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Kretinga vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-79
26-19 26-25 15-21 17-14
Position#8
Record12-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#12
Record7-24
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game83.6
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Neptunas 2
01 Oct 2026
KRET76
NEPT91
31 Jan 2026
KRET77
NEPT88
01 Mar 2025
KRET79
NEPT90
19 Oct 2024
KRET76
NEPT78
08 Feb 2024
KRET84
NEPT79
18 Nov 2023
KRET90
NEPT68
02 Feb 2023
KRET85
NEPT77
13 Oct 2022
KRET92
NEPT59
10 Feb 2022
KRET75
NEPT78
04 Nov 2021
KRET71
NEPT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 70
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
67-95
67
95
-28
64avg 70
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 70
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 70
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 70
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 70
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 70
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 70
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-110
78
110
-32
56avg 70
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
100avg 70
H03/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
27-14
9-27
16-18
20-19
23-21
15-30
9-25
22-22
23-22
26-16
14-18
28-19
22-18
19-17
20-28
24-23
17-22
15-27
16-29
5-9
24-22
17-19
19-31
24-16
23-28
19-19
18-20
22-20
26-20
12-16
19-10
21-30
18-21
18-30
21-29
20-23
25-23
35-21
27-25
167.0Avg total
80.1Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.183.0161.1-4.939%
Season at home (16)79.283.3162.6-4.138%
Season away (15)76.982.7159.6-5.740%
Last 10 (10)80.186.9167.0-6.850%
Last 5 (5)82.686.4169.0-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.986.9160.8-13.011%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.081.5161.4-1.552%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 69
H16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
92-95
92
95
-3
74avg 69
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
58-75
58
75
-17
46avg 69
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 69
A04/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
66avg 69
H06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
71avg 69
A18/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
70avg 69
H20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
62avg 69
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 69
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
79avg 69
A01/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
19-19
16-22
22-23
18-28
29-24
18-19
27-24
19-28
7-21
12-15
20-11
17-24
28-20
13-26
14-16
17-15
22-11
21-25
9-17
19-25
18-18
24-16
21-18
27-25
16-9
20-19
15-16
25-21
6-22
23-24
20-22
24-25
28-17
9-15
25-18
24-13
22-22
15-22
14-22
157.2Avg total
76.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.183.6159.8-7.523%
Season at home (15)74.881.5156.3-6.727%
Season away (16)77.485.7163.1-8.319%
Last 10 (10)76.980.3157.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)79.077.8156.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.184.3156.4-12.17%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.282.7161.9-3.438%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
KretingaNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/02
NKL
85.1Avg total
43.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.881.0-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.980.2+0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)40.141.982.0-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.485.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.484.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.942.481.3-3.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.840.180.9+0.748%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A18/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A01/02
NKL
82.4Avg total
41.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.841.779.5-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.477.5-1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)37.543.881.2-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.382.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.481.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.543.478.9-7.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.840.280.0-0.544%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.9
49.3%
51.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.8
36.1%
33.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
70.3%14.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.5
49.2%
51.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
70.3%12.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WLWWLLWWLL
Neptunas 2
LWLWWWLLLL
#8
League position
#12
-8.6
Net rating
-3.8
103.8
Offensive rating
103.3
112.4
Defensive rating
107.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.1%
3-point %
33.0%
57.8%
Assist %
61.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 103.3Defence112.4 · 107.1Shooting50.9% · 49.3%3-point %36.1% · 33.0%Ball care18.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Kretinga   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kretinga wins
3
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Kretinga v Neptunas 290-68
16/11/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga74-83
09/03/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga92-77
02/02/23Kretinga v Neptunas 285-77
01/12/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga67-81
13/10/22Kretinga v Neptunas 292-59
03/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga83-71
10/02/22Kretinga v Neptunas 275-78
06/01/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga65-83
04/11/21Kretinga v Neptunas 271-68
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HUkmerges Stekas107-92
01/02/24ADelikatesas Joniskis78-110
27/01/24ARytas 279-66
25/01/24HSilute84-83
20/01/24HKauno Atletas65-81
06/01/24ASuduva-Mantinga72-101
04/01/24HJurbarkas89-82
23/12/23AKauno Atletas85-78
21/12/23HTelsiai67-95
16/12/23HUkmerges Stekas75-81
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24AUkmerges Stekas75-79
27/01/24ASilute86-75
25/01/24HDelikatesas Joniskis74-89
20/01/24HRytas 278-69
18/01/24AKauno Atletas82-77
06/01/24HKauno Atletas69-68
04/01/24ATelsiai72-86
23/12/23HBC Olimpas Palanga58-75
21/12/23ARytas 292-95
16/12/23HVytis VDU83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW39%
HomeLWLWW38%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %39%38%40%
Points / game78.179.276.9
Allowed / game83.083.382.7
Point differential-4.9-4.1-5.7
Avg total161.1162.6159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL23%
HomeLLWWL27%
AwayLLWWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %23%27%19%
Points / game76.174.877.4
Allowed / game83.681.585.7
Point differential-7.5-6.7-8.3
Avg total159.8156.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3126584%82.171.8+10.3
2 Suduva-Mantinga3226681%85.773.2+12.5
3 Telsiai3124777%82.772.3+10.5
4 Jurbarkas31171455%80.680.0+0.6
5 Ukmerges Stekas31161552%76.577.3-0.8
6 Vilkaviskis31161552%80.682.9-2.3
7 Delikatesas Joniskis31161552%79.883.7-3.9
8 Vytis VDU31151648%85.185.3-0.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 231141745%74.272.7+1.5
10 Kauno Atletas31131842%77.379.3-2.0
11 Kretinga31121939%78.183.0-4.9
12 Rytas 23192229%81.389.1-7.7
13 Neptunas 23172423%76.183.6-7.5
14 Silute3272522%77.483.5-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2626151784
Neptunas 21925211479
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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