
Points / game83.885.581.0
Allowed / game76.874.281.1
Point differential+7.0+11.2-0.1
Avg total160.6159.7162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3432294%82.363.1+19.1
2 Virginia3529683%79.969.5+10.4
3 Miami (FL)3325876%81.971.2+10.8
4 North Carolina3224875%79.871.3+8.5
5 Clemson34241071%74.166.7+7.4
6 Louisville33231070%84.872.2+12.6
7 California32211166%77.973.2+4.6
8 Stanford32201262%76.072.7+3.3
9 NC State33201361%83.776.5+7.2
10 SMU Mustangs33201361%84.277.6+6.6
11 Virginia Tech32191359%78.874.9+3.9
12 Florida State33181555%80.477.9+2.4
13 Wake Forest33171652%78.877.1+1.8
14 Syracuse32151747%75.074.2+0.8
15 Notre Dame31131842%74.575.3-0.9
16 Pittsburgh33132039%70.571.8-1.3
17 Boston College31112035%67.470.7-3.3
18 Georgia Tech31112035%73.877.4-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3326779%86.872.0+14.8
2 Vanderbilt3426876%86.475.2+11.1
3 Arkansas3426876%89.980.1+9.9
4 Alabama3223972%91.783.5+8.2
5 Georgia32221069%89.879.2+10.7
6 Tennessee33221167%79.569.4+10.1
7 Texas A&M32211166%87.779.6+8.2
8 Missouri32201262%79.775.3+4.3
9 Kentucky34211362%80.873.8+6.9
10 Texas32181456%83.876.8+7.0
11 Oklahoma34191556%82.777.1+5.6
12 Auburn33171652%82.779.4+3.3
13 LSU32151747%81.478.5+2.9
14 Mississippi St.32141844%78.181.3-3.2
15 Ole Miss35152043%75.976.1-0.2
16 South Carolina32131941%74.976.5-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State293766
Texas303868
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.