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Jurbarkas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-75
18-12 27-18 20-18 23-27
Position#4
Record8-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#12
Record2-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game87.7
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall (Jurbarkas)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Neptunas 2
05 Mar 2026
JURB69
NEPT63
08 Nov 2025
JURB68
NEPT71
20 Dec 2024
JURB84
NEPT95
25 Nov 2023
JURB88
NEPT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 77
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
94-80
94
80
+14
91avg 77
A21/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
90-78
90
78
+12
92avg 77
A25/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 77
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 77
H02/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 77
A04/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
100avg 77
H09/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
57-73
57
73
-16
45avg 77
A11/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 77
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
87-92
87
92
-5
78avg 77
A18/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-25
15-24
25-5
21-21
24-15
27-25
22-19
23-22
22-20
24-26
21-10
17-26
20-15
20-25
23-16
18-16
17-23
24-21
18-19
17-26
27-24
20-23
22-16
22-19
26-23
29-20
17-18
7-12
21-17
10-22
19-22
24-14
22-18
20-19
16-27
17-31
27-27
25-16
18-18
163.0Avg total
82.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.679.4160.9+2.257%
Season at home (7)80.477.9158.3+2.657%
Season away (7)82.780.9163.6+1.957%
Last 10 (10)82.680.4163.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)81.282.4163.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.777.7153.3-2.033%
vs Similar (7)82.778.1160.9+4.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.082.8166.8+1.250%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
54avg 71
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 71
H26/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
98-107
98
107
-9
100avg 71
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
85-101
85
101
-16
89avg 71
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
62avg 71
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
49avg 71
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
84avg 71
A11/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 71
H16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
68-90
68
90
-22
61avg 71
A18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
69avg 71
H23/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
16-27
21-25
18-10
22-29
19-18
14-19
27-25
15-36
27-23
26-19
30-29
15-24
29-21
21-30
20-26
13-26
18-22
16-18
21-23
15-23
16-21
12-27
16-21
23-19
21-23
19-18
20-17
26-24
20-17
6-18
22-24
20-16
11-20
21-25
16-29
14-25
22-21
24-20
15-15
166.0Avg total
76.4Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.787.7164.4-10.913%
Season at home (8)77.086.8163.8-9.812%
Season away (7)76.488.7165.1-12.314%
Last 10 (10)76.489.6166.0-13.210%
Last 5 (5)71.884.6156.4-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)73.986.2160.1-12.317%
vs Similar (7)79.187.1166.3-8.014%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
JurbarkasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H09/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A18/11
NKL
82.4Avg total
41.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)40.640.981.6-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.638.977.4-0.343%-
Last 30 away (7)42.743.085.7-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.382.4-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.284.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.737.374.0-0.733%-
vs Similar (7)40.441.381.7-0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.043.087.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H26/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H23/11
NKL
83.7Avg total
37.9Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.680.6-6.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.141.778.8-4.727%-
Last 30 away (15)36.845.582.3-8.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.945.883.7-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.879.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.744.380.0-8.517%-
vs Similar (7)40.941.682.4-0.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.2
52.6%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.4
32.8%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
70.3%13.4
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.3
50.6%
51.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.96.2
34.6%
33.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.814.4
69.2%
70.3%14.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LWLWLLLWWW
Neptunas 2
LLLWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#12
+3.1
Net rating
-17.4
106.4
Offensive rating
101.4
103.3
Defensive rating
118.9
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
22.0%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.8%
3-point %
34.6%
72.6%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 101.4Defence103.3 · 118.9Shooting51.1% · 51.0%3-point %32.8% · 34.6%Ball care18.8% · 22.0%Off. rebounds31.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jurbarkas wins
0
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas82-90
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ARytas 287-92
16/11/23HRytas 282-78
11/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga57-73
09/11/23HKretinga94-80
04/11/23AVilkaviskis86-89
02/11/23HSilute77-79
28/10/23HTelsiai80-82
25/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga90-78
21/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis94-80
19/10/23HVytis VDU79-73
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga75-81
18/11/23AKretinga68-90
16/11/23HKretinga74-83
11/11/23AKauno Atletas83-77
09/11/23HTelsiai59-92
04/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga68-89
02/11/23HRytas 285-101
28/10/23AVytis VDU98-107
26/10/23HDelikatesas Joniskis82-91
21/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 272-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayWWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game81.680.482.7
Allowed / game79.477.980.9
Point differential+2.2+2.6+1.9
Avg total160.9158.3163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL13%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %13%12%14%
Points / game76.777.076.4
Allowed / game87.786.888.7
Point differential-10.9-9.8-12.3
Avg total164.4163.8165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1311285%84.373.5+10.8
2 Telsiai1512380%83.673.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1612475%81.471.5+9.9
4 Vilkaviskis149564%83.579.6+3.9
5 Vytis VDU138562%87.784.0+3.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2159660%78.474.1+4.3
7 Jurbarkas148657%81.679.4+2.2
8 Delikatesas Joniskis147750%77.983.8-5.9
9 Ukmerges Stekas146843%73.979.1-5.1
10 Rytas 21551033%82.387.2-4.9
11 Silute1651131%79.884.0-4.2
12 Kretinga1651131%77.582.4-4.9
13 Kauno Atletas1431121%74.982.9-8.1
14 Neptunas 21521313%76.787.7-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas1827202388
Neptunas 21218182775
← all games of the day
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