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Neptunas vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-73
19-12 24-21 19-20 21-20
Position#24
Record7-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#35
Record6-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H06/01
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H09/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H12/01
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A15/01
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H19/01
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H23/01
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
106-103 OT
106
103
+3
A26/01
LKL
Promitheas
#17
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A30/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H02/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
13-20
26-25
26-26
16-12
18-28
21-22
23-16
12-21
27-18
20-21
18-19
18-15
21-17
17-17
21-31
16-27
28-17
25-20
21-16
16-13
18-16
30-19
21-20
29-20
22-22
18-20
13-12
28-20
21-29
24-25
20-19
26-15
22-24
12-11
22-19
21-26
19-27
20-30
29-20
170.3Avg total
86.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.381.3164.6+2.054%
Season at home (6)83.277.8161.0+5.367%
Season away (7)83.484.3167.7-0.943%
Last 10 (10)86.683.7170.3+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.883.4172.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.880.2165.0+4.575%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.880.2163.0+2.750%
vs Weaker (14)87.379.5166.8+7.879%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
102-85
102
85
+17
H29/12
BBL
Bamberg
#5
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A03/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
A06/01
BBL
Promitheas
#17
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A09/01
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#10
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A13/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H16/01
Champions League
Oostende
#27
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A22/01
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H27/01
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H30/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A02/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
22-21
27-27
27-19
20-22
23-21
27-17
24-24
18-29
22-18
18-19
26-18
23-28
19-16
21-27
20-24
22-29
20-17
19-29
21-25
18-22
18-26
26-21
21-24
14-18
18-20
20-18
10-26
23-30
18-20
22-18
27-25
24-18
18-25
18-12
22-16
19-18
20-20
11-22
18-26
173.1Avg total
84.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.077.0155.0+1.040%
Season at home (8)82.077.9159.9+4.150%
Season away (7)73.476.0149.4-2.629%
Last 10 (10)84.189.0173.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)77.085.0162.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.088.7169.7-7.714%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.482.2163.6-0.844%
vs Weaker (4)93.277.0170.2+16.2100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
NeptunasBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/01
LKL
Oostende
#27
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/01
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/01
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H19/01
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H23/01
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A26/01
LKL
Promitheas
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A30/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H02/02
LKL
81.0Avg total
40.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.681.9+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.881.1+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)43.339.582.8+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.481.0+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.486.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.070.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.540.983.4+1.658%-
vs Weaker (14)44.039.983.9+4.171%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H29/12
BBL
Bamberg
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A03/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/01
BBL
Promitheas
#17
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A09/01
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A13/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H16/01
Champions League
Oostende
#27
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A22/01
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H27/01
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H30/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A02/02
BBL
84.1Avg total
40.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.382.5-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.641.883.4-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.840.981.7-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.684.1-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.481.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.044.382.3-6.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.639.981.5+1.756%-
vs Weaker (4)46.540.587.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
20/11/18Bayreuth v Neptunas102-78
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19HPieno Zvaigzdes89-103
30/01/19APromitheas82-69
26/01/19ASiauliai106-103 OT
23/01/19HPetrol Olimpija82-74
19/01/19HSkycop85-68
15/01/19AStrasbourg90-80
12/01/19HPieno Zvaigzdes77-80
09/01/19HOostende77-79
06/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas98-93 OT
30/12/18AJuventus80-88
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19AAlba Berlin68-86
30/01/19HPetrol Olimpija82-71
27/01/19HBayern90-93
22/01/19AOostende62-82
16/01/19HVirtus Bologna83-93
13/01/19ALudwigsburg82-100
09/01/19APromitheas83-95
06/01/19ABayern95-101 OT
03/01/19ABamberg94-84
29/12/18HCrailsheim Merlins102-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game83.383.283.4
Allowed / game81.377.884.3
Point differential+2.0+5.3-0.9
Avg total164.6161.0167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Bayreuth
Champions League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game78.082.073.4
Allowed / game77.077.976.0
Point differential+1.0+4.1-2.6
Avg total155.0159.9149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia1614288%76.868.1+8.8
2 Tenerife1412286%83.167.5+15.6
3 Hapoel M. Jerusalem1311285%90.877.7+13.1
4 AEK Athens1311285%81.273.7+7.5
5 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
6 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
7 Venezia1410471%83.678.3+5.3
8 Virtus Bologna139469%85.077.5+7.5
9 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
10 Antwerp Giants1711665%81.677.7+3.9
11 Banvit149564%82.176.6+5.4
12 Nanterre1610662%83.872.4+11.4
13 Besiktas138562%77.576.1+1.5
14 Bamberg138562%82.681.9+0.7
15 Promitheas138562%80.980.9+0.0
16 Nizhny Novgorod2012860%79.873.4+6.5
17 PAOK148657%80.574.0+6.5
18 Neptunas137654%83.381.3+2.0
19 Strasbourg137654%76.276.2-0.1
20 Oostende137654%75.278.4-3.2
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Hapoel Holon147750%81.879.8+2.0
23 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
24 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
25 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
26 Le Mans147750%75.576.1-0.6
27 Avellino147750%82.984.1-1.2
28 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
29 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
30 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
31 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
32 Ventspils146843%81.684.1-2.6
33 Bonn146843%80.084.4-4.4
34 Bayreuth156940%78.077.0+1.0
35 Fribourg Olympic2081240%76.981.5-4.6
36 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
37 Lietkabelis134931%76.079.2-3.2
38 Dijon134931%75.079.5-4.5
39 Nymburk134931%78.985.0-6.1
40 Anwil Wloclawek1441029%78.883.1-4.4
41 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
42 Fuenlabrada1331023%77.286.5-9.3
43 Ludwigsburg1431121%73.983.1-9.1
44 Opava1421214%68.092.1-24.1
45 Petrol Olimpija131128%74.982.7-7.8
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1924192183
Bayreuth1221202073
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