Siauliai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 15:20

Final 103-106 (OT)

20-28 29-21 25-24 19-20 10-13

Position#10

Record3-16

FormLLWLL

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game87.9

Siauliai

Neptunas 🏆

Position#2

Record15-4

FormLLWWW

Points / game86.1

Allowed / game76.7

LKL

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Siauliai v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siauliai

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

83-88

-5

H10/11

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

61-102

102

-41

A18/11

LKL

Skycop

88-80

A25/11

LKL

Juventus

98-94

H05/12

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

86-96

-10

A16/12

LKL

Neptunas

76-80

-4

A23/12

LKL

Nevezis

78-81

-3

H02/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

87-76

+11

H04/01

LKL

Rytas

75-82

-7

H12/01

LKL

Juventus

67-96

-29

A20/01

LKL

20-26

18-27

22-16

23-19

13-26

13-24

14-28

21-24

30-11

17-24

15-16

26-29

25-31

30-17

20-26

23-20

18-30

23-24

19-23

26-19

22-17

21-23

15-22

18-18

21-23

23-20

19-22

15-16

24-18

19-21

17-18

27-19

22-24

20-19

16-21

17-18

10-18

13-26

19-31

25-21

167.4Avg total

79.9Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	78.4	87.9	166.3	-9.5	16%
Season at home (9)	82.9	88.1	171.0	-5.2	22%
Season away (10)	74.4	87.7	162.1	-13.3	10%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	87.5	167.4	-7.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	83.0	159.6	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	76.8	88.2	165.0	-11.4	11%
vs Similar (10)	83.6	86.1	169.7	-2.5	30%
vs Weaker (2)	90.0	84.0	174.0	+6.0	100%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skycop

83-72

+11

A15/12

LKL

Besiktas

#16

70-77

-7

A18/12

Champions League

Siauliai

#10

80-76

H23/12

LKL

Juventus

80-88

-8

A30/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

98-93 OT

H06/01

LKL

Oostende

#27

77-79

-2

H09/01

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

77-80

-3

H12/01

LKL

Strasbourg

#13

90-80

+10

A15/01

Champions League

Skycop

85-68

+17

H19/01

LKL

Petrol Olimpija

#45

82-74

H23/01

Champions League

17-16

22-21

25-17

19-18

20-20

20-18

12-20

18-19

17-22

23-21

22-15

18-18

15-17

13-20

26-25

26-26

16-12

18-28

21-22

23-16

12-21

27-18

20-21

18-19

18-15

21-17

17-17

21-31

16-27

28-17

25-20

21-16

16-13

18-16

30-19

21-20

29-20

22-22

18-20

13-12

160.9Avg total

82.2Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	86.1	76.7	162.8	+9.3	79%
Season at home (10)	85.6	77.9	163.5	+7.7	70%
Season away (9)	86.6	75.4	162.0	+11.1	89%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	78.7	160.9	+3.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	76.2	158.4	+6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	84.8	80.2	165.0	+4.5	75%
vs Similar (12)	82.3	81.8	164.2	+0.5	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	86.4	76.2	162.6	+10.1	86%

This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SiauliaiNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	28%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.1	39.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.7	37.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.5	40.5	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	16.2	33.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.5	42.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	23.6	42.7	-4.5	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.5	24.0	45.5	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	19.5	42.2	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.3	19.9	44.1	+4.4	86%	-

SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

38-53

-15

H10/11

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

26-50

-24

A18/11

LKL

Skycop

47-35

+12

A25/11

LKL

Juventus

55-48

H05/12

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

41-54

-13

A16/12

LKL

Neptunas

43-40

A23/12

LKL

Nevezis

44-43

H02/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

43-39

H04/01

LKL

Rytas

42-43

-1

H12/01

LKL

Juventus

23-44

-21

A20/01

LKL

85.1Avg total

40.2Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	44.5	84.6	-4.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.0	44.1	87.1	-1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.0	44.8	82.8	-6.8	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	44.9	85.1	-4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	41.8	80.8	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	39.1	45.7	84.8	-6.6	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.9	43.8	85.7	-1.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	37.0	78.0	+4.0	50%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skycop

