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Kretinga vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-79
20-17 15-21 21-18 15-23
Position#13
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#15
Record1-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game89.1
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus
07 Mar 2026
KRET101
ALYT97
09 Oct 2025
KRET106
ALYT71
20 Feb 2025
KRET105
ALYT72
31 Oct 2024
KRET71
ALYT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
56avg 69
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
71avg 69
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
86avg 69
H03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
72avg 69
A05/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
43avg 69
H10/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
98-74
98
74
+24
96avg 69
A12/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 69
A17/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
72avg 69
H19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
48-66
48
66
-18
34avg 69
A24/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
66avg 69
H26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
23-27
18-24
21-20
13-18
16-25
22-15
33-31
25-14
24-22
20-30
24-19
17-22
19-14
26-28
24-23
10-24
11-21
21-21
23-24
17-10
30-18
26-21
25-25
22-23
21-25
20-21
28-18
16-28
25-18
14-12
21-20
15-16
10-13
12-17
11-20
10-21
25-17
15-17
19-9
159.9Avg total
78.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.278.9157.1-0.650%
Season at home (4)75.879.2155.0-3.550%
Season away (4)80.878.5159.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)78.681.3159.9-2.740%
Last 5 (5)76.473.8150.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.679.2153.9-4.657%
vs Similar (16)81.980.4162.3+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
75-83
75
83
-8
63avg 63
H03/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 63
A05/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 63
H10/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
54avg 63
A12/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
76avg 63
A17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-109
77
109
-32
57avg 63
H19/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
71-101
71
101
-30
55avg 63
A24/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 63
H26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-18
22-22
12-22
21-16
17-23
18-16
17-20
14-35
19-18
18-24
23-20
17-26
13-15
17-27
21-10
25-23
13-17
24-15
20-24
23-23
20-27
14-28
20-31
22-26
24-24
10-22
15-29
21-26
10-15
24-22
18-28
163.2Avg total
74.1Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.189.1163.2-15.012%
Season at home (4)74.895.0169.8-20.20%
Season away (4)73.583.2156.8-9.825%
Last 10 (8)74.189.1163.2-15.012%
Last 5 (5)74.291.6165.8-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.189.1163.2-15.012%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
KretingaAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H10/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A17/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A24/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/10
NKL
76.1Avg total
36.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.078.9-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.043.179.1-7.123%-
Last 30 away (17)39.439.478.8+0.135%-
Last 10 (10)36.339.876.1-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.876.0+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.639.675.2-3.921%-
vs Similar (16)39.942.282.1-2.238%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H10/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A12/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H19/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A24/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H26/10
NKL
81.6Avg total
37.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)37.544.181.6-6.612%-
Last 30 at home (4)37.045.882.8-8.825%-
Last 30 away (4)38.042.580.5-4.50%-
Last 10 (8)37.544.181.6-6.612%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.482.0-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.544.181.6-6.612%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.4
49.2%
52.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.8
28.6%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.914.5
66.2%
70.5%14.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.0
44.4%
52.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.8
37.6%
32.5%26.2
🏀 Free throws15.211.1
73.0%
70.5%11.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WLLWWLLWLL
Alytaus Alytus
LLLWLLLL
#13
League position
#15
-2.6
Net rating
-19.9
99.3
Offensive rating
98.8
101.9
Defensive rating
118.7
46.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.6%
3-point %
37.6%
59.1%
Assist %
53.3%
40%
Form (last 10/8)
12%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 98.8Defence101.9 · 118.7Shooting46.7% · 48.8%3-point %28.6% · 37.6%Ball care17.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 26.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.24Form (last 10/8)40% · 12%
■ Kretinga   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kretinga wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
No previous meetings.
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HUkmerges Stekas69-64
24/10/24ABC Olimpas Palanga48-66
19/10/24HNeptunas 276-78
17/10/24AVytis VDU91-87
12/10/24APlunges Olimpas98-74
10/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 265-90
05/10/24AJurbarkas86-87
03/10/24HVilkaviskis93-85
28/04/24HJurbarkas84-89
25/04/24AJurbarkas76-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HBC Olimpas Palanga73-91
24/10/24ASuduva-Mantinga71-101
19/10/24HVytis VDU77-109
17/10/24APlunges Olimpas82-79
12/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas 268-78
10/10/24HJurbarkas74-97
05/10/24AVilkaviskis73-75
03/10/24HSilute75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.275.880.8
Allowed / game78.979.278.5
Point differential-0.6-3.5+2.2
Avg total157.1155.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 7 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game74.174.873.5
Allowed / game89.195.083.2
Point differential-15.0-20.2-9.8
Avg total163.2169.8156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas87188%84.579.0+5.5
2 Telsiai97278%87.779.3+8.3
3 Neptunas 296367%76.172.4+3.7
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 296367%81.478.3+3.1
5 BC Olimpas Palanga85362%78.568.8+9.8
6 Vytis VDU85362%94.988.2+6.6
7 Suduva-Mantinga85362%87.881.9+5.9
8 Vilkaviskis85362%86.280.4+5.9
9 Omega-Tauras95456%79.477.1+2.3
10 Kretinga84450%78.278.9-0.6
11 Ukmerges Stekas84450%81.682.6-1.0
12 Rytas 283538%81.183.9-2.8
13 Plunges Olimpas82625%74.883.8-9.0
14 Silute92722%78.684.7-6.1
15 Alytaus Alytus81712%74.189.1-15.0
16 Delikatesas Joniskis9090%72.788.7-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2015211571
Alytaus Alytus1721182379
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