PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Strasbourg vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-90
27-16 17-28 20-25 16-21
Position#13
Record6-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#24
Record4-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Meetings · Strasbourg v Neptunas
15 Jan 2019
STR80
NEP90
14 Mar 2018
STR88
NEP78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Strasbourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StrasbourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#27
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H20/11
Champions League
Nanterre
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H23/11
LNB
Boulazac
#10
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A08/12
LNB
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H11/12
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H17/12
LNB
Bayreuth
#35
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A19/12
Champions League
Monaco
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A23/12
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#13
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H26/12
LNB
Besiktas
#16
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H08/01
Champions League
Dijon
#3
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A13/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-20
18-11
8-15
27-18
25-24
24-21
11-22
15-18
16-14
22-18
19-18
22-12
23-16
20-21
13-18
25-18
22-24
27-19
18-12
23-26
27-6
16-17
19-20
22-33
23-14
17-29
18-16
21-24
24-24
27-26
17-16
22-31
21-20
15-12
15-20
13-17
15-16
19-21
11-25
10-18
152.8Avg total
75.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.374.4150.7+1.960%
Season at home (5)71.269.4140.6+1.860%
Season away (5)81.479.4160.8+2.060%
Last 10 (10)75.877.0152.8-1.240%
Last 5 (5)74.481.0155.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.085.5163.5-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (19)75.775.5151.2+0.353%
vs Weaker (7)87.379.0166.3+8.371%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
100-76
100
76
+24
A24/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H08/12
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H12/12
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A15/12
LKL
Besiktas
#16
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A18/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H23/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H06/01
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H09/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H12/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
17-21
28-10
25-25
27-21
25-22
18-11
19-13
16-22
25-25
21-20
26-18
17-16
22-21
25-17
19-18
20-20
20-18
12-20
18-19
17-22
23-21
22-15
18-18
15-17
13-20
26-25
26-26
16-12
18-28
21-22
23-16
12-21
27-18
20-21
18-19
18-15
21-17
17-17
21-31
163.5Avg total
84.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.983.4166.3-0.540%
Season at home (5)83.478.6162.0+4.860%
Season away (5)82.488.2170.6-5.820%
Last 10 (10)84.279.3163.5+4.960%
Last 5 (5)82.483.2165.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.880.2165.0+4.575%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.682.0163.6-0.436%
vs Weaker (15)87.376.7164.0+10.787%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
StrasbourgNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#27
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H20/11
Champions League
Nanterre
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H23/11
LNB
Boulazac
#10
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A08/12
LNB
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/12
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/12
LNB
Bayreuth
#35
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A19/12
Champions League
Monaco
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A23/12
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#13
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H26/12
LNB
Besiktas
#16
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H08/01
Champions League
Dijon
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/01
LNB
78.2Avg total
40.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.077.2+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.676.6-0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)40.237.477.7+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.378.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.836.873.6+0.153%-
vs Weaker (7)45.938.984.7+7.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A24/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/12
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H12/12
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A15/12
LKL
Besiktas
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/01
LKL
Oostende
#27
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/01
LKL
79.6Avg total
39.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.080.9+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.379.8+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)43.538.682.1+4.980%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.779.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.274.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.070.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.040.981.9+0.155%-
vs Weaker (15)44.338.682.9+5.780%-
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.0
45.9%
52.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.08.0
40.0%
34.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.08.0
53.3%
73.8%8.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Strasbourg
LLLLWWWWLL
Neptunas
LLWLWLWWWW
#13
League position
#24
-9.4
Net rating
+9.4
88.2
Offensive rating
97.6
97.6
Defensive rating
88.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
26.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
12.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.0%
3-point %
37.0%
60.0%
Assist %
60.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 97.6Defence97.6 · 88.2Shooting50.9% · 52.6%3-point %40.0% · 37.0%Ball care26.8% · 20.0%Off. rebounds26.5% · 12.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Strasbourg   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Strasbourg wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
31/10/18Neptunas v Strasbourg92-83
14/03/18Strasbourg v Neptunas88-78 OT
07/03/18Neptunas v Strasbourg73-68
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19ADijon55-80
08/01/19HBesiktas64-69
26/12/18HChalons-Reims90-97
23/12/18AMonaco79-83
19/12/18ABayreuth84-76
17/12/18HChalon/Saone90-81
11/12/18HPetrol Olimpija81-73
08/12/18ABoulazac79-62
23/11/18HNanterre75-85
20/11/18HOostende61-64
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/19HPieno Zvaigzdes77-80
09/01/19HOostende77-79
06/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas98-93 OT
30/12/18AJuventus80-88
23/12/18HSiauliai80-76
18/12/18ABesiktas70-77
15/12/18ASkycop83-72
12/12/18HVirtus Bologna88-85
08/12/18HAlytaus Dzukija89-67
24/11/18ALietkabelis100-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Strasbourg
Champions League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game76.371.281.4
Allowed / game74.469.479.4
Point differential+1.9+1.8+2.0
Avg total150.7140.6160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game82.983.482.4
Allowed / game83.478.688.2
Point differential-0.5+4.8-5.8
Avg total166.3162.0170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife109190%81.667.3+14.3
2 Murcia1210283%77.470.3+7.1
3 Hapoel M. Jerusalem119282%87.876.5+11.4
4 Virtus Bologna108280%86.277.1+9.1
5 AEK Athens108280%80.275.5+4.7
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Venezia107370%86.080.3+5.7
9 Bamberg107370%83.680.0+3.6
10 Avellino107370%84.583.1+1.4
11 Antwerp Giants1510567%82.878.4+4.4
12 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
13 Promitheas117464%82.482.4+0.0
14 Nizhny Novgorod1610662%80.273.2+7.0
15 Banvit106460%81.274.3+6.9
16 PAOK106460%80.376.5+3.8
17 Hapoel Holon106460%82.680.0+2.6
18 Strasbourg106460%76.374.4+1.9
19 Nanterre127558%84.771.3+13.3
20 Besiktas116555%77.977.1+0.8
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
28 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
29 Oostende105550%75.380.8-5.5
30 Fribourg Olympic178947%78.381.3-3.0
31 Bayreuth125742%78.675.8+2.8
32 Neptunas104640%82.983.4-0.5
33 Anwil Wloclawek104640%79.681.6-2.0
34 Le Mans114736%72.676.8-4.2
35 Ventspils114736%78.583.0-4.5
36 Bonn114736%80.586.9-6.5
37 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
38 Lietkabelis103730%74.877.9-3.1
39 Dijon103730%75.779.5-3.8
40 Nymburk113827%76.582.5-5.9
41 Fuenlabrada113827%75.984.6-8.7
42 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
43 Ludwigsburg102820%76.183.2-7.1
44 Petrol Olimpija101910%76.084.0-8.0
45 Opava101910%73.493.1-19.7
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Strasbourg2717201680
Neptunas1628252190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.