39-37

A15/12

LKL

Besiktas

#16

40-38

A18/12

Champions League

Siauliai

#10

40-43

-3

H23/12

LKL

Juventus

28-37

-9

A30/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

34-40

-6

H06/01

LKL

Oostende

#27

39-39

H09/01

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

39-32

H12/01

LKL

Strasbourg

#13

44-44

A15/01

Champions League

Skycop

34-29

H19/01

LKL

Petrol Olimpija

#45

51-42

H23/01

Champions League

76.9Avg total

38.8Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.0	81.3	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	39.1	79.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	39.0	82.7	+4.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	38.1	76.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.2	78.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.8	35.0	70.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.2	41.2	82.4	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.9	38.4	83.3	+6.6	86%	-

This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	20.8	41.8	+0.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	22.3	39.9	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.2	28%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	27.0	49.0	-5.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.1	18.1	39.3	+3.0	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	21.2	40.9	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	20.0	47.0	+7.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.5	41.3	+0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.5	39.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	42.8	82.5	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	41.9	82.8	-1.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.9	43.4	82.4	-4.5	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	42.6	82.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	37.7	42.6	80.2	-4.9	28%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.7	42.3	84.0	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	49.0	47.0	96.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.0	80.3	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	37.9	79.5	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	40.1	81.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.1	80.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.0	79.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.8	38.0	79.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.1	40.7	81.8	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.4	37.9	79.3	+3.6	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siauliai wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
23/12/18	Neptunas v Siauliai	80-76
27/10/18	Siauliai v Neptunas	88-98
14/04/18	Siauliai v Neptunas	77-76
01/03/18	Neptunas v Siauliai	71-78
04/01/18	Neptunas v Siauliai	84-79
21/09/17	Siauliai v Neptunas	73-82
26/04/17	Neptunas v Siauliai	85-78
18/03/17	Siauliai v Neptunas	65-100
06/11/16	Siauliai v Neptunas	62-110
12/10/16	Neptunas v Siauliai	95-67

Siauliailast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/19	A	Juventus	67-96
12/01/19	H	Rytas	75-82
04/01/19	H	Alytaus Dzukija	87-76
02/01/19	H	Nevezis	78-81
23/12/18	A	Neptunas	76-80
16/12/18	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	86-96
05/12/18	H	Juventus	98-94
25/11/18	A	Skycop	88-80
18/11/18	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	61-102
10/11/18	H	Lietkabelis	83-88

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/01/19	H	Petrol Olimpija	82-74
19/01/19	H	Skycop	85-68
15/01/19	A	Strasbourg	90-80
12/01/19	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	77-80
09/01/19	H	Oostende	77-79
06/01/19	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	98-93 OT
30/12/18	A	Juventus	80-88
23/12/18	H	Siauliai	80-76
18/12/18	A	Besiktas	70-77
15/12/18	A	Skycop	83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	16%
Home	LWLWL	22%
Away	LWLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	16%	22%	10%
Points / game	78.4	82.9	74.4
Allowed / game	87.9	88.1	87.7
Point differential	-9.5	-5.2	-13.3
Avg total	166.3	171.0	162.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	25% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Neptunas

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	79%
Home	WWWLW	70%
Away	WWWWL	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	79%	70%	89%
Points / game	86.1	85.6	86.6
Allowed / game	76.7	77.9	75.4
Point differential	+9.3	+7.7	+11.1
Avg total	162.8	163.5	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	63%	50%	78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	67% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	19	17	2	89%	85.5	68.9	+16.6
2	Neptunas	19	15	4	79%	86.1	76.7	+9.3
3	Rytas	19	14	5	74%	84.6	75.4	+9.2
4	Lietkabelis	19	11	8	58%	79.8	78.3	+1.5
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	19	10	9	53%	81.9	86.2	-4.3
6	Juventus	19	8	11	42%	79.8	79.8	-0.1
7	Skycop	19	7	12	37%	77.3	84.6	-7.3
8	Alytaus Dzukija	19	6	13	32%	78.7	81.8	-3.1
9	Nevezis	19	4	15	21%	72.5	84.8	-12.3
10	Siauliai	19	3	16	16%	78.4	87.9	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Siauliai	20	29	25	19	10	103
Neptunas	28	21	24	20	13	106

← all games of the day

Siauliai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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