Nevezis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 70-78

20-20 14-25 18-21 18-12

Position#9

Record4-21

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game85.0

Nevezis

Neptunas 🏆

Position#2

Record19-6

FormWLWLL

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game79.2

LKL

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Nevezis v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

#10

81-78

A02/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

67-92

-25

A05/01

LKL

Juventus

97-93

H13/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

79-82

-3

A20/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

73-86

-13

A03/02

LKL

Rytas

74-75

-1

H08/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

80-97

-17

H28/02

LKL

Siauliai

#10

76-85

-9

H03/03

LKL

Juventus

86-90

-4

A10/03

LKL

Skycop

78-81

-3

A17/03

LKL

23-21

20-23

22-19

16-15

17-26

12-17

25-33

13-16

27-21

26-22

21-30

23-20

18-24

18-14

25-26

18-18

15-25

15-26

22-22

21-13

16-19

16-14

20-25

22-17

25-20

21-19

16-26

18-32

24-26

18-18

16-23

21-22

18-21

21-22

26-25

16-13

15-16

17-24

30-28

165.0Avg total

79.1Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	73.8	85.0	158.8	-11.2	16%
Season at home (12)	74.6	82.0	156.6	-7.4	25%
Season away (13)	73.1	87.8	160.9	-14.8	8%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	85.9	165.0	-6.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	85.6	164.4	-6.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	73.1	87.2	160.3	-14.1	7%
vs Similar (3)	78.3	78.0	156.3	+0.3	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

#10

106-103 OT

106

103

A26/01

LKL

Promitheas

#17

82-69

+13

A30/01

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

89-103

103

-14

H02/02

LKL

Bayreuth

#35

83-73

+10

H06/02

Champions League

Juventus

89-88

A09/02

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

81-71

+10

H03/03

LKL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

74-86

-12

H06/03

Champions League

Alytaus Dzukija

88-82 OT

A09/03

LKL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

64-84

-20

A13/03

Champions League

Lietkabelis

72-74

-2

H17/03

LKL

28-20

21-29

24-25

20-19

26-15

22-24

12-11

22-19

21-26

19-27

20-30

29-20

19-12

24-21

19-20

21-20

15-29

26-19

22-15

26-25

23-15

25-22

16-19

17-15

14-23

27-20

13-18

20-25

15-19

24-15

17-21

19-20

16-20

13-16

21-27

14-21

22-22

21-19

16-19

13-14

166.1Avg total

82.8Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	86.4	79.2	165.6	+7.2	76%
Season at home (13)	84.5	79.0	163.5	+5.5	62%
Season away (12)	88.5	79.3	167.8	+9.2	92%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	83.3	166.1	-0.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	79.4	155.2	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	81.0	83.8	164.8	-2.8	60%
vs Similar (12)	81.8	79.6	161.4	+2.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	86.8	81.4	168.2	+5.4	77%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NevezisNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	23.7	40.8	-6.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.1	23.9	40.0	-7.8	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.9	23.5	40.4	-6.6	26%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	25.0	44.3	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.9	21.4	37.4	-5.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.5	20.6	38.1	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	20.6	42.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.2	69%	-

NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

#10

43-44

-1

A02/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

29-43

-14

A05/01

LKL

Juventus

53-43

+10

H13/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

36-38

-2

A20/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

30-51

-21

A03/02

LKL

Rytas

32-33

-1

H08/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

46-39

H28/02

LKL

Siauliai

#10

42-44

-2

H03/03

LKL

Juventus

39-43

-4

A10/03

LKL

Skycop

31-29

A17/03

LKL

78.8Avg total

38.1Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	44.1	79.2	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.6	43.2	79.8	-6.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.9	44.9	78.8	-10.9	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	40.7	78.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	37.6	75.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	34.4	44.1	78.6	-9.7	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.0	44.3	85.3	-3.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

