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Neptunas vs Alytaus Dzukija Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 70-68
20-23 13-13 16-16 21-16
Position#2
Record22-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#8
Record10-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Neptunas v Alytaus Dzukija
19 Jan 2022
NEP70
ADZ85
09 Feb 2021
NEP81
ADZ64
18 Sep 2020
NEP84
ADZ81
26 Feb 2020
NEP78
ADZ73
25 Sep 2019
NEP74
ADZ67
18 Apr 2019
NEP70
ADZ68
08 Dec 2018
NEP89
ADZ67
03 May 2018
NEP90
ADZ86
13 Feb 2018
NEP77
ADZ85
22 Oct 2017
NEP98
ADZ58
23 Apr 2017
NEP69
ADZ60
26 Nov 2016
NEP64
ADZ58
20 Apr 2016
NEP85
ADZ65
20 Dec 2015
NEP76
ADZ71
06 May 2015
NEP71
ADZ47
29 Apr 2015
NEP88
ADZ59
10 Apr 2015
NEP62
ADZ70
24 Sep 2014
NEP82
ADZ72
26 Sep 2013
NEP96
ADZ69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Dzukija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H03/03
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H06/03
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
88-82 OT
88
82
+6
A09/03
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A13/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H17/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A25/03
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A30/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A06/04
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H10/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
26-19
22-15
26-25
23-15
25-22
16-19
17-15
14-23
27-20
13-18
20-25
15-19
24-15
17-21
19-20
16-20
13-16
21-27
14-21
22-22
21-19
16-19
13-14
20-20
25-14
21-18
12-18
14-15
15-12
11-11
12-32
18-24
30-23
16-19
21-9
27-15
20-21
16-17
26-21
154.6Avg total
77.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.078.2163.2+6.876%
Season at home (14)84.878.6163.4+6.164%
Season away (15)85.177.8162.9+7.387%
Last 10 (10)77.277.4154.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)75.272.6147.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.083.8164.8-2.860%
vs Similar (12)79.479.2158.6+0.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.580.5165.9+5.077%
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
H10/02
LKL
Skycop
#7
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
A02/03
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
82-88 OT
82
88
-6
H09/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H26/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
110-97
110
97
+13
A31/03
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A06/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
H11/04
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H14/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-27
18-17
14-21
15-18
24-11
14-27
23-20
19-15
15-24
21-17
20-19
22-10
28-24
18-21
10-23
20-13
16-27
13-18
29-27
16-19
23-24
22-22
16-19
27-26
27-22
33-23
23-26
17-22
23-24
13-24
16-22
19-21
24-15
17-16
14-22
18-19
23-12
29-26
18-21
169.4Avg total
82.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.483.1163.5-2.733%
Season at home (15)81.281.5162.7-0.340%
Season away (15)79.584.7164.3-5.227%
Last 10 (10)82.986.5169.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)85.687.6173.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.485.6161.9-9.27%
vs Similar (10)82.482.8165.2-0.440%
vs Weaker (6)86.377.8164.2+8.583%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
NeptunasAlytaus Dzukija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H03/03
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H06/03
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A09/03
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A13/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H17/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A25/03
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A30/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A06/04
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/04
LKL
79.3Avg total
41.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.981.0+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.981.7+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)40.339.980.2+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.379.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.079.4+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.640.679.2-2.020%-
vs Similar (12)41.238.880.1+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.940.682.5+1.362%-
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H10/02
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/03
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H09/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A31/03
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A06/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H11/04
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H14/04
LKL
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.180.4+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.979.9+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.380.8+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.884.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.443.382.7-3.929%-
vs Similar (10)41.735.777.4+6.080%-
vs Weaker (6)44.835.079.8+9.883%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
55.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
35.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Neptunas wins
1
Alytaus Dzukija wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/19HRytas89-74
06/04/19APieno Zvaigzdes85-75
30/03/19ARytas52-70
25/03/19ANevezis78-70
17/03/19HLietkabelis72-74
13/03/19AHapoel M. Jerusalem64-84
09/03/19AAlytaus Dzukija88-82 OT
06/03/19HHapoel M. Jerusalem74-86
03/03/19HZalgiris Kaunas81-71
09/02/19AJuventus89-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19HSkycop88-78
11/04/19HLietkabelis84-87 OT
06/04/19ARytas69-92
31/03/19ASiauliai110-97
26/03/19HRytas77-84
23/03/19ALietkabelis78-85
16/03/19AJuventus84-81 OT
09/03/19HNeptunas82-88 OT
02/03/19ASkycop82-83 OT
10/02/19HZalgiris Kaunas75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayWWWLW87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %76%64%87%
Points / game85.084.885.1
Allowed / game78.278.677.8
Point differential+6.8+6.1+7.3
Avg total163.2163.4162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%40%27%
Points / game80.481.279.5
Allowed / game83.181.584.7
Point differential-2.7-0.3-5.2
Avg total163.5162.7164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %23%20%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2926390%87.770.2+17.4
2 Neptunas2922776%85.078.2+6.8
3 Rytas3123874%83.576.3+7.2
4 Lietkabelis31201165%83.279.2+4.0
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes31161552%83.787.8-4.1
6 Juventus31131842%82.281.8+0.4
7 Skycop30111937%77.884.8-7.0
8 Alytaus Dzukija30102033%80.483.1-2.7
9 Siauliai3162519%82.391.1-8.8
10 Nevezis3152616%73.985.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2013162170
Alytaus Dzukija2313161668
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