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Neptunas 2 vs Kedainiu SC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 69-92
11-17 22-19 18-30 18-26
Position#4
Record6-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#6
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game86.1
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kedainiu SC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
W
98-71
98
71
+27
94avg 71
H04/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
70avg 71
H09/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
91-70
91
70
+21
85avg 71
A11/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 71
A18/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
61-92
61
92
-31
48avg 71
A23/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
62-81
62
81
-19
46avg 71
H27/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 71
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
73-60
73
60
+13
67avg 71
H06/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
51avg 71
A08/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 71
A13/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
17-13
29-17
34-22
17-19
25-18
22-21
17-24
21-19
19-22
28-7
23-22
22-24
16-30
13-8
24-25
17-25
11-16
13-28
20-23
12-14
16-23
16-21
18-23
24-21
18-14
22-12
12-19
17-20
13-18
29-9
14-13
14-17
9-8
12-14
23-19
21-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
154.6Avg total
78.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.577.7156.2+0.755%
Season at home (5)78.072.0150.0+6.060%
Season away (6)78.882.5161.3-3.750%
Last 10 (10)78.276.4154.6+1.860%
Last 5 (5)75.272.4147.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.591.0167.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.681.9161.4-2.339%
vs Weaker (10)85.579.9165.4+5.660%
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiu SCLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSC
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
88avg 92
H02/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
90-72
90
72
+18
83avg 92
A04/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
89avg 92
A09/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
99-88
99
88
+11
99avg 92
H11/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
105-94
105
94
+11
103avg 92
H16/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
96avg 92
A19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
104-79
104
79
+25
102avg 92
A25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
99-81
99
81
+18
95avg 92
H28/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
97avg 92
A30/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
75-67
75
67
+8
69avg 92
H06/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
25-13
34-30
21-30
15-18
26-16
28-20
21-18
22-17
24-30
28-26
18-19
25-23
29-24
17-27
28-14
23-22
30-17
28-19
24-36
23-22
24-25
28-26
18-17
24-20
29-22
27-22
24-15
18-22
32-28
24-18
25-13
25-21
26-28
24-20
20-22
20-23
17-11
22-12
16-21
181.3Avg total
95.2Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.286.1181.3+9.190%
Season at home (5)94.484.6179.0+9.8100%
Season away (5)96.087.6183.6+8.480%
Last 10 (10)95.286.1181.3+9.190%
Last 5 (5)93.281.6174.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.091.0186.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (5)95.084.8179.8+10.2100%
vs Weaker (4)95.586.5182.0+9.075%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Neptunas 2Kedainiu SC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H09/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A18/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A23/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H27/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A08/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/11
NKL
73.0Avg total
34.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.580.6-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.579.7+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)38.143.481.5-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)34.638.473.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.868.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.544.574.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.640.980.6-1.339%-
vs Weaker (10)40.141.881.9-1.730%-
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiu SCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H02/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A04/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A09/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H11/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H16/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H28/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A30/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/11
NKL
89.3Avg total
47.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)47.142.289.3+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (5)46.640.687.2+6.080%-
Last 30 away (5)47.643.891.4+3.860%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.289.3+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.644.492.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.049.0100.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.242.288.4+4.060%-
vs Weaker (4)47.240.587.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.9
52.2%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.7
28.7%
32.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.614.9
69.0%
69.3%14.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kedainiu SCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kedainiu SC: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.725.1
57.4%
54.5%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.6
35.7%
32.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.115.4
69.7%
69.3%15.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WWWWLLLWLW
Kedainiu SC
WWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#6
+3.0
Net rating
+11.5
104.5
Offensive rating
117.8
101.5
Defensive rating
106.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
55.9%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.7%
3-point %
35.7%
52.2%
Assist %
69.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 117.8Defence101.5 · 106.3Shooting48.5% · 55.9%3-point %28.7% · 35.7%Ball care16.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 34.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Kedainiu SC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas 2 wins
0
Kedainiu SC wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25AAlytaus Alytus94-87
08/11/25AJurbarkas71-68 OT
06/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga73-60
30/10/25HRytas 276-66
27/10/25HTelsiai62-81
23/10/25AMazeikiai61-92
18/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas 275-87
11/10/25AUkmerges Stekas91-70
09/10/25HVilkaviskis81-82
04/10/25HKretinga98-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25HAlytaus Alytus75-67
30/10/25ASuduva-Mantinga95-91
28/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas 299-81
25/10/25ABC Olimpas Palanga104-79
19/10/25ARytas 293-90
16/10/25HUkmerges Stekas105-94
11/10/25HKretinga99-88
09/10/25AOmega-Tauras98-106 OT
04/10/25ASilute90-72
02/10/25HJurbarkas94-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game78.578.078.8
Allowed / game77.772.082.5
Point differential+0.7+6.0-3.7
Avg total156.2150.0161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Kedainiu SC
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game95.294.496.0
Allowed / game86.184.687.6
Point differential+9.1+9.8+8.4
Avg total181.3179.0183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC109190%95.286.1+9.1
2 Telsiai118373%85.781.7+4.0
3 Suduva-Mantinga107370%84.978.5+6.4
4 Vytis VDU107370%82.878.4+4.4
5 Omega-Tauras117464%92.086.6+5.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2106460%85.982.9+3.0
7 Mazeikiai116555%83.281.5+1.7
8 Neptunas 2116555%78.577.7+0.7
9 Jurbarkas116555%75.276.5-1.4
10 Vilkaviskis126650%85.382.1+3.2
11 Rytas 2125742%80.880.4+0.4
12 Silute125742%85.587.0-1.5
13 Kretinga114736%83.085.0-2.0
14 BC Olimpas Palanga124833%78.386.2-7.9
15 Ukmerges Stekas113827%80.991.5-10.6
16 Plunges Olimpas123925%81.286.8-5.7
17 Alytaus Alytus112918%76.382.5-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 21122181869
Kedainiu SC1719302692
← all games of the day
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