#10

49-49

A26/01

LKL

Promitheas

#17

48-39

A30/01

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

40-53

-13

H02/02

LKL

Bayreuth

#35

43-33

+10

H06/02

Champions League

Juventus

41-48

-7

A09/02

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

48-37

+11

H03/03

LKL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

41-43

-2

H06/03

Champions League

Alytaus Dzukija

39-34

A09/03

LKL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

29-36

-7

A13/03

Champions League

Lietkabelis

43-41

H17/03

LKL

83.4Avg total

42.1Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.1	82.2	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	40.4	82.5	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	39.9	81.9	+2.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	41.3	83.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.2	78.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.6	40.6	79.2	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.7	39.8	82.5	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.9	40.2	83.2	+2.7	62%	-

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.7	39.5	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	21.4	40.5	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	24.5	45.2	-3.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.0	41.4	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.2	19.8	40.9	+1.4	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	25.0	47.4	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.0	44%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	17.0	34.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.4	40.1	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.0	35.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	60%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.5	20.8	41.2	-0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	41.1	78.7	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.0	39.9	77.9	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.2	42.1	79.3	-4.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	45.2	86.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	48.0	88.8	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	37.6	42.0	79.6	-4.4	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	37.3	33.7	71.0	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.9	80.1	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	39.2	78.8	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	40.6	81.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	40.3	78.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	39.8	73.0	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	40.2	78.6	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.2	39.8	78.9	-0.6	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.8	39.8	81.7	+2.0	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nevezis wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
10/11/18	Nevezis v Neptunas	69-83
23/09/18	Neptunas v Nevezis	100-76
25/04/18	Nevezis v Neptunas	74-67
04/03/18	Neptunas v Nevezis	81-64
16/12/17	Nevezis v Neptunas	74-85
24/09/17	Neptunas v Nevezis	92-73
12/04/17	Neptunas v Nevezis	90-53
12/03/17	Nevezis v Neptunas	70-72
12/11/16	Neptunas v Nevezis	70-63
01/10/16	Nevezis v Neptunas	94-90 OT

Nevezislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/19	A	Skycop	78-81
10/03/19	A	Juventus	86-90
03/03/19	H	Siauliai	76-85
28/02/19	H	Lietkabelis	80-97
08/02/19	H	Rytas	74-75
03/02/19	A	Alytaus Dzukija	73-86
20/01/19	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	79-82
13/01/19	H	Juventus	97-93
05/01/19	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	67-92
02/01/19	A	Siauliai	81-78

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/19	H	Lietkabelis	72-74
13/03/19	A	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	64-84
09/03/19	A	Alytaus Dzukija	88-82 OT
06/03/19	H	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	74-86
03/03/19	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	81-71
09/02/19	A	Juventus	89-88
06/02/19	H	Bayreuth	83-73
02/02/19	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	89-103
30/01/19	A	Promitheas	82-69
26/01/19	A	Siauliai	106-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	16%
Home	LWLLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	16%	25%	8%
Points / game	73.8	74.6	73.1
Allowed / game	85.0	82.0	87.8
Point differential	-11.2	-7.4	-14.8
Avg total	158.8	156.6	160.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	67% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Neptunas

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	76%
Home	LWLWL	62%
Away	WLWWW	92%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	76%	62%	92%
Points / game	86.4	84.5	88.5
Allowed / game	79.2	79.0	79.3
Point differential	+7.2	+5.5	+9.2
Avg total	165.6	163.5	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	46%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	50% (4)	100% (3)
Overtime %	12%	8%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	26	23	3	88%	86.4	70.0	+16.4
2	Rytas	25	19	6	76%	84.3	76.8	+7.5
3	Neptunas	25	19	6	76%	86.4	79.2	+7.2
4	Lietkabelis	26	16	10	62%	82.0	79.5	+2.5
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	26	15	11	58%	84.2	86.5	-2.3
6	Juventus	26	10	16	38%	80.9	81.9	-1.0
7	Skycop	26	9	17	35%	77.2	85.0	-7.8
8	Alytaus Dzukija	25	8	17	32%	79.3	82.2	-2.9
9	Siauliai	26	5	21	19%	80.8	89.0	-8.2
10	Nevezis	25	4	21	16%	73.8	85.0	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nevezis	20	14	18	18	70
Neptunas	20	25	21	12	78

← all games of the day

Nevezis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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