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Neptunas 2 vs Kauno Atletas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record10-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game74.1
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Kauno Atletas
Lithuania
Position#17
Record2-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game94.4
LithuaniaNKLRound 20· Klaip
Other2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas
05 Dec 2026
NEPT v KAUN
upcoming
15 Feb 2024
NEPT89
KAUN76
06 Jan 2024
NEPT69
KAUN68
08 Oct 2022
NEPT81
KAUN86
19 Mar 2022
NEPT75
KAUN89
09 Oct 2021
NEPT82
KAUN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kauno Atletas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 72
H15/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 72
A17/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 72
H22/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
74-62
74
62
+12
69avg 72
A24/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
59-57
59
57
+2
42avg 72
H29/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
A03/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
H05/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A07/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
A12/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
82-67
82
67
+15
no box
H14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
21-23
22-20
19-24
27-24
25-24
23-16
15-13
22-17
31-17
14-23
11-20
23-18
15-16
18-16
18-12
13-17
19-19
10-11
17-10
20-9
23-21
21-16
23-18
20-23
13-24
20-18
22-29
19-17
20-22
13-23
31-12
19-12
18-11
18-24
22-24
17-20
20-12
17-12
28-23
150.5Avg total
77.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.474.1152.5+4.271%
Season at home (7)73.075.1148.1-2.157%
Season away (7)83.773.1156.9+10.686%
Last 10 (10)77.772.8150.5+4.980%
Last 5 (5)80.874.0154.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.475.6149.0-2.144%
vs Similar (11)80.077.2157.2+2.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.969.4151.3+12.590%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
L
72-84
72
84
-12
56avg 66
H17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 66
A22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
63-113
63
113
-50
48avg 66
A27/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
66avg 66
A29/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
88-97
88
97
-9
85avg 66
H31/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A05/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H07/11
NKL
Silute
#7
W
102-92
102
92
+10
no box
H10/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
75-96
75
96
-21
no box
H12/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
81-115
81
115
-34
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
23-24
10-17
23-20
21-34
16-25
22-14
26-24
9-32
26-33
12-28
16-20
16-29
13-17
17-21
30-33
24-26
15-20
24-32
25-19
25-15
22-17
16-20
17-14
17-19
22-20
23-13
12-31
23-22
22-19
36-27
21-24
23-27
19-26
20-20
13-23
23-20
16-33
23-30
19-32
173.9Avg total
79.6Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.194.4173.6-15.314%
Season at home (7)80.791.1171.9-10.414%
Season away (7)77.697.7175.3-20.114%
Last 10 (10)79.694.3173.9-14.720%
Last 5 (5)82.490.4172.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.194.4173.6-15.314%
vs Similar (14)77.178.9156.0-1.736%
vs Weaker (2)87.587.5175.0+0.050%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
Neptunas 2Kauno Atletas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H15/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H22/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A03/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H05/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A12/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/11
NKL
75.9Avg total
39.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.478.3+3.673%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.238.478.6+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)41.536.678.1+4.988%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.475.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.437.173.6-0.756%-
vs Similar (11)43.539.482.9+4.273%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.135.477.5+6.790%-
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
37-59
37
59
-22
A22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A27/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A29/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H31/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A05/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H07/11
NKL
Silute
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H12/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A14/11
NKL
87.2Avg total
39.1Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.081.6-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.642.080.6-3.433%-
Last 30 away (15)38.544.182.6-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.148.187.2-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.686.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.946.985.8-8.114%-
vs Similar (14)37.738.476.1-0.657%-
vs Weaker (2)42.548.591.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.4
52.6%
54.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.3
28.3%
31.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
67.1%14.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.2
51.6%
54.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.1
25.5%
31.3%15.3
🏀 Free throws21.113.6
64.5%
67.1%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WWWLWWWWWL
Kauno Atletas
LLWLWLLLLL
#6
League position
#17
+1.8
Net rating
-20.4
89.8
Offensive rating
83.0
88.0
Defensive rating
103.4
48.0%
Effective FG%
47.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
12.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.3%
3-point %
25.5%
60.7%
Assist %
59.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 83.0Defence88.0 · 103.4Shooting48.0% · 47.5%3-point %28.3% · 25.5%Ball care12.9% · 18.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Kauno Atletas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas 2 wins
5
Kauno Atletas wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 274-83
15/02/24Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas89-76
18/01/24Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 277-82
06/01/24Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas69-68
11/11/23Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 277-83
24/11/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 288-54
08/10/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas81-86 OT
22/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 278-70
19/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas75-89
17/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 270-61
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJurbarkas82-67
12/11/26AKedainiai BC77-71
07/11/26AKauno Atletas83-74
05/11/26HSuduva-Mantinga75-94
03/11/26AUkmerges Stekas87-64
29/10/26HPlunges Olimpas59-57
24/10/26ARytas 274-62
22/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga78-77
17/10/26AMazeikiai90-77
15/10/26HTelsiai72-85
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABC Olimpas Palanga81-115
12/11/26HOmega-Tauras75-96
10/11/26HSilute102-92
07/11/26HNeptunas 274-83
05/11/26AKedainiai BC80-66
31/10/26HMazeikiai88-97
29/10/26ATelsiai76-100
27/10/26ASuduva-Mantinga63-113
22/10/26AVytis VDU85-97
17/10/26HKretinga72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%57%86%
Points / game78.473.083.7
Allowed / game74.175.173.1
Point differential+4.2-2.1+10.6
Avg total152.5148.1156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%14%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kauno Atletas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL14%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game79.180.777.6
Allowed / game94.491.197.7
Point differential-15.3-10.4-20.1
Avg total173.6171.9175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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