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Bayreuth vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 102-78
24-15 24-23 30-22 24-18
Position#35
Record3-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#24
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#13
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A16/10
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H21/10
BBL
Promitheas
#17
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H24/10
Champions League
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A28/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A30/10
Champions League
Ulm
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H04/11
BBL
Oostende
#27
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H07/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#11
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A11/11
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A13/11
Champions League
Bremerhaven
#17
W
113-85
113
85
+28
H17/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
20-19
13-16
11-18
22-18
17-15
25-19
14-25
16-25
14-18
18-14
22-18
26-13
20-20
10-22
13-18
19-19
12-15
20-19
16-21
23-16
25-19
17-25
14-28
24-19
16-20
21-14
26-18
22-24
28-14
18-26
23-17
18-14
19-25
10-10
29-18
28-17
31-24
33-28
21-16
155.1Avg total
79.3Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.072.2146.2+1.838%
Season at home (4)78.274.2152.5+4.050%
Season away (4)69.870.2140.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)79.375.8155.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)89.278.4167.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.582.8159.2-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.879.0156.8-1.238%
vs Weaker (5)89.674.2163.8+15.4100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H17/10
Champions League
Juventus
#6
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H21/10
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A24/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
98-88
98
88
+10
A27/10
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H31/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A03/11
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A07/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A10/11
LKL
Promitheas
#17
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H13/11
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H18/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
16-21
17-7
23-23
16-18
23-17
22-20
20-15
24-26
22-28
18-19
25-18
26-27
30-18
19-18
23-25
23-25
29-19
19-15
21-24
19-16
22-15
18-12
19-23
24-17
32-30
24-21
17-20
22-9
28-20
12-21
21-19
16-14
20-20
19-23
27-26
24-23
17-23
14-27
23-20
165.0Avg total
85.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.081.8167.8+4.250%
Season at home (3)84.076.3160.3+7.767%
Season away (3)88.087.3175.3+0.733%
Last 10 (10)85.679.4165.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)83.679.8163.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.774.4147.1-1.743%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.981.1163.0+0.743%
vs Weaker (16)88.277.4165.6+10.988%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
BayreuthNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A16/10
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/10
BBL
Promitheas
#17
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/10
Champions League
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A28/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A30/10
Champions League
Ulm
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/11
BBL
Oostende
#27
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/11
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A13/11
Champions League
Bremerhaven
#17
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H17/11
BBL
78.7Avg total
41.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.280.1+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.337.879.2+3.554%-
Last 30 away (17)40.540.280.8+0.341%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.878.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.485.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.240.179.4-0.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.138.878.9+1.450%-
vs Weaker (5)47.237.084.2+10.280%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#16
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/10
Champions League
Juventus
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H21/10
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A24/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A27/10
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H31/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A03/11
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A07/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A10/11
LKL
Promitheas
#17
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/11
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/11
LKL
85.3Avg total
45.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.380.4+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.139.178.2-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)44.737.682.3+7.175%-
Last 10 (10)45.539.885.3+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.482.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.635.071.6+1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.040.681.6+0.457%-
vs Weaker (16)44.938.883.8+6.181%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayreuth wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/18HBremerhaven113-85
13/11/18APetrol Olimpija76-67
11/11/18AFrankfurt91-81
07/11/18HOostende87-71
04/11/18HUlm79-88
30/10/18AVirtus Bologna67-74
28/10/18As.Oliver Wurzburg69-73
24/10/18HPromitheas70-75
21/10/18HBasketball Braunschweig78-77
16/10/18AStrasbourg63-67
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HRytas78-93
13/11/18HPromitheas82-83
10/11/18ANevezis83-69
07/11/18APetrol Olimpija97-88
03/11/18ARytas78-66
31/10/18HStrasbourg92-83
27/10/18ASiauliai98-88
24/10/18AOostende89-91
21/10/18HJuventus81-70
17/10/18HBesiktas78-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game74.078.269.8
Allowed / game72.274.270.2
Point differential+1.8+4.0-0.5
Avg total146.2152.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game86.084.088.0
Allowed / game81.876.387.3
Point differential+4.2+7.7+0.7
Avg total167.8160.3175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife660100%83.563.5+20.0
2 Virtus Bologna660100%86.572.8+13.7
3 Hapoel M. Jerusalem65183%88.377.8+10.5
4 Avellino65183%91.085.5+5.5
5 AEK Athens65183%82.578.0+4.5
6 Promitheas65183%81.378.0+3.3
7 Murcia97278%76.469.1+7.3
8 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
9 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
10 Antwerp Giants107370%84.979.9+5.0
11 Nizhny Novgorod128467%78.572.4+6.1
12 Venezia64267%86.081.7+4.3
13 Hapoel Holon64267%83.879.7+4.2
14 Strasbourg64267%78.877.0+1.8
15 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
16 Nanterre85362%83.171.9+11.2
17 Banvit74357%82.174.1+8.0
18 Bamberg74357%83.380.7+2.6
19 PAOK63350%81.875.5+6.3
20 Neptunas63350%86.081.8+4.2
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Fribourg Olympic126650%78.581.7-3.2
27 Fuenlabrada63350%81.585.3-3.8
28 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
29 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
30 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
31 Bayreuth83538%74.072.2+1.8
32 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
33 Lietkabelis62433%77.577.8-0.3
34 Anwil Wloclawek62433%85.387.2-1.8
35 Besiktas62433%74.577.7-3.2
36 Le Mans62433%71.577.0-5.5
37 Ventspils62433%82.288.8-6.7
38 Bonn62433%77.788.3-10.7
39 Nymburk72529%76.983.1-6.3
40 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
41 Dijon61517%71.078.5-7.5
42 Ludwigsburg61517%77.585.8-8.3
43 Petrol Olimpija61517%73.883.0-9.2
44 Oostende61517%74.285.0-10.8
45 Opava61517%72.788.0-15.3
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 55 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth24243024102
Neptunas1523221878
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